Wind Speed Prediction Using Hybrid 1D CNN and BLSTM Network

As the world witnesses population increase, the global power demand is increasing and the need for exploring other alternative clean and self-renewable sources of energy such as wind has become necessary. For optimal operation of the wind farms and stability of the grid, wind prediction ahead of tim...

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Autores principales: Abdulmajid Lawal, Shafiqur Rehman, Luai M. Alhems, Md. Mahbub Alam
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: IEEE 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/6eb8a4e5698c49dfa79c1623bcb788f7
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:6eb8a4e5698c49dfa79c1623bcb788f72021-12-02T00:00:55ZWind Speed Prediction Using Hybrid 1D CNN and BLSTM Network2169-353610.1109/ACCESS.2021.3129883https://doaj.org/article/6eb8a4e5698c49dfa79c1623bcb788f72021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9623538/https://doaj.org/toc/2169-3536As the world witnesses population increase, the global power demand is increasing and the need for exploring other alternative clean and self-renewable sources of energy such as wind has become necessary. For optimal operation of the wind farms and stability of the grid, wind prediction ahead of time is of key importance. An accurate forecast of wind speed is often difficult due to the unpredictable nature of the wind. In this work, we utilized different machine learning models and proposed a hybrid machine learning approach. This approach combines 1D convolutional neural network (CNN) and bidirectional long short term memory (BLSTM) network for accurate prediction of short term wind prediction at different heights above ground level (AGL). The 1D CNN model extracts high-level features of the input wind speed data. The extracted features are then fed as input to the BLSTM network for wind speed prediction. The wind speed time series data used in this study are measured at 18, and 98 meters AGL. The study further presents a relationship between the utilized models and prediction accuracy at different heights. The forecasting performance of the models tends to increase as the height AGL increases. A real-world case study is implemented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed CNN-BLSTM method in Saudi Arabia. The mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) are used as performance indices to evaluate the performance of the proposed CNN-BLTSM model. The corresponding results show that the proposed method outperforms other benchmark models.Abdulmajid LawalShafiqur RehmanLuai M. AlhemsMd. Mahbub AlamIEEEarticleConvolutional neural networklong short term memorywind speed predictionmachine learninghybrid modelabove ground levelElectrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineeringTK1-9971ENIEEE Access, Vol 9, Pp 156672-156679 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Convolutional neural network
long short term memory
wind speed prediction
machine learning
hybrid model
above ground level
Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering
TK1-9971
spellingShingle Convolutional neural network
long short term memory
wind speed prediction
machine learning
hybrid model
above ground level
Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering
TK1-9971
Abdulmajid Lawal
Shafiqur Rehman
Luai M. Alhems
Md. Mahbub Alam
Wind Speed Prediction Using Hybrid 1D CNN and BLSTM Network
description As the world witnesses population increase, the global power demand is increasing and the need for exploring other alternative clean and self-renewable sources of energy such as wind has become necessary. For optimal operation of the wind farms and stability of the grid, wind prediction ahead of time is of key importance. An accurate forecast of wind speed is often difficult due to the unpredictable nature of the wind. In this work, we utilized different machine learning models and proposed a hybrid machine learning approach. This approach combines 1D convolutional neural network (CNN) and bidirectional long short term memory (BLSTM) network for accurate prediction of short term wind prediction at different heights above ground level (AGL). The 1D CNN model extracts high-level features of the input wind speed data. The extracted features are then fed as input to the BLSTM network for wind speed prediction. The wind speed time series data used in this study are measured at 18, and 98 meters AGL. The study further presents a relationship between the utilized models and prediction accuracy at different heights. The forecasting performance of the models tends to increase as the height AGL increases. A real-world case study is implemented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed CNN-BLSTM method in Saudi Arabia. The mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) are used as performance indices to evaluate the performance of the proposed CNN-BLTSM model. The corresponding results show that the proposed method outperforms other benchmark models.
format article
author Abdulmajid Lawal
Shafiqur Rehman
Luai M. Alhems
Md. Mahbub Alam
author_facet Abdulmajid Lawal
Shafiqur Rehman
Luai M. Alhems
Md. Mahbub Alam
author_sort Abdulmajid Lawal
title Wind Speed Prediction Using Hybrid 1D CNN and BLSTM Network
title_short Wind Speed Prediction Using Hybrid 1D CNN and BLSTM Network
title_full Wind Speed Prediction Using Hybrid 1D CNN and BLSTM Network
title_fullStr Wind Speed Prediction Using Hybrid 1D CNN and BLSTM Network
title_full_unstemmed Wind Speed Prediction Using Hybrid 1D CNN and BLSTM Network
title_sort wind speed prediction using hybrid 1d cnn and blstm network
publisher IEEE
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/6eb8a4e5698c49dfa79c1623bcb788f7
work_keys_str_mv AT abdulmajidlawal windspeedpredictionusinghybrid1dcnnandblstmnetwork
AT shafiqurrehman windspeedpredictionusinghybrid1dcnnandblstmnetwork
AT luaimalhems windspeedpredictionusinghybrid1dcnnandblstmnetwork
AT mdmahbubalam windspeedpredictionusinghybrid1dcnnandblstmnetwork
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