Measuring population transmission risk for HIV: an alternative metric of exposure risk in men who have sex with men (MSM) in the US.
<h4>Background</h4>Various metrics for HIV burden and treatment success [e.g. HIV prevalence, community viral load (CVL), population viral load (PVL), percent of HIV-positive persons with undetectable viral load] have important public health limitations for understanding disparities.<...
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oai:doaj.org-article:642556732fb24a84a0a059d0499d460e2021-11-18T08:03:12ZMeasuring population transmission risk for HIV: an alternative metric of exposure risk in men who have sex with men (MSM) in the US.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0053284https://doaj.org/article/642556732fb24a84a0a059d0499d460e2012-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/23285274/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203<h4>Background</h4>Various metrics for HIV burden and treatment success [e.g. HIV prevalence, community viral load (CVL), population viral load (PVL), percent of HIV-positive persons with undetectable viral load] have important public health limitations for understanding disparities.<h4>Methods and findings</h4>Using data from an ongoing HIV incidence cohort of black and white men who have sex with men (MSM), we propose a new metric to measure the prevalence of those at risk of transmitting HIV and illustrate its value. MSM with plasma VL>400 copies/mL were defined as having 'transmission risk'. We calculated HIV prevalence, CVL, PVL, percent of HIV-positive with undetectable viral loads, and prevalence of plasma VL>400 copies/ml (%VL400) for black and white MSM. We used Monte Carlo simulation incorporating data on sexual mixing by race to estimate exposure of black and white HIV-negative MSM to a partner with transmission risk via unprotected anal intercourse (UAI). Of 709 MSM recruited, 42% (168/399) black and 14% (44/310) white MSM tested HIV-positive (p<.0001). No significant differences were seen in CVL, PVL, or percent of HIV positive with undetectable viral loads. The %VL400 was 25% (98/393) for black vs. 8% (25/310) for white MSM (p<.0001). Black MSM with 2 UAI partners were estimated to have 40% probability (95% CI: 35%, 45%) of having ≥1 UAI partner with transmission risk vs. 20% for white MSM (CI: 15%, 24%).<h4>Discussion</h4>Despite similarities in other metrics, black MSM in our cohort are three times as likely as white MSM to have HIV transmission risk. With comparable risk behaviors, HIV-negative black MSM have a substantially higher likelihood of encountering a UAI partner at risk of transmitting HIV. Our results support increasing HIV testing, linkage to care, and antiretroviral treatment of HIV-positive MSM to reduce prevalence of those with transmission risk, particularly for black MSM.Colleen F KelleyEli S RosenbergBrandon M O'HaraPaula M FrewTravis SanchezJohn L PetersonCarlos Del RioPatrick S SullivanPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 7, Iss 12, p e53284 (2012) |
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Medicine R Science Q Colleen F Kelley Eli S Rosenberg Brandon M O'Hara Paula M Frew Travis Sanchez John L Peterson Carlos Del Rio Patrick S Sullivan Measuring population transmission risk for HIV: an alternative metric of exposure risk in men who have sex with men (MSM) in the US. |
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<h4>Background</h4>Various metrics for HIV burden and treatment success [e.g. HIV prevalence, community viral load (CVL), population viral load (PVL), percent of HIV-positive persons with undetectable viral load] have important public health limitations for understanding disparities.<h4>Methods and findings</h4>Using data from an ongoing HIV incidence cohort of black and white men who have sex with men (MSM), we propose a new metric to measure the prevalence of those at risk of transmitting HIV and illustrate its value. MSM with plasma VL>400 copies/mL were defined as having 'transmission risk'. We calculated HIV prevalence, CVL, PVL, percent of HIV-positive with undetectable viral loads, and prevalence of plasma VL>400 copies/ml (%VL400) for black and white MSM. We used Monte Carlo simulation incorporating data on sexual mixing by race to estimate exposure of black and white HIV-negative MSM to a partner with transmission risk via unprotected anal intercourse (UAI). Of 709 MSM recruited, 42% (168/399) black and 14% (44/310) white MSM tested HIV-positive (p<.0001). No significant differences were seen in CVL, PVL, or percent of HIV positive with undetectable viral loads. The %VL400 was 25% (98/393) for black vs. 8% (25/310) for white MSM (p<.0001). Black MSM with 2 UAI partners were estimated to have 40% probability (95% CI: 35%, 45%) of having ≥1 UAI partner with transmission risk vs. 20% for white MSM (CI: 15%, 24%).<h4>Discussion</h4>Despite similarities in other metrics, black MSM in our cohort are three times as likely as white MSM to have HIV transmission risk. With comparable risk behaviors, HIV-negative black MSM have a substantially higher likelihood of encountering a UAI partner at risk of transmitting HIV. Our results support increasing HIV testing, linkage to care, and antiretroviral treatment of HIV-positive MSM to reduce prevalence of those with transmission risk, particularly for black MSM. |
format |
article |
author |
Colleen F Kelley Eli S Rosenberg Brandon M O'Hara Paula M Frew Travis Sanchez John L Peterson Carlos Del Rio Patrick S Sullivan |
author_facet |
Colleen F Kelley Eli S Rosenberg Brandon M O'Hara Paula M Frew Travis Sanchez John L Peterson Carlos Del Rio Patrick S Sullivan |
author_sort |
Colleen F Kelley |
title |
Measuring population transmission risk for HIV: an alternative metric of exposure risk in men who have sex with men (MSM) in the US. |
title_short |
Measuring population transmission risk for HIV: an alternative metric of exposure risk in men who have sex with men (MSM) in the US. |
title_full |
Measuring population transmission risk for HIV: an alternative metric of exposure risk in men who have sex with men (MSM) in the US. |
title_fullStr |
Measuring population transmission risk for HIV: an alternative metric of exposure risk in men who have sex with men (MSM) in the US. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Measuring population transmission risk for HIV: an alternative metric of exposure risk in men who have sex with men (MSM) in the US. |
title_sort |
measuring population transmission risk for hiv: an alternative metric of exposure risk in men who have sex with men (msm) in the us. |
publisher |
Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
publishDate |
2012 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/642556732fb24a84a0a059d0499d460e |
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