Overestimation of the effect of climatic warming on spring phenology due to misrepresentation of chilling
Climate warming is advancing spring leaf unfolding, but it is also reducing the cold periods that many trees require to break winter dormancy. Here, the authors show that 7 of 12 current chilling models fail to account for the correct relationship between chilling accumulation and heat requirement,...
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Nature Portfolio
2020
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oai:doaj.org-article:62995b95fbc4439dbef43cc8a32c55352021-12-02T18:51:23ZOverestimation of the effect of climatic warming on spring phenology due to misrepresentation of chilling10.1038/s41467-020-18743-82041-1723https://doaj.org/article/62995b95fbc4439dbef43cc8a32c55352020-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18743-8https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Climate warming is advancing spring leaf unfolding, but it is also reducing the cold periods that many trees require to break winter dormancy. Here, the authors show that 7 of 12 current chilling models fail to account for the correct relationship between chilling accumulation and heat requirement, leading to substantial overestimates of the advance of spring phenology under climate change.Huanjiong WangChaoyang WuPhilippe CiaisJosep PeñuelasJunhu DaiYongshuo FuQuansheng GeNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2020) |
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Science Q Huanjiong Wang Chaoyang Wu Philippe Ciais Josep Peñuelas Junhu Dai Yongshuo Fu Quansheng Ge Overestimation of the effect of climatic warming on spring phenology due to misrepresentation of chilling |
description |
Climate warming is advancing spring leaf unfolding, but it is also reducing the cold periods that many trees require to break winter dormancy. Here, the authors show that 7 of 12 current chilling models fail to account for the correct relationship between chilling accumulation and heat requirement, leading to substantial overestimates of the advance of spring phenology under climate change. |
format |
article |
author |
Huanjiong Wang Chaoyang Wu Philippe Ciais Josep Peñuelas Junhu Dai Yongshuo Fu Quansheng Ge |
author_facet |
Huanjiong Wang Chaoyang Wu Philippe Ciais Josep Peñuelas Junhu Dai Yongshuo Fu Quansheng Ge |
author_sort |
Huanjiong Wang |
title |
Overestimation of the effect of climatic warming on spring phenology due to misrepresentation of chilling |
title_short |
Overestimation of the effect of climatic warming on spring phenology due to misrepresentation of chilling |
title_full |
Overestimation of the effect of climatic warming on spring phenology due to misrepresentation of chilling |
title_fullStr |
Overestimation of the effect of climatic warming on spring phenology due to misrepresentation of chilling |
title_full_unstemmed |
Overestimation of the effect of climatic warming on spring phenology due to misrepresentation of chilling |
title_sort |
overestimation of the effect of climatic warming on spring phenology due to misrepresentation of chilling |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/62995b95fbc4439dbef43cc8a32c5535 |
work_keys_str_mv |
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_version_ |
1718377449814753280 |