Econometric Estimates of Russia's Turn to the East

The emerging trend in Russia’s foreign policy is its reorientation from active interstate and socio-economic interaction with the states of the "collective West" to the countries that make up the Asian macroregion. The article presents the qualitative and quantitative assessment of the eme...

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Autores principales:	A. A. Baykov, V. A. Gnevasheva
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN RU
Publicado:	MGIMO University Press 2020
Materias:	russia asean countries countries of north-east asia indo-pacific region gdp trade migration military expenses International relations JZ2-6530
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/7231de31c95d4e86b9422d840e7c18e9
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:7231de31c95d4e86b9422d840e7c18e92021-11-23T14:50:42ZEconometric Estimates of Russia's Turn to the East2071-81602541-909910.24833/2071-8160-2020-6-75-175-207https://doaj.org/article/7231de31c95d4e86b9422d840e7c18e92020-12-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/2636https://doaj.org/toc/2071-8160https://doaj.org/toc/2541-9099The emerging trend in Russia’s foreign policy is its reorientation from active interstate and socio-economic interaction with the states of the "collective West" to the countries that make up the Asian macroregion. The article presents the qualitative and quantitative assessment of the emerging relations between Russia and the countries of the East, namely the ASEAN countries, Northeast Asia and the Indo-Pacific region. Assuming that the prerequisites for the strengthening of such relationships between countries should be reflected in changes in trade relations, increased migration flows, and changes in policy in terms of countries' military spending, the study attempts to evaluate such changes econometrically. We use the method of constructing multiple linear regression, as well as indicators for assessing country-by-country correlation and cluster analysis. The object of the research is the countries of Northeast Asia (China, Japan, Republic of Korea); ASEAN countries (Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore); India; Australia and Oceania. The empirical base of the study is the official statistics of World Bank, SIPRI, FSGS. The findings indicate the emerging conditions for Russia's turn to the East. The analysis reveals a number of stable features indicating the possibility of modeling a reasonable predictive scenario. The proposed estimates can also be used for further study of the directions of interaction between Russia and the East, methodological and empirical clarification of the emerging relationships, determination of significant factors strengthening the noted interactions.A. A. BaykovV. A. GnevashevaMGIMO University Pressarticlerussiaasean countriescountries of north-east asiaindo-pacific regiongdptrademigrationmilitary expensesInternational relationsJZ2-6530ENRUVestnik MGIMO-Universiteta, Vol 13, Iss 6, Pp 175-207 (2020)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN RU
topic	russia asean countries countries of north-east asia indo-pacific region gdp trade migration military expenses International relations JZ2-6530
spellingShingle	russia asean countries countries of north-east asia indo-pacific region gdp trade migration military expenses International relations JZ2-6530 A. A. Baykov V. A. Gnevasheva Econometric Estimates of Russia's Turn to the East
description	The emerging trend in Russia’s foreign policy is its reorientation from active interstate and socio-economic interaction with the states of the "collective West" to the countries that make up the Asian macroregion. The article presents the qualitative and quantitative assessment of the emerging relations between Russia and the countries of the East, namely the ASEAN countries, Northeast Asia and the Indo-Pacific region. Assuming that the prerequisites for the strengthening of such relationships between countries should be reflected in changes in trade relations, increased migration flows, and changes in policy in terms of countries' military spending, the study attempts to evaluate such changes econometrically. We use the method of constructing multiple linear regression, as well as indicators for assessing country-by-country correlation and cluster analysis. The object of the research is the countries of Northeast Asia (China, Japan, Republic of Korea); ASEAN countries (Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore); India; Australia and Oceania. The empirical base of the study is the official statistics of World Bank, SIPRI, FSGS. The findings indicate the emerging conditions for Russia's turn to the East. The analysis reveals a number of stable features indicating the possibility of modeling a reasonable predictive scenario. The proposed estimates can also be used for further study of the directions of interaction between Russia and the East, methodological and empirical clarification of the emerging relationships, determination of significant factors strengthening the noted interactions.
format	article
author	A. A. Baykov V. A. Gnevasheva
author_facet	A. A. Baykov V. A. Gnevasheva
author_sort	A. A. Baykov
title	Econometric Estimates of Russia's Turn to the East
title_short	Econometric Estimates of Russia's Turn to the East
title_full	Econometric Estimates of Russia's Turn to the East
title_fullStr	Econometric Estimates of Russia's Turn to the East
title_full_unstemmed	Econometric Estimates of Russia's Turn to the East
title_sort	econometric estimates of russia's turn to the east
publisher	MGIMO University Press
publishDate	2020
url	https://doaj.org/article/7231de31c95d4e86b9422d840e7c18e9
work_keys_str_mv	AT aabaykov econometricestimatesofrussiasturntotheeast AT vagnevasheva econometricestimatesofrussiasturntotheeast
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Econometric Estimates of Russia's Turn to the East

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