Instrumental variable analysis using offspring BMI in childhood as an indicator of parental BMI in relation to mortality

Abstract Childhood BMI shows associations with adult mortality, but these may be influenced by effects of ill health in childhood on BMI and later mortality. To avoid this, we used offspring childhood BMI as an instrumental variable (IV) for own BMI in relation to mortality and compared it with conv...

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Autores principales: Kim Blond, David Carslake, Line Klingen Gjærde, Dorte Vistisen, Thorkild I. A. Sørensen, George Davey Smith, Jennifer L. Baker
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/75786fa5bbc8408296a93656db7bc1b7
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:75786fa5bbc8408296a93656db7bc1b72021-11-21T12:21:11ZInstrumental variable analysis using offspring BMI in childhood as an indicator of parental BMI in relation to mortality10.1038/s41598-021-01352-w2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/75786fa5bbc8408296a93656db7bc1b72021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-01352-whttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Childhood BMI shows associations with adult mortality, but these may be influenced by effects of ill health in childhood on BMI and later mortality. To avoid this, we used offspring childhood BMI as an instrumental variable (IV) for own BMI in relation to mortality and compared it with conventional associations of own childhood BMI and own mortality. We included 36,097 parent–offspring pairs with measured heights and weights from the Copenhagen School Health Records Register and register-based information on death. Hazard ratios (HR) were estimated using adjusted Cox regression models. For all-cause mortality, per zBMI at age 7 the conventional HR = 1.07 (95%CI: 1.04–1.09) in women and 1.02 (95%CI: 0.92–1.14) in men, whereas the IV HR = 1.23 (95%CI: 1.15–1.32) in women and 1.05 (95%CI: 0.94–1.17) in men. Per zBMI at age 13, the conventional HR = 1.11 (95%CI: 1.08–1.15) in women and 1.03 (95%CI: 0.99–1.06) in men, whereas the IV HR = 1.30 (95%CI: 1.19–1.42) in women and 1.15 (95%CI: 1.04–1.29) in men. Only conventional models showed indications of J-shaped associations. Our IV analyses suggest that there is a causal relationship between BMI and mortality that is positive at both high and low BMI values.Kim BlondDavid CarslakeLine Klingen GjærdeDorte VistisenThorkild I. A. SørensenGeorge Davey SmithJennifer L. BakerNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Kim Blond
David Carslake
Line Klingen Gjærde
Dorte Vistisen
Thorkild I. A. Sørensen
George Davey Smith
Jennifer L. Baker
Instrumental variable analysis using offspring BMI in childhood as an indicator of parental BMI in relation to mortality
description Abstract Childhood BMI shows associations with adult mortality, but these may be influenced by effects of ill health in childhood on BMI and later mortality. To avoid this, we used offspring childhood BMI as an instrumental variable (IV) for own BMI in relation to mortality and compared it with conventional associations of own childhood BMI and own mortality. We included 36,097 parent–offspring pairs with measured heights and weights from the Copenhagen School Health Records Register and register-based information on death. Hazard ratios (HR) were estimated using adjusted Cox regression models. For all-cause mortality, per zBMI at age 7 the conventional HR = 1.07 (95%CI: 1.04–1.09) in women and 1.02 (95%CI: 0.92–1.14) in men, whereas the IV HR = 1.23 (95%CI: 1.15–1.32) in women and 1.05 (95%CI: 0.94–1.17) in men. Per zBMI at age 13, the conventional HR = 1.11 (95%CI: 1.08–1.15) in women and 1.03 (95%CI: 0.99–1.06) in men, whereas the IV HR = 1.30 (95%CI: 1.19–1.42) in women and 1.15 (95%CI: 1.04–1.29) in men. Only conventional models showed indications of J-shaped associations. Our IV analyses suggest that there is a causal relationship between BMI and mortality that is positive at both high and low BMI values.
format article
author Kim Blond
David Carslake
Line Klingen Gjærde
Dorte Vistisen
Thorkild I. A. Sørensen
George Davey Smith
Jennifer L. Baker
author_facet Kim Blond
David Carslake
Line Klingen Gjærde
Dorte Vistisen
Thorkild I. A. Sørensen
George Davey Smith
Jennifer L. Baker
author_sort Kim Blond
title Instrumental variable analysis using offspring BMI in childhood as an indicator of parental BMI in relation to mortality
title_short Instrumental variable analysis using offspring BMI in childhood as an indicator of parental BMI in relation to mortality
title_full Instrumental variable analysis using offspring BMI in childhood as an indicator of parental BMI in relation to mortality
title_fullStr Instrumental variable analysis using offspring BMI in childhood as an indicator of parental BMI in relation to mortality
title_full_unstemmed Instrumental variable analysis using offspring BMI in childhood as an indicator of parental BMI in relation to mortality
title_sort instrumental variable analysis using offspring bmi in childhood as an indicator of parental bmi in relation to mortality
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/75786fa5bbc8408296a93656db7bc1b7
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