Polygenic risk score across distinct colorectal cancer screening outcomes: from premalignant polyps to colorectal cancer

Abstract Background Different risk-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening strategies, such as the use of polygenic risk scores (PRS), have been evaluated to improve effectiveness of these programs. However, few studies have previously assessed its usefulness in a fecal immunochemical test (FIT)-bas...

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Autores principales: Mireia Obón-Santacana, Anna Díez-Villanueva, Maria Henar Alonso, Gemma Ibáñez-Sanz, Elisabet Guinó, Ana López, Lorena Rodríguez-Alonso, Alfredo Mata, Ana García-Rodríguez, Andrés García Palomo, Antonio J. Molina, Montse Garcia, Gemma Binefa, Vicente Martín, Victor Moreno
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:733185c3c65f446a9006a4acf155d6ce2021-11-14T12:17:06ZPolygenic risk score across distinct colorectal cancer screening outcomes: from premalignant polyps to colorectal cancer10.1186/s12916-021-02134-x1741-7015https://doaj.org/article/733185c3c65f446a9006a4acf155d6ce2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-021-02134-xhttps://doaj.org/toc/1741-7015Abstract Background Different risk-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening strategies, such as the use of polygenic risk scores (PRS), have been evaluated to improve effectiveness of these programs. However, few studies have previously assessed its usefulness in a fecal immunochemical test (FIT)-based screening study. Methods A PRS of 133 single nucleotide polymorphisms was assessed for 3619 participants: population controls, screening controls, low-risk lesions (LRL), intermediate-risk (IRL), high-risk (HRL), CRC screening program cases, and clinically diagnosed CRC cases. The PRS was compared between the subset of cases (n = 648; IRL+HRL+CRC) and controls (n = 956; controls+LRL) recruited within a FIT-based screening program. Positive predictive values (PPV), negative predictive values (NPV), and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (aROC) were estimated using cross-validation. Results The overall PRS range was 110–156. PRS values increased along the CRC tumorigenesis pathway (Mann-Kendall P value 0.007). Within the screening subset, the PRS ranged 110-151 and was associated with higher risk-lesions and CRC risk (ORD10vsD1 1.92, 95% CI 1.22–3.03). The cross-validated aROC of the PRS for cases and controls was 0.56 (95% CI 0.53–0.59). Discrimination was equal when restricted to positive FIT (aROC 0.56), but lower among negative FIT (aROC 0.55). The overall PPV among positive FIT was 0.48. PPV were dependent on the number of risk alleles for positive FIT (PPVp10-p90 0.48–0.57). Conclusions PRS plays an important role along the CRC tumorigenesis pathway; however, in practice, its utility to stratify the general population or as a second test after a FIT positive result is still doubtful. Currently, PRS is not able to safely stratify the general population since the improvement on PPV values is scarce.Mireia Obón-SantacanaAnna Díez-VillanuevaMaria Henar AlonsoGemma Ibáñez-SanzElisabet GuinóAna LópezLorena Rodríguez-AlonsoAlfredo MataAna García-RodríguezAndrés García PalomoAntonio J. MolinaMontse GarciaGemma BinefaVicente MartínVictor MorenoBMCarticlePolygenic risk scoreColorectal cancerScreeningPositive fecal immunochemical testPositive predictive valueNegative predictive valueMedicineRENBMC Medicine, Vol 19, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Polygenic risk score
Colorectal cancer
Screening
Positive fecal immunochemical test
Positive predictive value
Negative predictive value
Medicine
R
spellingShingle Polygenic risk score
Colorectal cancer
Screening
Positive fecal immunochemical test
Positive predictive value
Negative predictive value
Medicine
R
Mireia Obón-Santacana
Anna Díez-Villanueva
Maria Henar Alonso
Gemma Ibáñez-Sanz
Elisabet Guinó
Ana López
Lorena Rodríguez-Alonso
Alfredo Mata
Ana García-Rodríguez
Andrés García Palomo
Antonio J. Molina
Montse Garcia
Gemma Binefa
Vicente Martín
Victor Moreno
Polygenic risk score across distinct colorectal cancer screening outcomes: from premalignant polyps to colorectal cancer
description Abstract Background Different risk-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening strategies, such as the use of polygenic risk scores (PRS), have been evaluated to improve effectiveness of these programs. However, few studies have previously assessed its usefulness in a fecal immunochemical test (FIT)-based screening study. Methods A PRS of 133 single nucleotide polymorphisms was assessed for 3619 participants: population controls, screening controls, low-risk lesions (LRL), intermediate-risk (IRL), high-risk (HRL), CRC screening program cases, and clinically diagnosed CRC cases. The PRS was compared between the subset of cases (n = 648; IRL+HRL+CRC) and controls (n = 956; controls+LRL) recruited within a FIT-based screening program. Positive predictive values (PPV), negative predictive values (NPV), and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (aROC) were estimated using cross-validation. Results The overall PRS range was 110–156. PRS values increased along the CRC tumorigenesis pathway (Mann-Kendall P value 0.007). Within the screening subset, the PRS ranged 110-151 and was associated with higher risk-lesions and CRC risk (ORD10vsD1 1.92, 95% CI 1.22–3.03). The cross-validated aROC of the PRS for cases and controls was 0.56 (95% CI 0.53–0.59). Discrimination was equal when restricted to positive FIT (aROC 0.56), but lower among negative FIT (aROC 0.55). The overall PPV among positive FIT was 0.48. PPV were dependent on the number of risk alleles for positive FIT (PPVp10-p90 0.48–0.57). Conclusions PRS plays an important role along the CRC tumorigenesis pathway; however, in practice, its utility to stratify the general population or as a second test after a FIT positive result is still doubtful. Currently, PRS is not able to safely stratify the general population since the improvement on PPV values is scarce.
format article
author Mireia Obón-Santacana
Anna Díez-Villanueva
Maria Henar Alonso
Gemma Ibáñez-Sanz
Elisabet Guinó
Ana López
Lorena Rodríguez-Alonso
Alfredo Mata
Ana García-Rodríguez
Andrés García Palomo
Antonio J. Molina
Montse Garcia
Gemma Binefa
Vicente Martín
Victor Moreno
author_facet Mireia Obón-Santacana
Anna Díez-Villanueva
Maria Henar Alonso
Gemma Ibáñez-Sanz
Elisabet Guinó
Ana López
Lorena Rodríguez-Alonso
Alfredo Mata
Ana García-Rodríguez
Andrés García Palomo
Antonio J. Molina
Montse Garcia
Gemma Binefa
Vicente Martín
Victor Moreno
author_sort Mireia Obón-Santacana
title Polygenic risk score across distinct colorectal cancer screening outcomes: from premalignant polyps to colorectal cancer
title_short Polygenic risk score across distinct colorectal cancer screening outcomes: from premalignant polyps to colorectal cancer
title_full Polygenic risk score across distinct colorectal cancer screening outcomes: from premalignant polyps to colorectal cancer
title_fullStr Polygenic risk score across distinct colorectal cancer screening outcomes: from premalignant polyps to colorectal cancer
title_full_unstemmed Polygenic risk score across distinct colorectal cancer screening outcomes: from premalignant polyps to colorectal cancer
title_sort polygenic risk score across distinct colorectal cancer screening outcomes: from premalignant polyps to colorectal cancer
publisher BMC
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/733185c3c65f446a9006a4acf155d6ce
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