Climate Change Decreased Net Ecosystem Productivity in the Arid Region of Central Asia

Numerous studies have confirmed that climate change leads to a decrease in the net ecosystem productivity (<i>NEP</i>) of terrestrial ecosystems and alters regional carbon source/sink patterns. However, the response mechanism of <i>NEP</i> to climate change in the arid region...

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Autores principales: Jingjing Zhang, Xingming Hao, Haichao Hao, Xue Fan, Yuanhang Li
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/64706ae4a4e14176a1c81fdd20df95ec
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Sumario:Numerous studies have confirmed that climate change leads to a decrease in the net ecosystem productivity (<i>NEP</i>) of terrestrial ecosystems and alters regional carbon source/sink patterns. However, the response mechanism of <i>NEP</i> to climate change in the arid regions of Central Asia remains unclear. Therefore, this study combined the Carnegie–Ames–Stanford approach (CASA) and empirical models to estimate the <i>NEP</i> in Central Asia and quantitatively evaluate the sensitivity of the <i>NEP</i> to climate factors. The results show that although the net primary productivity (<i>NPP</i>) in Central Asia exhibits an increasing trend, it is not significant. Soil heterotrophic respiration (<i>RH</i>) has increased significantly, while the <i>NEP</i> has decreased at a rate of 6.1 g C·m<sup>−2</sup>·10 a<sup>−1</sup>. Spatially, the regional distribution of the significant increase in <i>RH</i> is consistent with that of the significant decrease in the <i>NEP</i>, which is concentrated in western and southern Central Asia. Specifically, the <i>NPP</i> is more sensitive to precipitation than temperature, whereas <i>RH</i> and <i>NEP</i> are more sensitive to temperature than precipitation. The annual contribution rates of temperature and precipitation to the <i>NEP</i> are 28.79% and 23.23%, respectively. Additionally, drought has an important impact on the carbon source/sink in Central Asia. Drought intensified from 2001 to 2008, leading to a significant expansion of the carbon source area in Central Asia. Therefore, since the start of the 21st century, climate change has damaged the <i>NEP</i> of the Central Asian ecosystem. Varying degrees of warming under different climate scenarios will further aggravate the expansion of carbon source areas in Central Asia. An improved understanding of climate change impacts in Central Asia is critically required for sustainable development of the regional economy and protection of its natural environment. Our results provide a scientific reference for the construction of the Silk Road Economic Belt and global emissions reduction.