Seawater intrusion vulnerability evaluation and prediction: a case study of Qeshm Island, Iran

Seawater intrusion is one of the most serious issues to threaten coastal aquifers. Tourian aquifer, which is selected as the case study, is located in Qeshm Island, Persian Gulf. In this study, first the vulnerability of the region to seawater intrusion is assessed using chloride ion concentration v...

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Autores principales: Amin Zeynolabedin, Reza Ghiassi, Moharram Dolatshahi Pirooz
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: IWA Publishing 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/6d3056edb614461fb1fd5b36dd367ad7
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:6d3056edb614461fb1fd5b36dd367ad72021-11-05T18:41:09ZSeawater intrusion vulnerability evaluation and prediction: a case study of Qeshm Island, Iran2040-22442408-935410.2166/wcc.2020.220https://doaj.org/article/6d3056edb614461fb1fd5b36dd367ad72021-02-01T00:00:00Zhttp://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/12/1/265https://doaj.org/toc/2040-2244https://doaj.org/toc/2408-9354Seawater intrusion is one of the most serious issues to threaten coastal aquifers. Tourian aquifer, which is selected as the case study, is located in Qeshm Island, Persian Gulf. In this study, first the vulnerability of the region to seawater intrusion is assessed using chloride ion concentration value, then by using the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, the vulnerability of the region is predicted for 14 wells in 2018. The results show that the Tourian aquifer experiences moderate vulnerability and the area affected by seawater intrusion is wide and is in danger of expanding. It is also found that 0.95 km2 of the region is in a state of high vulnerability with Cl concentration being in a dangerous condition. The prediction model shows that ARIMA (2,1,1) is the best model with mean absolute error of 13.3 mg/L and Nash–Sutcliffe value of 0.81. For fitted and predicted data, mean square error is evaluated as 235.3 and 264.3, respectively. The prediction results show that vulnerability is increasing through the years.Amin ZeynolabedinReza GhiassiMoharram Dolatshahi PiroozIWA Publishingarticlearimacoastal aquiferseawater intrusiontourian aquiferEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENJournal of Water and Climate Change, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 265-277 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic arima
coastal aquifer
seawater intrusion
tourian aquifer
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle arima
coastal aquifer
seawater intrusion
tourian aquifer
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Amin Zeynolabedin
Reza Ghiassi
Moharram Dolatshahi Pirooz
Seawater intrusion vulnerability evaluation and prediction: a case study of Qeshm Island, Iran
description Seawater intrusion is one of the most serious issues to threaten coastal aquifers. Tourian aquifer, which is selected as the case study, is located in Qeshm Island, Persian Gulf. In this study, first the vulnerability of the region to seawater intrusion is assessed using chloride ion concentration value, then by using the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, the vulnerability of the region is predicted for 14 wells in 2018. The results show that the Tourian aquifer experiences moderate vulnerability and the area affected by seawater intrusion is wide and is in danger of expanding. It is also found that 0.95 km2 of the region is in a state of high vulnerability with Cl concentration being in a dangerous condition. The prediction model shows that ARIMA (2,1,1) is the best model with mean absolute error of 13.3 mg/L and Nash–Sutcliffe value of 0.81. For fitted and predicted data, mean square error is evaluated as 235.3 and 264.3, respectively. The prediction results show that vulnerability is increasing through the years.
format article
author Amin Zeynolabedin
Reza Ghiassi
Moharram Dolatshahi Pirooz
author_facet Amin Zeynolabedin
Reza Ghiassi
Moharram Dolatshahi Pirooz
author_sort Amin Zeynolabedin
title Seawater intrusion vulnerability evaluation and prediction: a case study of Qeshm Island, Iran
title_short Seawater intrusion vulnerability evaluation and prediction: a case study of Qeshm Island, Iran
title_full Seawater intrusion vulnerability evaluation and prediction: a case study of Qeshm Island, Iran
title_fullStr Seawater intrusion vulnerability evaluation and prediction: a case study of Qeshm Island, Iran
title_full_unstemmed Seawater intrusion vulnerability evaluation and prediction: a case study of Qeshm Island, Iran
title_sort seawater intrusion vulnerability evaluation and prediction: a case study of qeshm island, iran
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/6d3056edb614461fb1fd5b36dd367ad7
work_keys_str_mv AT aminzeynolabedin seawaterintrusionvulnerabilityevaluationandpredictionacasestudyofqeshmislandiran
AT rezaghiassi seawaterintrusionvulnerabilityevaluationandpredictionacasestudyofqeshmislandiran
AT moharramdolatshahipirooz seawaterintrusionvulnerabilityevaluationandpredictionacasestudyofqeshmislandiran
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