Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

The phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) impacts global temperatures. Here, the authors show that a build-up of off-equatorial western tropical Pacific heat content allows ENSO events to trigger IPO phase changes, with a predicted switch to a positive IPO for 2015–2019 and larger warm...

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Autores principales:	Gerald A. Meehl, Aixue Hu, Haiyan Teng
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2016
Materias:	Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/77208db19e8b495dbae4d7745e37aaf3
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:77208db19e8b495dbae4d7745e37aaf32021-12-02T15:34:31ZInitialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation10.1038/ncomms117182041-1723https://doaj.org/article/77208db19e8b495dbae4d7745e37aaf32016-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms11718https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723The phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) impacts global temperatures. Here, the authors show that a build-up of off-equatorial western tropical Pacific heat content allows ENSO events to trigger IPO phase changes, with a predicted switch to a positive IPO for 2015–2019 and larger warming trends.Gerald A. MeehlAixue HuHaiyan TengNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-7 (2016)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Science Q
spellingShingle	Science Q Gerald A. Meehl Aixue Hu Haiyan Teng Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
description	The phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) impacts global temperatures. Here, the authors show that a build-up of off-equatorial western tropical Pacific heat content allows ENSO events to trigger IPO phase changes, with a predicted switch to a positive IPO for 2015–2019 and larger warming trends.
format	article
author	Gerald A. Meehl Aixue Hu Haiyan Teng
author_facet	Gerald A. Meehl Aixue Hu Haiyan Teng
author_sort	Gerald A. Meehl
title	Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
title_short	Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
title_full	Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
title_fullStr	Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
title_full_unstemmed	Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
title_sort	initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the interdecadal pacific oscillation
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2016
url	https://doaj.org/article/77208db19e8b495dbae4d7745e37aaf3
work_keys_str_mv	AT geraldameehl initializeddecadalpredictionfortransitiontopositivephaseoftheinterdecadalpacificoscillation AT aixuehu initializeddecadalpredictionfortransitiontopositivephaseoftheinterdecadalpacificoscillation AT haiyanteng initializeddecadalpredictionfortransitiontopositivephaseoftheinterdecadalpacificoscillation
_version_	1718386788641275904

Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

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