The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic
Abstract Rising temperature levels during spring and summer are often argued to enable lifting of strict containment measures even in the absence of herd immunity. Despite broad scholarly interest in the relationship between weather and coronavirus spread, previous studies come to very mixed results...
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Nature Portfolio
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:65204876c09844a88673ba73095aa5e12021-11-14T12:21:59ZThe impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic10.1038/s41598-021-01189-32045-2322https://doaj.org/article/65204876c09844a88673ba73095aa5e12021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-01189-3https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Rising temperature levels during spring and summer are often argued to enable lifting of strict containment measures even in the absence of herd immunity. Despite broad scholarly interest in the relationship between weather and coronavirus spread, previous studies come to very mixed results. To contribute to this puzzle, the paper examines the impact of weather on the COVID-19 pandemic using a unique granular dataset of over 1.2 million daily observations covering over 3700 counties in nine countries for all seasons of 2020. Our results show that temperature and wind speed have a robust negative effect on virus spread after controlling for a range of potential confounding factors. These effects, however, are substantially larger during mealtimes, as well as in periods of high mobility and low containment, suggesting an important role for social behaviour.Michael GanslmeierDavide FurceriJonathan D. OstryNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-7 (2021) |
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Medicine R Science Q Michael Ganslmeier Davide Furceri Jonathan D. Ostry The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic |
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Abstract Rising temperature levels during spring and summer are often argued to enable lifting of strict containment measures even in the absence of herd immunity. Despite broad scholarly interest in the relationship between weather and coronavirus spread, previous studies come to very mixed results. To contribute to this puzzle, the paper examines the impact of weather on the COVID-19 pandemic using a unique granular dataset of over 1.2 million daily observations covering over 3700 counties in nine countries for all seasons of 2020. Our results show that temperature and wind speed have a robust negative effect on virus spread after controlling for a range of potential confounding factors. These effects, however, are substantially larger during mealtimes, as well as in periods of high mobility and low containment, suggesting an important role for social behaviour. |
format |
article |
author |
Michael Ganslmeier Davide Furceri Jonathan D. Ostry |
author_facet |
Michael Ganslmeier Davide Furceri Jonathan D. Ostry |
author_sort |
Michael Ganslmeier |
title |
The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic |
title_short |
The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic |
title_full |
The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic |
title_fullStr |
The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic |
title_full_unstemmed |
The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic |
title_sort |
impact of weather on covid-19 pandemic |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/65204876c09844a88673ba73095aa5e1 |
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