Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability

Large uncertainty exists in projecting future 20-year global warming trends due to intrinsic tropical Pacific climate variability. Here the authors show that knowledge of the state of the Pacific Ocean can significantly reduce this uncertainty via the use of initialized decadal climate forecasts.

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Mohammad Hadi Bordbar, Matthew H. England, Alex Sen Gupta, Agus Santoso, Andréa S. Taschetto, Thomas Martin, Wonsun Park, Mojib Latif
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2019
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/69b522cf371e487cafcc96a2d17ac441
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Descripción
Sumario:Large uncertainty exists in projecting future 20-year global warming trends due to intrinsic tropical Pacific climate variability. Here the authors show that knowledge of the state of the Pacific Ocean can significantly reduce this uncertainty via the use of initialized decadal climate forecasts.