Diagnosing underdetermination in stable isotope mixing models.

Stable isotope mixing models (SIMMs) provide a powerful methodology for quantifying relative contributions of several sources to a mixture. They are widely used in the fields of ecology, geology, and archaeology. Although SIMMs have been rapidly evolved in the Bayesian framework, the underdeterminat...

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Autores principales: Yutaka Osada, Jun Matsubayashi, Ichiro Tayasu
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/6cb04a94d2ad4c7782429c44e0ee1fd3
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:6cb04a94d2ad4c7782429c44e0ee1fd32021-12-02T20:17:25ZDiagnosing underdetermination in stable isotope mixing models.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0257818https://doaj.org/article/6cb04a94d2ad4c7782429c44e0ee1fd32021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0257818https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Stable isotope mixing models (SIMMs) provide a powerful methodology for quantifying relative contributions of several sources to a mixture. They are widely used in the fields of ecology, geology, and archaeology. Although SIMMs have been rapidly evolved in the Bayesian framework, the underdetermination of mixing space remains problematic, i.e., the estimated relative contributions are incompletely identifiable. Here we propose a statistical method to quantitatively diagnose underdetermination in Bayesian SIMMs, and demonstrate the applications of our method (named β-dependent SIMM) using two motivated examples. Using a simulation example, we showed that the proposed method can rigorously quantify the expected underdetermination (i.e., intervals of β-dependent posterior) of relative contributions. Moreover, the application to the published field data highlighted two problematic aspects of the underdetermination: 1) ordinary SIMMs was difficult to quantify underdetermination of each source, and 2) the marginal posterior median was not necessarily consistent with the joint posterior peak in the case of underdetermination. Our study theoretically and numerically confirmed that β-dependent SIMMs provide a useful diagnostic tool for the underdetermined mixing problem. In addition to ordinary SIMMs, we recommend reporting the results of β-dependent SIMMs to obtain a biologically feasible and sound interpretation from stable isotope data.Yutaka OsadaJun MatsubayashiIchiro TayasuPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 10, p e0257818 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Yutaka Osada
Jun Matsubayashi
Ichiro Tayasu
Diagnosing underdetermination in stable isotope mixing models.
description Stable isotope mixing models (SIMMs) provide a powerful methodology for quantifying relative contributions of several sources to a mixture. They are widely used in the fields of ecology, geology, and archaeology. Although SIMMs have been rapidly evolved in the Bayesian framework, the underdetermination of mixing space remains problematic, i.e., the estimated relative contributions are incompletely identifiable. Here we propose a statistical method to quantitatively diagnose underdetermination in Bayesian SIMMs, and demonstrate the applications of our method (named β-dependent SIMM) using two motivated examples. Using a simulation example, we showed that the proposed method can rigorously quantify the expected underdetermination (i.e., intervals of β-dependent posterior) of relative contributions. Moreover, the application to the published field data highlighted two problematic aspects of the underdetermination: 1) ordinary SIMMs was difficult to quantify underdetermination of each source, and 2) the marginal posterior median was not necessarily consistent with the joint posterior peak in the case of underdetermination. Our study theoretically and numerically confirmed that β-dependent SIMMs provide a useful diagnostic tool for the underdetermined mixing problem. In addition to ordinary SIMMs, we recommend reporting the results of β-dependent SIMMs to obtain a biologically feasible and sound interpretation from stable isotope data.
format article
author Yutaka Osada
Jun Matsubayashi
Ichiro Tayasu
author_facet Yutaka Osada
Jun Matsubayashi
Ichiro Tayasu
author_sort Yutaka Osada
title Diagnosing underdetermination in stable isotope mixing models.
title_short Diagnosing underdetermination in stable isotope mixing models.
title_full Diagnosing underdetermination in stable isotope mixing models.
title_fullStr Diagnosing underdetermination in stable isotope mixing models.
title_full_unstemmed Diagnosing underdetermination in stable isotope mixing models.
title_sort diagnosing underdetermination in stable isotope mixing models.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/6cb04a94d2ad4c7782429c44e0ee1fd3
work_keys_str_mv AT yutakaosada diagnosingunderdeterminationinstableisotopemixingmodels
AT junmatsubayashi diagnosingunderdeterminationinstableisotopemixingmodels
AT ichirotayasu diagnosingunderdeterminationinstableisotopemixingmodels
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