Estimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model

Modern phosphate (P) fertilizers are sourced from P rock reserves, a finite and dwindling resource. Globally, China is the largest producer and consumer of P fertilizer and will deplete its domestic reserves within 80 years. It is necessary to avoid excess P input in agriculture through estimating P...

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Autores principales: Wenjia Yu, Haigang Li, Peteh Mehdi Nkebiwe, Guohua Li, Torsten Müller, Junling Zhang, Jianbo Shen
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Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:77a0f479d58f4034b54b2fe432d891db2021-11-10T07:46:22ZEstimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model2296-665X10.3389/fenvs.2021.759984https://doaj.org/article/77a0f479d58f4034b54b2fe432d891db2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2021.759984/fullhttps://doaj.org/toc/2296-665XModern phosphate (P) fertilizers are sourced from P rock reserves, a finite and dwindling resource. Globally, China is the largest producer and consumer of P fertilizer and will deplete its domestic reserves within 80 years. It is necessary to avoid excess P input in agriculture through estimating P demand. We used the legacy P assessment model (LePA) to estimate P demand based on soil P management at the county, regional, and country scales according to six P application rate scenarios: (1) rate in 2012 maintained; (2) current rate maintained in low-P counties and P input stopped in high-P counties until critical Olsen-P level (CP) is reached, after which rate equals P-removal; (3) rate decreased to 1–1.5 kg ha−1 year−1 in low-P counties after CP is reached and in high-P counties; (4) rate in each county decreased to 1–8 kg ha−1 year−1 after soil Olsen-P reached CP in low P counties; (5) rate in each county was kept at P-removal rate after reduction; (6) P input was kept at the rate lower than P-offtake rate after reduction. The results showed that the total P fertilizer demand of China was 750 MT P2O5, 54% of P fertilizer can be saved from 2013 to 2080 in China, and soil Olsen-P of all counties can satisfy the demand for high crop yields. The greatest potential to decrease P input was in Yangtze Plain and South China, which reached 60%. Our results provide a firm basis to analyze the depletion of P reserves in other countries.Wenjia YuHaigang LiHaigang LiPeteh Mehdi NkebiweGuohua LiGuohua LiTorsten MüllerJunling ZhangJianbo ShenFrontiers Media S.A.articlelegacy soil PLePA modelsoil P managementP demandChinaEnvironmental sciencesGE1-350ENFrontiers in Environmental Science, Vol 9 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic legacy soil P
LePA model
soil P management
P demand
China
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle legacy soil P
LePA model
soil P management
P demand
China
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Wenjia Yu
Haigang Li
Haigang Li
Peteh Mehdi Nkebiwe
Guohua Li
Guohua Li
Torsten Müller
Junling Zhang
Jianbo Shen
Estimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model
description Modern phosphate (P) fertilizers are sourced from P rock reserves, a finite and dwindling resource. Globally, China is the largest producer and consumer of P fertilizer and will deplete its domestic reserves within 80 years. It is necessary to avoid excess P input in agriculture through estimating P demand. We used the legacy P assessment model (LePA) to estimate P demand based on soil P management at the county, regional, and country scales according to six P application rate scenarios: (1) rate in 2012 maintained; (2) current rate maintained in low-P counties and P input stopped in high-P counties until critical Olsen-P level (CP) is reached, after which rate equals P-removal; (3) rate decreased to 1–1.5 kg ha−1 year−1 in low-P counties after CP is reached and in high-P counties; (4) rate in each county decreased to 1–8 kg ha−1 year−1 after soil Olsen-P reached CP in low P counties; (5) rate in each county was kept at P-removal rate after reduction; (6) P input was kept at the rate lower than P-offtake rate after reduction. The results showed that the total P fertilizer demand of China was 750 MT P2O5, 54% of P fertilizer can be saved from 2013 to 2080 in China, and soil Olsen-P of all counties can satisfy the demand for high crop yields. The greatest potential to decrease P input was in Yangtze Plain and South China, which reached 60%. Our results provide a firm basis to analyze the depletion of P reserves in other countries.
format article
author Wenjia Yu
Haigang Li
Haigang Li
Peteh Mehdi Nkebiwe
Guohua Li
Guohua Li
Torsten Müller
Junling Zhang
Jianbo Shen
author_facet Wenjia Yu
Haigang Li
Haigang Li
Peteh Mehdi Nkebiwe
Guohua Li
Guohua Li
Torsten Müller
Junling Zhang
Jianbo Shen
author_sort Wenjia Yu
title Estimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model
title_short Estimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model
title_full Estimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model
title_fullStr Estimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model
title_sort estimation of the p fertilizer demand of china using the lepa model
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/77a0f479d58f4034b54b2fe432d891db
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