A global association between Covid-19 cases and airborne particulate matter at regional level

Abstract Evidences of an association between air pollution and Covid-19 infections are mixed and inconclusive. We conducted an ecological analysis at regional scale of long-term exposure to air-borne particle matter and spread of Covid-19 cases during the first wave of epidemics. Global air pollutio...

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Autores principales: Angelo Solimini, F. Filipponi, D. Alunni Fegatelli, B. Caputo, C. M. De Marco, A. Spagnoli, A. R. Vestri
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/6a32ab4f33264dcb8a5a6e788eac4283
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:6a32ab4f33264dcb8a5a6e788eac42832021-12-02T17:05:11ZA global association between Covid-19 cases and airborne particulate matter at regional level10.1038/s41598-021-85751-z2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/6a32ab4f33264dcb8a5a6e788eac42832021-03-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-85751-zhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Evidences of an association between air pollution and Covid-19 infections are mixed and inconclusive. We conducted an ecological analysis at regional scale of long-term exposure to air-borne particle matter and spread of Covid-19 cases during the first wave of epidemics. Global air pollution and climate data were calculated from satellite earth observation data assimilated into numerical models at 10 km resolution. Main outcome was defined as the cumulative number of cases of Covid-19 in the 14 days following the date when > 10 cumulative cases were reported. Negative binomial mixed effect models were applied to estimate the associations between the outcome and long-term exposure to air pollution at the regional level (PM10, PM2.5), after adjusting for relevant regional and country level covariates and spatial correlation. In total we collected 237,749 Covid-19 cases from 730 regions, 63 countries and 5 continents at May 30, 2020. A 10 μg/m3 increase of pollution level was associated with 8.1% (95% CI 5.4%, 10.5%) and 11.5% (95% CI 7.8%, 14.9%) increases in the number of cases in a 14 days window, for PM2.5 and PM10 respectively. We found an association between Covid-19 cases and air pollution suggestive of a possible causal link among particulate matter levels and incidence of COVID-19.Angelo SoliminiF. FilipponiD. Alunni FegatelliB. CaputoC. M. De MarcoA. SpagnoliA. R. VestriNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-7 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Angelo Solimini
F. Filipponi
D. Alunni Fegatelli
B. Caputo
C. M. De Marco
A. Spagnoli
A. R. Vestri
A global association between Covid-19 cases and airborne particulate matter at regional level
description Abstract Evidences of an association between air pollution and Covid-19 infections are mixed and inconclusive. We conducted an ecological analysis at regional scale of long-term exposure to air-borne particle matter and spread of Covid-19 cases during the first wave of epidemics. Global air pollution and climate data were calculated from satellite earth observation data assimilated into numerical models at 10 km resolution. Main outcome was defined as the cumulative number of cases of Covid-19 in the 14 days following the date when > 10 cumulative cases were reported. Negative binomial mixed effect models were applied to estimate the associations between the outcome and long-term exposure to air pollution at the regional level (PM10, PM2.5), after adjusting for relevant regional and country level covariates and spatial correlation. In total we collected 237,749 Covid-19 cases from 730 regions, 63 countries and 5 continents at May 30, 2020. A 10 μg/m3 increase of pollution level was associated with 8.1% (95% CI 5.4%, 10.5%) and 11.5% (95% CI 7.8%, 14.9%) increases in the number of cases in a 14 days window, for PM2.5 and PM10 respectively. We found an association between Covid-19 cases and air pollution suggestive of a possible causal link among particulate matter levels and incidence of COVID-19.
format article
author Angelo Solimini
F. Filipponi
D. Alunni Fegatelli
B. Caputo
C. M. De Marco
A. Spagnoli
A. R. Vestri
author_facet Angelo Solimini
F. Filipponi
D. Alunni Fegatelli
B. Caputo
C. M. De Marco
A. Spagnoli
A. R. Vestri
author_sort Angelo Solimini
title A global association between Covid-19 cases and airborne particulate matter at regional level
title_short A global association between Covid-19 cases and airborne particulate matter at regional level
title_full A global association between Covid-19 cases and airborne particulate matter at regional level
title_fullStr A global association between Covid-19 cases and airborne particulate matter at regional level
title_full_unstemmed A global association between Covid-19 cases and airborne particulate matter at regional level
title_sort global association between covid-19 cases and airborne particulate matter at regional level
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/6a32ab4f33264dcb8a5a6e788eac4283
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