The Effect of Risk Dimensions on the Objectives of Construction Projects in Isfahan Municipality: An Integrated SEM and BBN Analysis

Population growth and the subsequent surge in urbanization has drastically increased the number of construction projects in metropolitan cities implementation and management of which may involve numerous ambiguous and unknown issues or risks that can impact project objectives depending on the specif...

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Autores principales: Amir Hossein Nadali Jelokhani, Mehdi Karbassian, Sayyed Rasool Agha Davood, Abdul Majid Abdul Baghi
Formato: article
Lenguaje:FA
Publicado: Islamic Azad University, Tabriz Branch 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/6853d4b47e374269a8ab7c07303afcbc
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:6853d4b47e374269a8ab7c07303afcbc2021-11-09T05:40:13ZThe Effect of Risk Dimensions on the Objectives of Construction Projects in Isfahan Municipality: An Integrated SEM and BBN Analysis2716-99792476-729810.30495/qjopm.2020.575033.2198https://doaj.org/article/6853d4b47e374269a8ab7c07303afcbc2021-09-01T00:00:00Zhttp://jpm.iaut.ac.ir/article_684607_3cbaccf213f5da4388df973ef0eb259f.pdfhttps://doaj.org/toc/2716-9979https://doaj.org/toc/2476-7298Population growth and the subsequent surge in urbanization has drastically increased the number of construction projects in metropolitan cities implementation and management of which may involve numerous ambiguous and unknown issues or risks that can impact project objectives depending on the specific project characteristics and municipal conditions. Thus, the purpose of the current applied descriptive correlational survey was to examine the extent to which components of risk failure structure can impact the goals of municipal construction projects including citizen satisfaction, cost, time, quality, range and safety using Bayesian Belief Network (BBN). The purposeful research sample comprised 45 managers, deputies, relevant officials and experts in Isfahan municipality who were consulted to identify the project risk dimensions during 2016 and 2018. A questionnaire was employed to collect the research data which were further analyzed using the project risk structure breakdown to classify and identify risks and matrices. Partial Least Squares Method of Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) was employed to validate the questionnaire data.  The simultaneous impact of risk dimensions on project goals was investigated using probable cause and effect modeling based on Bayesian Belief Model. The findings verified the significant positive impact of project risk components on the project objectives. The innovative characteristic of the current study was the integration of SEM and Bayesian BBN and application of error state analysis technique and risk effects in risk failure structure which can establish certainty concerning the analysis of risk dimensions and their relationship with precision of priorities in risk management process.Amir Hossein Nadali JelokhaniMehdi KarbassianSayyed Rasool Agha DavoodAbdul Majid Abdul BaghiIslamic Azad University, Tabriz Brancharticlebbnmunicipal construction projectsproject risk managementrbsrisk analysisManagement. Industrial managementHD28-70FAمدیریت بهره وری, Vol 15, Iss 3(58)پاییز, Pp 245-275 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language FA
topic bbn
municipal construction projects
project risk management
rbs
risk analysis
Management. Industrial management
HD28-70
spellingShingle bbn
municipal construction projects
project risk management
rbs
risk analysis
Management. Industrial management
HD28-70
Amir Hossein Nadali Jelokhani
Mehdi Karbassian
Sayyed Rasool Agha Davood
Abdul Majid Abdul Baghi
The Effect of Risk Dimensions on the Objectives of Construction Projects in Isfahan Municipality: An Integrated SEM and BBN Analysis
description Population growth and the subsequent surge in urbanization has drastically increased the number of construction projects in metropolitan cities implementation and management of which may involve numerous ambiguous and unknown issues or risks that can impact project objectives depending on the specific project characteristics and municipal conditions. Thus, the purpose of the current applied descriptive correlational survey was to examine the extent to which components of risk failure structure can impact the goals of municipal construction projects including citizen satisfaction, cost, time, quality, range and safety using Bayesian Belief Network (BBN). The purposeful research sample comprised 45 managers, deputies, relevant officials and experts in Isfahan municipality who were consulted to identify the project risk dimensions during 2016 and 2018. A questionnaire was employed to collect the research data which were further analyzed using the project risk structure breakdown to classify and identify risks and matrices. Partial Least Squares Method of Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) was employed to validate the questionnaire data.  The simultaneous impact of risk dimensions on project goals was investigated using probable cause and effect modeling based on Bayesian Belief Model. The findings verified the significant positive impact of project risk components on the project objectives. The innovative characteristic of the current study was the integration of SEM and Bayesian BBN and application of error state analysis technique and risk effects in risk failure structure which can establish certainty concerning the analysis of risk dimensions and their relationship with precision of priorities in risk management process.
format article
author Amir Hossein Nadali Jelokhani
Mehdi Karbassian
Sayyed Rasool Agha Davood
Abdul Majid Abdul Baghi
author_facet Amir Hossein Nadali Jelokhani
Mehdi Karbassian
Sayyed Rasool Agha Davood
Abdul Majid Abdul Baghi
author_sort Amir Hossein Nadali Jelokhani
title The Effect of Risk Dimensions on the Objectives of Construction Projects in Isfahan Municipality: An Integrated SEM and BBN Analysis
title_short The Effect of Risk Dimensions on the Objectives of Construction Projects in Isfahan Municipality: An Integrated SEM and BBN Analysis
title_full The Effect of Risk Dimensions on the Objectives of Construction Projects in Isfahan Municipality: An Integrated SEM and BBN Analysis
title_fullStr The Effect of Risk Dimensions on the Objectives of Construction Projects in Isfahan Municipality: An Integrated SEM and BBN Analysis
title_full_unstemmed The Effect of Risk Dimensions on the Objectives of Construction Projects in Isfahan Municipality: An Integrated SEM and BBN Analysis
title_sort effect of risk dimensions on the objectives of construction projects in isfahan municipality: an integrated sem and bbn analysis
publisher Islamic Azad University, Tabriz Branch
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/6853d4b47e374269a8ab7c07303afcbc
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