Carbon budget and national gross domestic product in the framework of the Paris Climate Agreement

In 2015 an unprecedented effort was made in Paris by the countries adhering to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change to decrease the CO2 emissions due to the close relationships of greenhouse gases with global warming. Under the previous Kyoto Protocol, only advanced countries we...

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Autores principales:	Christian Mulder, Erminia Conti, Giorgio Mancinelli
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Elsevier 2021
Materias:	Allometric modelling Carbon dioxide (CO2) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Paris Agreement Sustainability scenarios Ecology QH540-549.5
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/78c48947cacb4bbabd2d3752975cf6e7
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:78c48947cacb4bbabd2d3752975cf6e7
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:78c48947cacb4bbabd2d3752975cf6e72021-12-01T04:58:44ZCarbon budget and national gross domestic product in the framework of the Paris Climate Agreement1470-160X10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.108066https://doaj.org/article/78c48947cacb4bbabd2d3752975cf6e72021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X21007317https://doaj.org/toc/1470-160XIn 2015 an unprecedented effort was made in Paris by the countries adhering to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change to decrease the CO2 emissions due to the close relationships of greenhouse gases with global warming. Under the previous Kyoto Protocol, only advanced countries were committed to reduce greenhouse emissions while under the Paris Climate Agreement all countries were committed to fight against global warming. The urgency of real action has been prompted by extreme events like bushfires, heatwaves, and the ongoing pandemic. Given the strong commitments, it looks interesting, seen that all countries are involved, to verify if any sustainability pattern is evident. Our approach is encouraging, as the downward emission trend shows a high increase in sustainability between 2027 and 2037. Without exacerbating the climate discussion, we used the national gross domestic product (hereafter: GDP) as environmental indicator to propose for the first time an allometric ranking of countries that need to change drastically their energy policy to meet their climate commitments. Any sustainability downturn in one country, especially if advanced, might rationally bring concern about the actual prospects of other countries which are all committed to the Paris Climate Agreement. But the departure from the annual allometric model GDP−CO2 may be much greater than can be accounted for by statistical expectations, as for Ukraine, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan that are entering a sustainable condition where their CO2 emissions will be lower than they would have been without the Paris Climate Agreement.Christian MulderErminia ContiGiorgio MancinelliElsevierarticleAllometric modellingCarbon dioxide (CO2)Gross Domestic Product (GDP)Paris AgreementSustainability scenariosEcologyQH540-549.5ENEcological Indicators, Vol 130, Iss , Pp 108066- (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Allometric modelling Carbon dioxide (CO2) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Paris Agreement Sustainability scenarios Ecology QH540-549.5
spellingShingle	Allometric modelling Carbon dioxide (CO2) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Paris Agreement Sustainability scenarios Ecology QH540-549.5 Christian Mulder Erminia Conti Giorgio Mancinelli Carbon budget and national gross domestic product in the framework of the Paris Climate Agreement
description	In 2015 an unprecedented effort was made in Paris by the countries adhering to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change to decrease the CO2 emissions due to the close relationships of greenhouse gases with global warming. Under the previous Kyoto Protocol, only advanced countries were committed to reduce greenhouse emissions while under the Paris Climate Agreement all countries were committed to fight against global warming. The urgency of real action has been prompted by extreme events like bushfires, heatwaves, and the ongoing pandemic. Given the strong commitments, it looks interesting, seen that all countries are involved, to verify if any sustainability pattern is evident. Our approach is encouraging, as the downward emission trend shows a high increase in sustainability between 2027 and 2037. Without exacerbating the climate discussion, we used the national gross domestic product (hereafter: GDP) as environmental indicator to propose for the first time an allometric ranking of countries that need to change drastically their energy policy to meet their climate commitments. Any sustainability downturn in one country, especially if advanced, might rationally bring concern about the actual prospects of other countries which are all committed to the Paris Climate Agreement. But the departure from the annual allometric model GDP−CO2 may be much greater than can be accounted for by statistical expectations, as for Ukraine, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan that are entering a sustainable condition where their CO2 emissions will be lower than they would have been without the Paris Climate Agreement.
format	article
author	Christian Mulder Erminia Conti Giorgio Mancinelli
author_facet	Christian Mulder Erminia Conti Giorgio Mancinelli
author_sort	Christian Mulder
title	Carbon budget and national gross domestic product in the framework of the Paris Climate Agreement
title_short	Carbon budget and national gross domestic product in the framework of the Paris Climate Agreement
title_full	Carbon budget and national gross domestic product in the framework of the Paris Climate Agreement
title_fullStr	Carbon budget and national gross domestic product in the framework of the Paris Climate Agreement
title_full_unstemmed	Carbon budget and national gross domestic product in the framework of the Paris Climate Agreement
title_sort	carbon budget and national gross domestic product in the framework of the paris climate agreement
publisher	Elsevier
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/78c48947cacb4bbabd2d3752975cf6e7
work_keys_str_mv	AT christianmulder carbonbudgetandnationalgrossdomesticproductintheframeworkoftheparisclimateagreement AT erminiaconti carbonbudgetandnationalgrossdomesticproductintheframeworkoftheparisclimateagreement AT giorgiomancinelli carbonbudgetandnationalgrossdomesticproductintheframeworkoftheparisclimateagreement
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Carbon budget and national gross domestic product in the framework of the Paris Climate Agreement

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