RESTRICTIONS OF MODELS OF GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM IN FORECASTING THE DYNAMICS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEMS

The dynamics of forecasts of dynamics and socio-economic systems based on general equilibrium. The author considers various variations of these models, opportunities and critical points identified for their use. The article proposes to pay attention to a reasonable approach when developing forecasts...

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Autor principal:	Fedor Sergeevich Golubev
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN RU
Publicado:	Science and Innovation Center Publishing House 2020
Materias:	социально-экономический прогноз модели на основе таблиц «затраты-выпуск» гравитационные модели экономико-психологические факторы методология прогнозирования Law K Social Sciences H
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/62df2ced03a34917a0c733e272a55114
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:62df2ced03a34917a0c733e272a551142021-12-02T17:20:31ZRESTRICTIONS OF MODELS OF GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM IN FORECASTING THE DYNAMICS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEMS2070-756810.12731/2070-7568-2020-2-65-77https://doaj.org/article/62df2ced03a34917a0c733e272a551142020-06-01T00:00:00Zhttp://journal-s.org/index.php/nk/article/view/12732https://doaj.org/toc/2070-7568The dynamics of forecasts of dynamics and socio-economic systems based on general equilibrium. The author considers various variations of these models, opportunities and critical points identified for their use. The article proposes to pay attention to a reasonable approach when developing forecasts in relation to the socio-economic environment in order to bring the predicted results closer to the real economy and to study the influence of deeper micro-level processes on macro-level indicators. Purpose – identify the limitations of various kinds of models based on “input-output” tables when forecasting the dynamics of socio-economic systems. Methodology: the work is based on the methods of comparative analysis of forecasting methodologies based on various variations of the general equilibrium models. Results: The obtained results represent the theoretical basis for using this type of analysis in relation to other forecasting methods. Practical implications: The results obtained in the article are applicable to the use of forecasts to identify changes in socio-economic systems.Fedor Sergeevich GolubevScience and Innovation Center Publishing Housearticleсоциально-экономический прогнозмодели на основе таблиц «затраты-выпуск»гравитационные моделиэкономико-психологические факторыметодология прогнозированияLawKSocial SciencesHENRUНаука Красноярья, Vol 9, Iss 2, Pp 65-77 (2020)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN RU
topic	социально-экономический прогноз модели на основе таблиц «затраты-выпуск» гравитационные модели экономико-психологические факторы методология прогнозирования Law K Social Sciences H
spellingShingle	социально-экономический прогноз модели на основе таблиц «затраты-выпуск» гравитационные модели экономико-психологические факторы методология прогнозирования Law K Social Sciences H Fedor Sergeevich Golubev RESTRICTIONS OF MODELS OF GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM IN FORECASTING THE DYNAMICS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
description	The dynamics of forecasts of dynamics and socio-economic systems based on general equilibrium. The author considers various variations of these models, opportunities and critical points identified for their use. The article proposes to pay attention to a reasonable approach when developing forecasts in relation to the socio-economic environment in order to bring the predicted results closer to the real economy and to study the influence of deeper micro-level processes on macro-level indicators. Purpose – identify the limitations of various kinds of models based on “input-output” tables when forecasting the dynamics of socio-economic systems. Methodology: the work is based on the methods of comparative analysis of forecasting methodologies based on various variations of the general equilibrium models. Results: The obtained results represent the theoretical basis for using this type of analysis in relation to other forecasting methods. Practical implications: The results obtained in the article are applicable to the use of forecasts to identify changes in socio-economic systems.
format	article
author	Fedor Sergeevich Golubev
author_facet	Fedor Sergeevich Golubev
author_sort	Fedor Sergeevich Golubev
title	RESTRICTIONS OF MODELS OF GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM IN FORECASTING THE DYNAMICS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
title_short	RESTRICTIONS OF MODELS OF GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM IN FORECASTING THE DYNAMICS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
title_full	RESTRICTIONS OF MODELS OF GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM IN FORECASTING THE DYNAMICS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
title_fullStr	RESTRICTIONS OF MODELS OF GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM IN FORECASTING THE DYNAMICS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
title_full_unstemmed	RESTRICTIONS OF MODELS OF GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM IN FORECASTING THE DYNAMICS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
title_sort	restrictions of models of general equilibrium in forecasting the dynamics of socio-economic systems
publisher	Science and Innovation Center Publishing House
publishDate	2020
url	https://doaj.org/article/62df2ced03a34917a0c733e272a55114
work_keys_str_mv	AT fedorsergeevichgolubev restrictionsofmodelsofgeneralequilibriuminforecastingthedynamicsofsocioeconomicsystems
_version_	1718381029037703168

RESTRICTIONS OF MODELS OF GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM IN FORECASTING THE DYNAMICS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEMS

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