Improved fuzzy modelling to predict the academic performance of distance education students

It is essential to predict distance education students’ year-end academic performance early during the course of the semester and to take precautions using such prediction-based information. This will, in particular, help enhance their academic performance and, therefore, improve the overall educat...

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Autores principales: Osman Yildiz, Abdullah Bal, Sevinc Gulsecen
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Athabasca University Press 2013
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/70021fe3179f440f8d7ac37921db7f4f
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:70021fe3179f440f8d7ac37921db7f4f2021-12-02T19:20:54ZImproved fuzzy modelling to predict the academic performance of distance education students10.19173/irrodl.v14i5.15951492-3831https://doaj.org/article/70021fe3179f440f8d7ac37921db7f4f2013-12-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.irrodl.org/index.php/irrodl/article/view/1595https://doaj.org/toc/1492-3831 It is essential to predict distance education students’ year-end academic performance early during the course of the semester and to take precautions using such prediction-based information. This will, in particular, help enhance their academic performance and, therefore, improve the overall educational quality. The present study was on the development of a mathematical model intended to predict distance education students’ year-end academic performance using the first eight-week data on the learning management system. First, two fuzzy models were constructed, namely the classical fuzzy model and the expert fuzzy model, the latter being based on expert opinion. Afterwards, a gene-fuzzy model was developed optimizing membership functions through genetic algorithm. The data on distance education were collected through Moodle, an open source learning management system. The data were on a total of 218 students who enrolled in Basic Computer Sciences in 2012. The input data consisted of the following variables: When a student logged on to the system for the last time after the content of a lesson was uploaded, how often he/she logged on to the system, how long he/she stayed online in the last login, what score he/she got in the quiz taken in Week 4, and what score he/she got in the midterm exam taken in Week 8. A comparison was made among the predictions of the three models concerning the students’ year-end academic performance. Osman YildizAbdullah BalSevinc GulsecenAthabasca University PressarticleDistance Educationacademic performancefuzzy logicgenetic algorithmonline learningSpecial aspects of educationLC8-6691ENInternational Review of Research in Open and Distributed Learning, Vol 14, Iss 5 (2013)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Distance Education
academic performance
fuzzy logic
genetic algorithm
online learning
Special aspects of education
LC8-6691
spellingShingle Distance Education
academic performance
fuzzy logic
genetic algorithm
online learning
Special aspects of education
LC8-6691
Osman Yildiz
Abdullah Bal
Sevinc Gulsecen
Improved fuzzy modelling to predict the academic performance of distance education students
description It is essential to predict distance education students’ year-end academic performance early during the course of the semester and to take precautions using such prediction-based information. This will, in particular, help enhance their academic performance and, therefore, improve the overall educational quality. The present study was on the development of a mathematical model intended to predict distance education students’ year-end academic performance using the first eight-week data on the learning management system. First, two fuzzy models were constructed, namely the classical fuzzy model and the expert fuzzy model, the latter being based on expert opinion. Afterwards, a gene-fuzzy model was developed optimizing membership functions through genetic algorithm. The data on distance education were collected through Moodle, an open source learning management system. The data were on a total of 218 students who enrolled in Basic Computer Sciences in 2012. The input data consisted of the following variables: When a student logged on to the system for the last time after the content of a lesson was uploaded, how often he/she logged on to the system, how long he/she stayed online in the last login, what score he/she got in the quiz taken in Week 4, and what score he/she got in the midterm exam taken in Week 8. A comparison was made among the predictions of the three models concerning the students’ year-end academic performance.
format article
author Osman Yildiz
Abdullah Bal
Sevinc Gulsecen
author_facet Osman Yildiz
Abdullah Bal
Sevinc Gulsecen
author_sort Osman Yildiz
title Improved fuzzy modelling to predict the academic performance of distance education students
title_short Improved fuzzy modelling to predict the academic performance of distance education students
title_full Improved fuzzy modelling to predict the academic performance of distance education students
title_fullStr Improved fuzzy modelling to predict the academic performance of distance education students
title_full_unstemmed Improved fuzzy modelling to predict the academic performance of distance education students
title_sort improved fuzzy modelling to predict the academic performance of distance education students
publisher Athabasca University Press
publishDate 2013
url https://doaj.org/article/70021fe3179f440f8d7ac37921db7f4f
work_keys_str_mv AT osmanyildiz improvedfuzzymodellingtopredicttheacademicperformanceofdistanceeducationstudents
AT abdullahbal improvedfuzzymodellingtopredicttheacademicperformanceofdistanceeducationstudents
AT sevincgulsecen improvedfuzzymodellingtopredicttheacademicperformanceofdistanceeducationstudents
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