Modeling the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic in the Republic of Cyprus

Abstract We present different data analytic methodologies that have been applied in order to understand the evolution of the first wave of the Coronavirus disease 2019 in the Republic of Cyprus and the effect of different intervention measures that have been taken by the government. Change point det...

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Autores principales:	Sergios Agapiou, Andreas Anastasiou, Anastassia Baxevani, Christos Nicolaides, Georgios Hadjigeorgiou, Tasos Christofides, Elisavet Constantinou, Georgios Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos Fokianos
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/6f82bd749a1440d887075332777f6e99
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:6f82bd749a1440d887075332777f6e992021-12-02T14:23:05ZModeling the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic in the Republic of Cyprus10.1038/s41598-021-86606-32045-2322https://doaj.org/article/6f82bd749a1440d887075332777f6e992021-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-86606-3https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract We present different data analytic methodologies that have been applied in order to understand the evolution of the first wave of the Coronavirus disease 2019 in the Republic of Cyprus and the effect of different intervention measures that have been taken by the government. Change point detection has been used in order to estimate the number and locations of changes in the behaviour of the collected data. Count time series methods have been employed to provide short term projections and a number of various compartmental models have been fitted to the data providing with long term projections on the pandemic’s evolution and allowing for the estimation of the effective reproduction number.Sergios AgapiouAndreas AnastasiouAnastassia BaxevaniChristos NicolaidesGeorgios HadjigeorgiouTasos ChristofidesElisavet ConstantinouGeorgios NikolopoulosKonstantinos FokianosNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-14 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Sergios Agapiou Andreas Anastasiou Anastassia Baxevani Christos Nicolaides Georgios Hadjigeorgiou Tasos Christofides Elisavet Constantinou Georgios Nikolopoulos Konstantinos Fokianos Modeling the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic in the Republic of Cyprus
description	Abstract We present different data analytic methodologies that have been applied in order to understand the evolution of the first wave of the Coronavirus disease 2019 in the Republic of Cyprus and the effect of different intervention measures that have been taken by the government. Change point detection has been used in order to estimate the number and locations of changes in the behaviour of the collected data. Count time series methods have been employed to provide short term projections and a number of various compartmental models have been fitted to the data providing with long term projections on the pandemic’s evolution and allowing for the estimation of the effective reproduction number.
format	article
author	Sergios Agapiou Andreas Anastasiou Anastassia Baxevani Christos Nicolaides Georgios Hadjigeorgiou Tasos Christofides Elisavet Constantinou Georgios Nikolopoulos Konstantinos Fokianos
author_facet	Sergios Agapiou Andreas Anastasiou Anastassia Baxevani Christos Nicolaides Georgios Hadjigeorgiou Tasos Christofides Elisavet Constantinou Georgios Nikolopoulos Konstantinos Fokianos
author_sort	Sergios Agapiou
title	Modeling the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic in the Republic of Cyprus
title_short	Modeling the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic in the Republic of Cyprus
title_full	Modeling the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic in the Republic of Cyprus
title_fullStr	Modeling the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic in the Republic of Cyprus
title_full_unstemmed	Modeling the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic in the Republic of Cyprus
title_sort	modeling the first wave of covid-19 pandemic in the republic of cyprus
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/6f82bd749a1440d887075332777f6e99
work_keys_str_mv	AT sergiosagapiou modelingthefirstwaveofcovid19pandemicintherepublicofcyprus AT andreasanastasiou modelingthefirstwaveofcovid19pandemicintherepublicofcyprus AT anastassiabaxevani modelingthefirstwaveofcovid19pandemicintherepublicofcyprus AT christosnicolaides modelingthefirstwaveofcovid19pandemicintherepublicofcyprus AT georgioshadjigeorgiou modelingthefirstwaveofcovid19pandemicintherepublicofcyprus AT tasoschristofides modelingthefirstwaveofcovid19pandemicintherepublicofcyprus AT elisavetconstantinou modelingthefirstwaveofcovid19pandemicintherepublicofcyprus AT georgiosnikolopoulos modelingthefirstwaveofcovid19pandemicintherepublicofcyprus AT konstantinosfokianos modelingthefirstwaveofcovid19pandemicintherepublicofcyprus
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Modeling the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic in the Republic of Cyprus

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