Forecasting of Carbon Emission in China Based on Gradient Boosting Decision Tree Optimized by Modified Whale Optimization Algorithm

As the global temperature continues to rise, people have become increasingly concerned about global climate change. In order to help China to effectively develop a carbon peak target completion plan, this paper proposes a carbon emission prediction model based on the improved whale algorithm-optimiz...

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Autores principales: Xiwen Cui, Shaojun E, Dongxiao Niu, Bosong Chen, Jiaqi Feng
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:73185cca81e74e8f803553cbcbe240242021-11-11T19:50:51ZForecasting of Carbon Emission in China Based on Gradient Boosting Decision Tree Optimized by Modified Whale Optimization Algorithm10.3390/su1321123022071-1050https://doaj.org/article/73185cca81e74e8f803553cbcbe240242021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/21/12302https://doaj.org/toc/2071-1050As the global temperature continues to rise, people have become increasingly concerned about global climate change. In order to help China to effectively develop a carbon peak target completion plan, this paper proposes a carbon emission prediction model based on the improved whale algorithm-optimized gradient boosting decision tree, which combines four optimization methods and significantly improves the prediction accuracy. This paper uses historical data to verify the superiority of the gradient boosting tree prediction model optimized by the improved whale algorithm. In addition, this study also predicted the carbon emission values of China from 2020 to 2035 and compared them with the target values, concluding that China can accomplish the relevant target values, which suggests that this research has practical implications for China’s future carbon emission reduction policies.Xiwen CuiShaojun EDongxiao NiuBosong ChenJiaqi FengMDPI AGarticlegradient lifting treewhale optimization algorithmcarbon emissionscarbon peakEnvironmental effects of industries and plantsTD194-195Renewable energy sourcesTJ807-830Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENSustainability, Vol 13, Iss 12302, p 12302 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic gradient lifting tree
whale optimization algorithm
carbon emissions
carbon peak
Environmental effects of industries and plants
TD194-195
Renewable energy sources
TJ807-830
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle gradient lifting tree
whale optimization algorithm
carbon emissions
carbon peak
Environmental effects of industries and plants
TD194-195
Renewable energy sources
TJ807-830
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Xiwen Cui
Shaojun E
Dongxiao Niu
Bosong Chen
Jiaqi Feng
Forecasting of Carbon Emission in China Based on Gradient Boosting Decision Tree Optimized by Modified Whale Optimization Algorithm
description As the global temperature continues to rise, people have become increasingly concerned about global climate change. In order to help China to effectively develop a carbon peak target completion plan, this paper proposes a carbon emission prediction model based on the improved whale algorithm-optimized gradient boosting decision tree, which combines four optimization methods and significantly improves the prediction accuracy. This paper uses historical data to verify the superiority of the gradient boosting tree prediction model optimized by the improved whale algorithm. In addition, this study also predicted the carbon emission values of China from 2020 to 2035 and compared them with the target values, concluding that China can accomplish the relevant target values, which suggests that this research has practical implications for China’s future carbon emission reduction policies.
format article
author Xiwen Cui
Shaojun E
Dongxiao Niu
Bosong Chen
Jiaqi Feng
author_facet Xiwen Cui
Shaojun E
Dongxiao Niu
Bosong Chen
Jiaqi Feng
author_sort Xiwen Cui
title Forecasting of Carbon Emission in China Based on Gradient Boosting Decision Tree Optimized by Modified Whale Optimization Algorithm
title_short Forecasting of Carbon Emission in China Based on Gradient Boosting Decision Tree Optimized by Modified Whale Optimization Algorithm
title_full Forecasting of Carbon Emission in China Based on Gradient Boosting Decision Tree Optimized by Modified Whale Optimization Algorithm
title_fullStr Forecasting of Carbon Emission in China Based on Gradient Boosting Decision Tree Optimized by Modified Whale Optimization Algorithm
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting of Carbon Emission in China Based on Gradient Boosting Decision Tree Optimized by Modified Whale Optimization Algorithm
title_sort forecasting of carbon emission in china based on gradient boosting decision tree optimized by modified whale optimization algorithm
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/73185cca81e74e8f803553cbcbe24024
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