Optimal strategic pandemic control: human mobility and travel restriction

This paper presents a model for finding optimal pandemic control policy considering cross-region human mobility. We extend the baseline susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) epidemiology model by including the net human mobility from a severely-impacted region to a mildly-affected region. The strat...

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Autores principales:	Wentao Hu, Yufeng Shi, Cuixia Chen, Ze Chen
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	AIMS Press 2021
Materias:	pandemic mitigation human mobility sir model covid-19 Biotechnology TP248.13-248.65 Mathematics QA1-939
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/6bd1adfd50134b4c9dfa81526206839c
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:6bd1adfd50134b4c9dfa81526206839c2021-11-29T06:22:30ZOptimal strategic pandemic control: human mobility and travel restriction10.3934/mbe.20214681551-0018https://doaj.org/article/6bd1adfd50134b4c9dfa81526206839c2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2021468?viewType=HTMLhttps://doaj.org/toc/1551-0018This paper presents a model for finding optimal pandemic control policy considering cross-region human mobility. We extend the baseline susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) epidemiology model by including the net human mobility from a severely-impacted region to a mildly-affected region. The strategic optimal mitigation policy combining testing and lockdown in each region is then obtained with the goal of minimizing economic cost under the constraint of limited resources. We parametrize the model using the data of the COVID-19 pandemic and show that the optimal response strategy and mitigation outcome greatly rely on the mitigation duration, available resources, and cross-region human mobility. Furthermore, we discuss the economic impact of travel restriction policies through a quantitative analysis.Wentao HuYufeng ShiCuixia ChenZe ChenAIMS Pressarticlepandemic mitigationhuman mobilitysir modelcovid-19BiotechnologyTP248.13-248.65MathematicsQA1-939ENMathematical Biosciences and Engineering, Vol 18, Iss 6, Pp 9525-9562 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	pandemic mitigation human mobility sir model covid-19 Biotechnology TP248.13-248.65 Mathematics QA1-939
spellingShingle	pandemic mitigation human mobility sir model covid-19 Biotechnology TP248.13-248.65 Mathematics QA1-939 Wentao Hu Yufeng Shi Cuixia Chen Ze Chen Optimal strategic pandemic control: human mobility and travel restriction
description	This paper presents a model for finding optimal pandemic control policy considering cross-region human mobility. We extend the baseline susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) epidemiology model by including the net human mobility from a severely-impacted region to a mildly-affected region. The strategic optimal mitigation policy combining testing and lockdown in each region is then obtained with the goal of minimizing economic cost under the constraint of limited resources. We parametrize the model using the data of the COVID-19 pandemic and show that the optimal response strategy and mitigation outcome greatly rely on the mitigation duration, available resources, and cross-region human mobility. Furthermore, we discuss the economic impact of travel restriction policies through a quantitative analysis.
format	article
author	Wentao Hu Yufeng Shi Cuixia Chen Ze Chen
author_facet	Wentao Hu Yufeng Shi Cuixia Chen Ze Chen
author_sort	Wentao Hu
title	Optimal strategic pandemic control: human mobility and travel restriction
title_short	Optimal strategic pandemic control: human mobility and travel restriction
title_full	Optimal strategic pandemic control: human mobility and travel restriction
title_fullStr	Optimal strategic pandemic control: human mobility and travel restriction
title_full_unstemmed	Optimal strategic pandemic control: human mobility and travel restriction
title_sort	optimal strategic pandemic control: human mobility and travel restriction
publisher	AIMS Press
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/6bd1adfd50134b4c9dfa81526206839c
work_keys_str_mv	AT wentaohu optimalstrategicpandemiccontrolhumanmobilityandtravelrestriction AT yufengshi optimalstrategicpandemiccontrolhumanmobilityandtravelrestriction AT cuixiachen optimalstrategicpandemiccontrolhumanmobilityandtravelrestriction AT zechen optimalstrategicpandemiccontrolhumanmobilityandtravelrestriction
_version_	1718407590133628928

Optimal strategic pandemic control: human mobility and travel restriction

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