Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability

Large uncertainty exists in projecting future 20-year global warming trends due to intrinsic tropical Pacific climate variability. Here the authors show that knowledge of the state of the Pacific Ocean can significantly reduce this uncertainty via the use of initialized decadal climate forecasts.

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Autores principales: Mohammad Hadi Bordbar, Matthew H. England, Alex Sen Gupta, Agus Santoso, Andréa S. Taschetto, Thomas Martin, Wonsun Park, Mojib Latif
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2019
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/69b522cf371e487cafcc96a2d17ac441
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:69b522cf371e487cafcc96a2d17ac4412021-12-02T14:39:40ZUncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability10.1038/s41467-019-09761-22041-1723https://doaj.org/article/69b522cf371e487cafcc96a2d17ac4412019-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09761-2https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Large uncertainty exists in projecting future 20-year global warming trends due to intrinsic tropical Pacific climate variability. Here the authors show that knowledge of the state of the Pacific Ocean can significantly reduce this uncertainty via the use of initialized decadal climate forecasts.Mohammad Hadi BordbarMatthew H. EnglandAlex Sen GuptaAgus SantosoAndréa S. TaschettoThomas MartinWonsun ParkMojib LatifNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2019)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Science
Q
spellingShingle Science
Q
Mohammad Hadi Bordbar
Matthew H. England
Alex Sen Gupta
Agus Santoso
Andréa S. Taschetto
Thomas Martin
Wonsun Park
Mojib Latif
Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability
description Large uncertainty exists in projecting future 20-year global warming trends due to intrinsic tropical Pacific climate variability. Here the authors show that knowledge of the state of the Pacific Ocean can significantly reduce this uncertainty via the use of initialized decadal climate forecasts.
format article
author Mohammad Hadi Bordbar
Matthew H. England
Alex Sen Gupta
Agus Santoso
Andréa S. Taschetto
Thomas Martin
Wonsun Park
Mojib Latif
author_facet Mohammad Hadi Bordbar
Matthew H. England
Alex Sen Gupta
Agus Santoso
Andréa S. Taschetto
Thomas Martin
Wonsun Park
Mojib Latif
author_sort Mohammad Hadi Bordbar
title Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability
title_short Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability
title_full Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability
title_fullStr Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability
title_full_unstemmed Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability
title_sort uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical pacific climate variability
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2019
url https://doaj.org/article/69b522cf371e487cafcc96a2d17ac441
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