Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France

Extremes of temperature, precipitation and wind have caused damages in France, in the agriculture, transportation and health sectors. Those types of events are largely driven by the atmospheric circulation. The dependence on the global climate change is not always clear, and it is the subject of ext...

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Autores principales:	Pascal Yiou, Davide Faranda, Soulivanh Thao, Mathieu Vrac
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	MDPI AG 2021
Materias:	extreme events climate change France Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/7661e21f030046f4b2ff3791c3585d48
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:7661e21f030046f4b2ff3791c3585d48
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:7661e21f030046f4b2ff3791c3585d482021-11-25T16:44:49ZProjected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France10.3390/atmos121114402073-4433https://doaj.org/article/7661e21f030046f4b2ff3791c3585d482021-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/11/1440https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4433Extremes of temperature, precipitation and wind have caused damages in France, in the agriculture, transportation and health sectors. Those types of events are largely driven by the atmospheric circulation. The dependence on the global climate change is not always clear, and it is the subject of extreme event attribution (EEA). This study reports an analysis of the atmospheric circulation over France for seven events that struck France in the 21st century, in various seasons. We focus on the atmospheric dynamics that leads to those extremes and examine how the probability of atmospheric patterns and their predictability responds to climate change. We analyse how the features of those events evolve in simulations following an SSP585 scenario for future climate. We identify how thermodynamical and dynamical changes of the atmosphere affect the predictability of the atmospheric circulation. Those using a range of CMIP6 simulations helps determining uncertainties linked to climate models.Pascal YiouDavide FarandaSoulivanh ThaoMathieu VracMDPI AGarticleextreme eventsclimate changeFranceMeteorology. ClimatologyQC851-999ENAtmosphere, Vol 12, Iss 1440, p 1440 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	extreme events climate change France Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999
spellingShingle	extreme events climate change France Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 Pascal Yiou Davide Faranda Soulivanh Thao Mathieu Vrac Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France
description	Extremes of temperature, precipitation and wind have caused damages in France, in the agriculture, transportation and health sectors. Those types of events are largely driven by the atmospheric circulation. The dependence on the global climate change is not always clear, and it is the subject of extreme event attribution (EEA). This study reports an analysis of the atmospheric circulation over France for seven events that struck France in the 21st century, in various seasons. We focus on the atmospheric dynamics that leads to those extremes and examine how the probability of atmospheric patterns and their predictability responds to climate change. We analyse how the features of those events evolve in simulations following an SSP585 scenario for future climate. We identify how thermodynamical and dynamical changes of the atmosphere affect the predictability of the atmospheric circulation. Those using a range of CMIP6 simulations helps determining uncertainties linked to climate models.
format	article
author	Pascal Yiou Davide Faranda Soulivanh Thao Mathieu Vrac
author_facet	Pascal Yiou Davide Faranda Soulivanh Thao Mathieu Vrac
author_sort	Pascal Yiou
title	Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France
title_short	Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France
title_full	Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France
title_fullStr	Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France
title_full_unstemmed	Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France
title_sort	projected changes in the atmospheric dynamics of climate extremes in france
publisher	MDPI AG
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/7661e21f030046f4b2ff3791c3585d48
work_keys_str_mv	AT pascalyiou projectedchangesintheatmosphericdynamicsofclimateextremesinfrance AT davidefaranda projectedchangesintheatmosphericdynamicsofclimateextremesinfrance AT soulivanhthao projectedchangesintheatmosphericdynamicsofclimateextremesinfrance AT mathieuvrac projectedchangesintheatmosphericdynamicsofclimateextremesinfrance
_version_	1718413025767063552

Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France

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