Vulnerability assessment of marine economic system based on comprehensive index and catastrophe progression model

The sustainable development of the marine economic system to accurately grasp the dynamic evolution characteristics and main driving factors of the vulnerability of the marine economic system so as to effectively identify the problems in the operation of the marine economy is extremely important. Ba...

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Autores principales: Sheng Gao, Huihui Sun, Miaosen Ma, Yanyan Lu, Yuan Yao, Wei Liu
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Group 2020
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/6ce1d0596827487b91aaac70ca82193a
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:6ce1d0596827487b91aaac70ca82193a2021-12-02T17:55:40ZVulnerability assessment of marine economic system based on comprehensive index and catastrophe progression model2332-887810.1080/20964129.2020.1834459https://doaj.org/article/6ce1d0596827487b91aaac70ca82193a2020-12-01T00:00:00Zhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1080/20964129.2020.1834459https://doaj.org/toc/2332-8878The sustainable development of the marine economic system to accurately grasp the dynamic evolution characteristics and main driving factors of the vulnerability of the marine economic system so as to effectively identify the problems in the operation of the marine economy is extremely important. Based on the establishment of a three-level assessment index system for the vulnerability of the marine economic system, the vulnerability of the marine economic system of Jiangsu Province in 2008–2016 was evaluated by using the comprehensive index model and the catastrophe progression model, and the results were compared based on the unified evaluation criteria. The main influencing factors were analyzed by principal component analysis and Pearson correlation analysis. It’s found that 2014, 2015, and 2012 are in a general state, 2009 and 2010 are in a poor state, and the vulnerability state from 2008 to 2011 is lower than that in 2012. The overall volatility is small indicating a stable system. Among them, the scale of marine industry and profit and loss of marine resources are the main components of marine economic system vulnerability having the highest correlation with the vulnerability of marine economic system. This study enriches the theoretical method and empirical research on the vulnerability of the marine economic system and has practical significance in allowing for timely targeted control measures to affect the vulnerability of the marine economic system.Sheng GaoHuihui SunMiaosen MaYanyan LuYuan YaoWei LiuTaylor & Francis Grouparticlemarine economic systemvulnerabilitycomprehensive indexcatastrophe seriesEcologyQH540-549.5ENEcosystem Health and Sustainability, Vol 6, Iss 1 (2020)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic marine economic system
vulnerability
comprehensive index
catastrophe series
Ecology
QH540-549.5
spellingShingle marine economic system
vulnerability
comprehensive index
catastrophe series
Ecology
QH540-549.5
Sheng Gao
Huihui Sun
Miaosen Ma
Yanyan Lu
Yuan Yao
Wei Liu
Vulnerability assessment of marine economic system based on comprehensive index and catastrophe progression model
description The sustainable development of the marine economic system to accurately grasp the dynamic evolution characteristics and main driving factors of the vulnerability of the marine economic system so as to effectively identify the problems in the operation of the marine economy is extremely important. Based on the establishment of a three-level assessment index system for the vulnerability of the marine economic system, the vulnerability of the marine economic system of Jiangsu Province in 2008–2016 was evaluated by using the comprehensive index model and the catastrophe progression model, and the results were compared based on the unified evaluation criteria. The main influencing factors were analyzed by principal component analysis and Pearson correlation analysis. It’s found that 2014, 2015, and 2012 are in a general state, 2009 and 2010 are in a poor state, and the vulnerability state from 2008 to 2011 is lower than that in 2012. The overall volatility is small indicating a stable system. Among them, the scale of marine industry and profit and loss of marine resources are the main components of marine economic system vulnerability having the highest correlation with the vulnerability of marine economic system. This study enriches the theoretical method and empirical research on the vulnerability of the marine economic system and has practical significance in allowing for timely targeted control measures to affect the vulnerability of the marine economic system.
format article
author Sheng Gao
Huihui Sun
Miaosen Ma
Yanyan Lu
Yuan Yao
Wei Liu
author_facet Sheng Gao
Huihui Sun
Miaosen Ma
Yanyan Lu
Yuan Yao
Wei Liu
author_sort Sheng Gao
title Vulnerability assessment of marine economic system based on comprehensive index and catastrophe progression model
title_short Vulnerability assessment of marine economic system based on comprehensive index and catastrophe progression model
title_full Vulnerability assessment of marine economic system based on comprehensive index and catastrophe progression model
title_fullStr Vulnerability assessment of marine economic system based on comprehensive index and catastrophe progression model
title_full_unstemmed Vulnerability assessment of marine economic system based on comprehensive index and catastrophe progression model
title_sort vulnerability assessment of marine economic system based on comprehensive index and catastrophe progression model
publisher Taylor & Francis Group
publishDate 2020
url https://doaj.org/article/6ce1d0596827487b91aaac70ca82193a
work_keys_str_mv AT shenggao vulnerabilityassessmentofmarineeconomicsystembasedoncomprehensiveindexandcatastropheprogressionmodel
AT huihuisun vulnerabilityassessmentofmarineeconomicsystembasedoncomprehensiveindexandcatastropheprogressionmodel
AT miaosenma vulnerabilityassessmentofmarineeconomicsystembasedoncomprehensiveindexandcatastropheprogressionmodel
AT yanyanlu vulnerabilityassessmentofmarineeconomicsystembasedoncomprehensiveindexandcatastropheprogressionmodel
AT yuanyao vulnerabilityassessmentofmarineeconomicsystembasedoncomprehensiveindexandcatastropheprogressionmodel
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