The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic

Abstract Rising temperature levels during spring and summer are often argued to enable lifting of strict containment measures even in the absence of herd immunity. Despite broad scholarly interest in the relationship between weather and coronavirus spread, previous studies come to very mixed results...

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Autores principales: Michael Ganslmeier, Davide Furceri, Jonathan D. Ostry
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/65204876c09844a88673ba73095aa5e1
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:65204876c09844a88673ba73095aa5e12021-11-14T12:21:59ZThe impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic10.1038/s41598-021-01189-32045-2322https://doaj.org/article/65204876c09844a88673ba73095aa5e12021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-01189-3https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Rising temperature levels during spring and summer are often argued to enable lifting of strict containment measures even in the absence of herd immunity. Despite broad scholarly interest in the relationship between weather and coronavirus spread, previous studies come to very mixed results. To contribute to this puzzle, the paper examines the impact of weather on the COVID-19 pandemic using a unique granular dataset of over 1.2 million daily observations covering over 3700 counties in nine countries for all seasons of 2020. Our results show that temperature and wind speed have a robust negative effect on virus spread after controlling for a range of potential confounding factors. These effects, however, are substantially larger during mealtimes, as well as in periods of high mobility and low containment, suggesting an important role for social behaviour.Michael GanslmeierDavide FurceriJonathan D. OstryNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-7 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Michael Ganslmeier
Davide Furceri
Jonathan D. Ostry
The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic
description Abstract Rising temperature levels during spring and summer are often argued to enable lifting of strict containment measures even in the absence of herd immunity. Despite broad scholarly interest in the relationship between weather and coronavirus spread, previous studies come to very mixed results. To contribute to this puzzle, the paper examines the impact of weather on the COVID-19 pandemic using a unique granular dataset of over 1.2 million daily observations covering over 3700 counties in nine countries for all seasons of 2020. Our results show that temperature and wind speed have a robust negative effect on virus spread after controlling for a range of potential confounding factors. These effects, however, are substantially larger during mealtimes, as well as in periods of high mobility and low containment, suggesting an important role for social behaviour.
format article
author Michael Ganslmeier
Davide Furceri
Jonathan D. Ostry
author_facet Michael Ganslmeier
Davide Furceri
Jonathan D. Ostry
author_sort Michael Ganslmeier
title The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic
title_short The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic
title_full The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic
title_fullStr The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic
title_full_unstemmed The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic
title_sort impact of weather on covid-19 pandemic
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/65204876c09844a88673ba73095aa5e1
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