Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability
Large uncertainty exists in projecting future 20-year global warming trends due to intrinsic tropical Pacific climate variability. Here the authors show that knowledge of the state of the Pacific Ocean can significantly reduce this uncertainty via the use of initialized decadal climate forecasts.
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Nature Portfolio
2019
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oai:doaj.org-article:69b522cf371e487cafcc96a2d17ac4412021-12-02T14:39:40ZUncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability10.1038/s41467-019-09761-22041-1723https://doaj.org/article/69b522cf371e487cafcc96a2d17ac4412019-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09761-2https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Large uncertainty exists in projecting future 20-year global warming trends due to intrinsic tropical Pacific climate variability. Here the authors show that knowledge of the state of the Pacific Ocean can significantly reduce this uncertainty via the use of initialized decadal climate forecasts.Mohammad Hadi BordbarMatthew H. EnglandAlex Sen GuptaAgus SantosoAndréa S. TaschettoThomas MartinWonsun ParkMojib LatifNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2019) |
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Science Q Mohammad Hadi Bordbar Matthew H. England Alex Sen Gupta Agus Santoso Andréa S. Taschetto Thomas Martin Wonsun Park Mojib Latif Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability |
description |
Large uncertainty exists in projecting future 20-year global warming trends due to intrinsic tropical Pacific climate variability. Here the authors show that knowledge of the state of the Pacific Ocean can significantly reduce this uncertainty via the use of initialized decadal climate forecasts. |
format |
article |
author |
Mohammad Hadi Bordbar Matthew H. England Alex Sen Gupta Agus Santoso Andréa S. Taschetto Thomas Martin Wonsun Park Mojib Latif |
author_facet |
Mohammad Hadi Bordbar Matthew H. England Alex Sen Gupta Agus Santoso Andréa S. Taschetto Thomas Martin Wonsun Park Mojib Latif |
author_sort |
Mohammad Hadi Bordbar |
title |
Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability |
title_short |
Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability |
title_full |
Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability |
title_fullStr |
Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability |
title_full_unstemmed |
Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability |
title_sort |
uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical pacific climate variability |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/69b522cf371e487cafcc96a2d17ac441 |
work_keys_str_mv |
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1718390535318667264 |