Development of a Novel Nomogram for Predicting Premature Rupture of Membrane in Pregnant Women With Vulvovaginal Candidiasis

Objective: The aim of this study was to develop a nomogram to predict the risk of premature rupture of membrane (PROM) in pregnant women with vulvovaginal candidiasis (VVC).Patients and methods: We developed a prediction model based on a training dataset of 417 gravidas with VVC, the data were colle...

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Autores principales: Lilin Yang, Haikuan Wang, Yanfang Li, Cheng Zeng, Xi Lin, Jie Gao, Songping Luo
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:752e43f2e3b0486a89f2da48326c0b782021-11-15T06:01:00ZDevelopment of a Novel Nomogram for Predicting Premature Rupture of Membrane in Pregnant Women With Vulvovaginal Candidiasis2296-858X10.3389/fmed.2021.717978https://doaj.org/article/752e43f2e3b0486a89f2da48326c0b782021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2021.717978/fullhttps://doaj.org/toc/2296-858XObjective: The aim of this study was to develop a nomogram to predict the risk of premature rupture of membrane (PROM) in pregnant women with vulvovaginal candidiasis (VVC).Patients and methods: We developed a prediction model based on a training dataset of 417 gravidas with VVC, the data were collected from January 2013 to December 2020. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model was used to optimize feature selection for the model. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was applied to build a prediction model incorporating the feature selected in the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model. Discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness of the prediction model were assessed using the C-index, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis. Internal validation was assessed using bootstrapping validation.Results: Predictors contained in the prediction nomogram included age, regular perinatal visits, history of VVC before pregnancy, symptoms with VVC, cured of VVC during pregnancy, and bacterial vaginitis. The model displayed discrimination with a C-index of 0.684 (95% confidence interval: 0.631–0.737). Decision curve analysis showed that the PROM nomogram was clinically useful when intervention was decided at a PROM possibility threshold of 13%.Conclusion: This novel PROM nomogram incorporating age, regular perinatal visits, history of VVC before pregnancy, symptoms with VVC, cured of VVC during pregnancy, and bacterial vaginitis could be conveniently used to facilitate PROM risk prediction in gravidas.Lilin YangHaikuan WangYanfang LiCheng ZengXi LinJie GaoSongping LuoFrontiers Media S.A.articlepremature rupture of membranenomogrampredictorvulvovaginal candidiasispregnant womenMedicine (General)R5-920ENFrontiers in Medicine, Vol 8 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic premature rupture of membrane
nomogram
predictor
vulvovaginal candidiasis
pregnant women
Medicine (General)
R5-920
spellingShingle premature rupture of membrane
nomogram
predictor
vulvovaginal candidiasis
pregnant women
Medicine (General)
R5-920
Lilin Yang
Haikuan Wang
Yanfang Li
Cheng Zeng
Xi Lin
Jie Gao
Songping Luo
Development of a Novel Nomogram for Predicting Premature Rupture of Membrane in Pregnant Women With Vulvovaginal Candidiasis
description Objective: The aim of this study was to develop a nomogram to predict the risk of premature rupture of membrane (PROM) in pregnant women with vulvovaginal candidiasis (VVC).Patients and methods: We developed a prediction model based on a training dataset of 417 gravidas with VVC, the data were collected from January 2013 to December 2020. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model was used to optimize feature selection for the model. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was applied to build a prediction model incorporating the feature selected in the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model. Discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness of the prediction model were assessed using the C-index, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis. Internal validation was assessed using bootstrapping validation.Results: Predictors contained in the prediction nomogram included age, regular perinatal visits, history of VVC before pregnancy, symptoms with VVC, cured of VVC during pregnancy, and bacterial vaginitis. The model displayed discrimination with a C-index of 0.684 (95% confidence interval: 0.631–0.737). Decision curve analysis showed that the PROM nomogram was clinically useful when intervention was decided at a PROM possibility threshold of 13%.Conclusion: This novel PROM nomogram incorporating age, regular perinatal visits, history of VVC before pregnancy, symptoms with VVC, cured of VVC during pregnancy, and bacterial vaginitis could be conveniently used to facilitate PROM risk prediction in gravidas.
format article
author Lilin Yang
Haikuan Wang
Yanfang Li
Cheng Zeng
Xi Lin
Jie Gao
Songping Luo
author_facet Lilin Yang
Haikuan Wang
Yanfang Li
Cheng Zeng
Xi Lin
Jie Gao
Songping Luo
author_sort Lilin Yang
title Development of a Novel Nomogram for Predicting Premature Rupture of Membrane in Pregnant Women With Vulvovaginal Candidiasis
title_short Development of a Novel Nomogram for Predicting Premature Rupture of Membrane in Pregnant Women With Vulvovaginal Candidiasis
title_full Development of a Novel Nomogram for Predicting Premature Rupture of Membrane in Pregnant Women With Vulvovaginal Candidiasis
title_fullStr Development of a Novel Nomogram for Predicting Premature Rupture of Membrane in Pregnant Women With Vulvovaginal Candidiasis
title_full_unstemmed Development of a Novel Nomogram for Predicting Premature Rupture of Membrane in Pregnant Women With Vulvovaginal Candidiasis
title_sort development of a novel nomogram for predicting premature rupture of membrane in pregnant women with vulvovaginal candidiasis
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/752e43f2e3b0486a89f2da48326c0b78
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