Predicting the potential distribution in China of Euwallacea fornicatus (Eichhoff) under current and future climate conditions

Abstract Euwallacea fornicatus (Eichhoff) is an important forest pest that has caused serious damage in America and Vietnam. In 2014, it attacked forests of Acer trialatum in the Yunnan province of China, creating concern in China’s Forestry Bureau. We used the CLIMEX model to predict and compare th...

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Autores principales:	Xuezhen Ge, Chao Jiang, Linghong Chen, Shuang Qiu, Yuxiang Zhao, Tao Wang, Shixiang Zong
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2017
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/65d27ab358324dad8a203d8c389f46f6
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:65d27ab358324dad8a203d8c389f46f62021-12-02T12:30:44ZPredicting the potential distribution in China of Euwallacea fornicatus (Eichhoff) under current and future climate conditions10.1038/s41598-017-01014-w2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/65d27ab358324dad8a203d8c389f46f62017-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-01014-whttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Euwallacea fornicatus (Eichhoff) is an important forest pest that has caused serious damage in America and Vietnam. In 2014, it attacked forests of Acer trialatum in the Yunnan province of China, creating concern in China’s Forestry Bureau. We used the CLIMEX model to predict and compare the potential distribution for E. fornicates in China under current (1981–2010) and projected climate conditions (2011–2040) using one scenario (RCP8.5) and one global climate model (GCM), CSIRO-Mk3-6-0. Under both current and future climate conditions, the model predicted E. fornicates to be mainly distributed in the south of China. Comparing distributions under both climate conditions showed that the area of potential distribution was projected to increase (mainly because of an increase in favourable habitat) and shift to the north. Our results help clarify the potential effect of climate change on the range of this forest pest and provide a reference and guide to facilitate its control in China.Xuezhen GeChao JiangLinghong ChenShuang QiuYuxiang ZhaoTao WangShixiang ZongNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-13 (2017)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Xuezhen Ge Chao Jiang Linghong Chen Shuang Qiu Yuxiang Zhao Tao Wang Shixiang Zong Predicting the potential distribution in China of Euwallacea fornicatus (Eichhoff) under current and future climate conditions
description	Abstract Euwallacea fornicatus (Eichhoff) is an important forest pest that has caused serious damage in America and Vietnam. In 2014, it attacked forests of Acer trialatum in the Yunnan province of China, creating concern in China’s Forestry Bureau. We used the CLIMEX model to predict and compare the potential distribution for E. fornicates in China under current (1981–2010) and projected climate conditions (2011–2040) using one scenario (RCP8.5) and one global climate model (GCM), CSIRO-Mk3-6-0. Under both current and future climate conditions, the model predicted E. fornicates to be mainly distributed in the south of China. Comparing distributions under both climate conditions showed that the area of potential distribution was projected to increase (mainly because of an increase in favourable habitat) and shift to the north. Our results help clarify the potential effect of climate change on the range of this forest pest and provide a reference and guide to facilitate its control in China.
format	article
author	Xuezhen Ge Chao Jiang Linghong Chen Shuang Qiu Yuxiang Zhao Tao Wang Shixiang Zong
author_facet	Xuezhen Ge Chao Jiang Linghong Chen Shuang Qiu Yuxiang Zhao Tao Wang Shixiang Zong
author_sort	Xuezhen Ge
title	Predicting the potential distribution in China of Euwallacea fornicatus (Eichhoff) under current and future climate conditions
title_short	Predicting the potential distribution in China of Euwallacea fornicatus (Eichhoff) under current and future climate conditions
title_full	Predicting the potential distribution in China of Euwallacea fornicatus (Eichhoff) under current and future climate conditions
title_fullStr	Predicting the potential distribution in China of Euwallacea fornicatus (Eichhoff) under current and future climate conditions
title_full_unstemmed	Predicting the potential distribution in China of Euwallacea fornicatus (Eichhoff) under current and future climate conditions
title_sort	predicting the potential distribution in china of euwallacea fornicatus (eichhoff) under current and future climate conditions
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2017
url	https://doaj.org/article/65d27ab358324dad8a203d8c389f46f6
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Predicting the potential distribution in China of Euwallacea fornicatus (Eichhoff) under current and future climate conditions

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