Predation danger can explain changes in timing of migration: the case of the barnacle goose.

Understanding stopover decisions of long-distance migratory birds is crucial for conservation and management of these species along their migratory flyway. Recently, an increasing number of Barnacle geese breeding in the Russian Arctic have delayed their departure from their wintering site in The Ne...

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Autores principales: Rudy M Jonker, Götz Eichhorn, Frank van Langevelde, Silke Bauer
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2010
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/73a20f73be584f8dabbd965e16997ecf
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:73a20f73be584f8dabbd965e16997ecf2021-12-02T20:20:22ZPredation danger can explain changes in timing of migration: the case of the barnacle goose.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0011369https://doaj.org/article/73a20f73be584f8dabbd965e16997ecf2010-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/20614027/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Understanding stopover decisions of long-distance migratory birds is crucial for conservation and management of these species along their migratory flyway. Recently, an increasing number of Barnacle geese breeding in the Russian Arctic have delayed their departure from their wintering site in The Netherlands by approximately one month and have reduced their staging duration at stopover sites in the Baltic accordingly. Consequently, this extended stay increases agricultural damage in The Netherlands. Using a dynamic state variable approach we explored three hypotheses about the underlying causes of these changes in migratory behavior, possibly related to changes in (i) onset of spring, (ii) potential intake rates and (iii) predation danger at wintering and stopover sites. Our simulations showed that the observed advance in onset of spring contradicts the observed delay of departure, whereas both increased predation danger and decreased intake rates in the Baltic can explain the delay. Decreased intake rates are expected as a result of increased competition for food in the growing Barnacle goose population. However, the effect of predation danger in the model was particularly strong, and we hypothesize that Barnacle geese avoid Baltic stopover sites as a response to the rapidly increasing number of avian predators in the area. Therefore, danger should be considered as an important factor influencing Barnacle goose migratory behavior, and receive more attention in empirical studies.Rudy M JonkerGötz EichhornFrank van LangeveldeSilke BauerPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 5, Iss 6, p e11369 (2010)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Rudy M Jonker
Götz Eichhorn
Frank van Langevelde
Silke Bauer
Predation danger can explain changes in timing of migration: the case of the barnacle goose.
description Understanding stopover decisions of long-distance migratory birds is crucial for conservation and management of these species along their migratory flyway. Recently, an increasing number of Barnacle geese breeding in the Russian Arctic have delayed their departure from their wintering site in The Netherlands by approximately one month and have reduced their staging duration at stopover sites in the Baltic accordingly. Consequently, this extended stay increases agricultural damage in The Netherlands. Using a dynamic state variable approach we explored three hypotheses about the underlying causes of these changes in migratory behavior, possibly related to changes in (i) onset of spring, (ii) potential intake rates and (iii) predation danger at wintering and stopover sites. Our simulations showed that the observed advance in onset of spring contradicts the observed delay of departure, whereas both increased predation danger and decreased intake rates in the Baltic can explain the delay. Decreased intake rates are expected as a result of increased competition for food in the growing Barnacle goose population. However, the effect of predation danger in the model was particularly strong, and we hypothesize that Barnacle geese avoid Baltic stopover sites as a response to the rapidly increasing number of avian predators in the area. Therefore, danger should be considered as an important factor influencing Barnacle goose migratory behavior, and receive more attention in empirical studies.
format article
author Rudy M Jonker
Götz Eichhorn
Frank van Langevelde
Silke Bauer
author_facet Rudy M Jonker
Götz Eichhorn
Frank van Langevelde
Silke Bauer
author_sort Rudy M Jonker
title Predation danger can explain changes in timing of migration: the case of the barnacle goose.
title_short Predation danger can explain changes in timing of migration: the case of the barnacle goose.
title_full Predation danger can explain changes in timing of migration: the case of the barnacle goose.
title_fullStr Predation danger can explain changes in timing of migration: the case of the barnacle goose.
title_full_unstemmed Predation danger can explain changes in timing of migration: the case of the barnacle goose.
title_sort predation danger can explain changes in timing of migration: the case of the barnacle goose.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2010
url https://doaj.org/article/73a20f73be584f8dabbd965e16997ecf
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AT frankvanlangevelde predationdangercanexplainchangesintimingofmigrationthecaseofthebarnaclegoose
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