Estimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model
Modern phosphate (P) fertilizers are sourced from P rock reserves, a finite and dwindling resource. Globally, China is the largest producer and consumer of P fertilizer and will deplete its domestic reserves within 80 years. It is necessary to avoid excess P input in agriculture through estimating P...
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Frontiers Media S.A.
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:77a0f479d58f4034b54b2fe432d891db2021-11-10T07:46:22ZEstimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model2296-665X10.3389/fenvs.2021.759984https://doaj.org/article/77a0f479d58f4034b54b2fe432d891db2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2021.759984/fullhttps://doaj.org/toc/2296-665XModern phosphate (P) fertilizers are sourced from P rock reserves, a finite and dwindling resource. Globally, China is the largest producer and consumer of P fertilizer and will deplete its domestic reserves within 80 years. It is necessary to avoid excess P input in agriculture through estimating P demand. We used the legacy P assessment model (LePA) to estimate P demand based on soil P management at the county, regional, and country scales according to six P application rate scenarios: (1) rate in 2012 maintained; (2) current rate maintained in low-P counties and P input stopped in high-P counties until critical Olsen-P level (CP) is reached, after which rate equals P-removal; (3) rate decreased to 1–1.5 kg ha−1 year−1 in low-P counties after CP is reached and in high-P counties; (4) rate in each county decreased to 1–8 kg ha−1 year−1 after soil Olsen-P reached CP in low P counties; (5) rate in each county was kept at P-removal rate after reduction; (6) P input was kept at the rate lower than P-offtake rate after reduction. The results showed that the total P fertilizer demand of China was 750 MT P2O5, 54% of P fertilizer can be saved from 2013 to 2080 in China, and soil Olsen-P of all counties can satisfy the demand for high crop yields. The greatest potential to decrease P input was in Yangtze Plain and South China, which reached 60%. Our results provide a firm basis to analyze the depletion of P reserves in other countries.Wenjia YuHaigang LiHaigang LiPeteh Mehdi NkebiweGuohua LiGuohua LiTorsten MüllerJunling ZhangJianbo ShenFrontiers Media S.A.articlelegacy soil PLePA modelsoil P managementP demandChinaEnvironmental sciencesGE1-350ENFrontiers in Environmental Science, Vol 9 (2021) |
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legacy soil P LePA model soil P management P demand China Environmental sciences GE1-350 |
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legacy soil P LePA model soil P management P demand China Environmental sciences GE1-350 Wenjia Yu Haigang Li Haigang Li Peteh Mehdi Nkebiwe Guohua Li Guohua Li Torsten Müller Junling Zhang Jianbo Shen Estimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model |
description |
Modern phosphate (P) fertilizers are sourced from P rock reserves, a finite and dwindling resource. Globally, China is the largest producer and consumer of P fertilizer and will deplete its domestic reserves within 80 years. It is necessary to avoid excess P input in agriculture through estimating P demand. We used the legacy P assessment model (LePA) to estimate P demand based on soil P management at the county, regional, and country scales according to six P application rate scenarios: (1) rate in 2012 maintained; (2) current rate maintained in low-P counties and P input stopped in high-P counties until critical Olsen-P level (CP) is reached, after which rate equals P-removal; (3) rate decreased to 1–1.5 kg ha−1 year−1 in low-P counties after CP is reached and in high-P counties; (4) rate in each county decreased to 1–8 kg ha−1 year−1 after soil Olsen-P reached CP in low P counties; (5) rate in each county was kept at P-removal rate after reduction; (6) P input was kept at the rate lower than P-offtake rate after reduction. The results showed that the total P fertilizer demand of China was 750 MT P2O5, 54% of P fertilizer can be saved from 2013 to 2080 in China, and soil Olsen-P of all counties can satisfy the demand for high crop yields. The greatest potential to decrease P input was in Yangtze Plain and South China, which reached 60%. Our results provide a firm basis to analyze the depletion of P reserves in other countries. |
format |
article |
author |
Wenjia Yu Haigang Li Haigang Li Peteh Mehdi Nkebiwe Guohua Li Guohua Li Torsten Müller Junling Zhang Jianbo Shen |
author_facet |
Wenjia Yu Haigang Li Haigang Li Peteh Mehdi Nkebiwe Guohua Li Guohua Li Torsten Müller Junling Zhang Jianbo Shen |
author_sort |
Wenjia Yu |
title |
Estimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model |
title_short |
Estimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model |
title_full |
Estimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model |
title_fullStr |
Estimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Estimation of the P Fertilizer Demand of China Using the LePA Model |
title_sort |
estimation of the p fertilizer demand of china using the lepa model |
publisher |
Frontiers Media S.A. |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/77a0f479d58f4034b54b2fe432d891db |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT wenjiayu estimationofthepfertilizerdemandofchinausingthelepamodel AT haigangli estimationofthepfertilizerdemandofchinausingthelepamodel AT haigangli estimationofthepfertilizerdemandofchinausingthelepamodel AT petehmehdinkebiwe estimationofthepfertilizerdemandofchinausingthelepamodel AT guohuali estimationofthepfertilizerdemandofchinausingthelepamodel AT guohuali estimationofthepfertilizerdemandofchinausingthelepamodel AT torstenmuller estimationofthepfertilizerdemandofchinausingthelepamodel AT junlingzhang estimationofthepfertilizerdemandofchinausingthelepamodel AT jianboshen estimationofthepfertilizerdemandofchinausingthelepamodel |
_version_ |
1718440388070473728 |