Impact of Epidemic-Affected Labor Shortage on Food Safety: A Chinese Scenario Analysis Using the CGE Model

Human food safety should be given priority during a major public health crisis. As the primary element of agricultural production, labor tends to suffer the most during a period of public health concern. Studying the impact of epidemic-affected labor shortages on agricultural production, trade, and...

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Autores principales:	Li Liang, Keyu Qin, Sijian Jiang, Xiaoyu Wang, Yunting Shi
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	MDPI AG 2021
Materias:	COVID-19 food security agriculture policy labor CGE Chemical technology TP1-1185
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/79f29e083e254f8793358bb4b986bdf9
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:79f29e083e254f8793358bb4b986bdf92021-11-25T17:34:05ZImpact of Epidemic-Affected Labor Shortage on Food Safety: A Chinese Scenario Analysis Using the CGE Model10.3390/foods101126792304-8158https://doaj.org/article/79f29e083e254f8793358bb4b986bdf92021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2304-8158/10/11/2679https://doaj.org/toc/2304-8158Human food safety should be given priority during a major public health crisis. As the primary element of agricultural production, labor tends to suffer the most during a period of public health concern. Studying the impact of epidemic-affected labor shortages on agricultural production, trade, and prices has important implications for food security. This study used a calculable general equilibrium model to study the changes in agricultural production, trade, and prices under different labor damage scenarios. The results showed that agricultural production was less affected under a scenario where the epidemic was controlled locally. The output of agricultural products decreased by about 2.19%, and the prices of agricultural products increased slightly. However, the nationwide output of agricultural products decreased by only 0.1%, and the prices remained largely stable. In the case of the spread of the epidemic, the output of agricultural products in the epidemic area decreased by 2.11%, and the prices of certain agricultural products increased significantly. For example, the price of vegetables increased by 0.78%, the price of pork increased by about 0.7%, and those of agricultural products in other parts of the country also increased slightly. Compared with the national spread scenario, the local outbreak scenario had a smaller impact on Chinese food security, indicating Chinese effective policy against the epidemic. Although the impact of labor shortage under the influence of the epidemic on China was relatively limited, and considering its stable food security, we should pay attention to the increase in the process of agricultural products and changes in agricultural trade in the epidemic area. The residents in the epidemic areas could not effectively obtain nutritious food, which affected their health. Thus, the government should also completely mobilize agricultural resources to ensure the nutrition safety of residents during major public health incidents.Li LiangKeyu QinSijian JiangXiaoyu WangYunting ShiMDPI AGarticleCOVID-19food securityagriculture policylaborCGEChemical technologyTP1-1185ENFoods, Vol 10, Iss 2679, p 2679 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	COVID-19 food security agriculture policy labor CGE Chemical technology TP1-1185
spellingShingle	COVID-19 food security agriculture policy labor CGE Chemical technology TP1-1185 Li Liang Keyu Qin Sijian Jiang Xiaoyu Wang Yunting Shi Impact of Epidemic-Affected Labor Shortage on Food Safety: A Chinese Scenario Analysis Using the CGE Model
description	Human food safety should be given priority during a major public health crisis. As the primary element of agricultural production, labor tends to suffer the most during a period of public health concern. Studying the impact of epidemic-affected labor shortages on agricultural production, trade, and prices has important implications for food security. This study used a calculable general equilibrium model to study the changes in agricultural production, trade, and prices under different labor damage scenarios. The results showed that agricultural production was less affected under a scenario where the epidemic was controlled locally. The output of agricultural products decreased by about 2.19%, and the prices of agricultural products increased slightly. However, the nationwide output of agricultural products decreased by only 0.1%, and the prices remained largely stable. In the case of the spread of the epidemic, the output of agricultural products in the epidemic area decreased by 2.11%, and the prices of certain agricultural products increased significantly. For example, the price of vegetables increased by 0.78%, the price of pork increased by about 0.7%, and those of agricultural products in other parts of the country also increased slightly. Compared with the national spread scenario, the local outbreak scenario had a smaller impact on Chinese food security, indicating Chinese effective policy against the epidemic. Although the impact of labor shortage under the influence of the epidemic on China was relatively limited, and considering its stable food security, we should pay attention to the increase in the process of agricultural products and changes in agricultural trade in the epidemic area. The residents in the epidemic areas could not effectively obtain nutritious food, which affected their health. Thus, the government should also completely mobilize agricultural resources to ensure the nutrition safety of residents during major public health incidents.
format	article
author	Li Liang Keyu Qin Sijian Jiang Xiaoyu Wang Yunting Shi
author_facet	Li Liang Keyu Qin Sijian Jiang Xiaoyu Wang Yunting Shi
author_sort	Li Liang
title	Impact of Epidemic-Affected Labor Shortage on Food Safety: A Chinese Scenario Analysis Using the CGE Model
title_short	Impact of Epidemic-Affected Labor Shortage on Food Safety: A Chinese Scenario Analysis Using the CGE Model
title_full	Impact of Epidemic-Affected Labor Shortage on Food Safety: A Chinese Scenario Analysis Using the CGE Model
title_fullStr	Impact of Epidemic-Affected Labor Shortage on Food Safety: A Chinese Scenario Analysis Using the CGE Model
title_full_unstemmed	Impact of Epidemic-Affected Labor Shortage on Food Safety: A Chinese Scenario Analysis Using the CGE Model
title_sort	impact of epidemic-affected labor shortage on food safety: a chinese scenario analysis using the cge model
publisher	MDPI AG
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/79f29e083e254f8793358bb4b986bdf9
work_keys_str_mv	AT liliang impactofepidemicaffectedlaborshortageonfoodsafetyachinesescenarioanalysisusingthecgemodel AT keyuqin impactofepidemicaffectedlaborshortageonfoodsafetyachinesescenarioanalysisusingthecgemodel AT sijianjiang impactofepidemicaffectedlaborshortageonfoodsafetyachinesescenarioanalysisusingthecgemodel AT xiaoyuwang impactofepidemicaffectedlaborshortageonfoodsafetyachinesescenarioanalysisusingthecgemodel AT yuntingshi impactofepidemicaffectedlaborshortageonfoodsafetyachinesescenarioanalysisusingthecgemodel
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Impact of Epidemic-Affected Labor Shortage on Food Safety: A Chinese Scenario Analysis Using the CGE Model

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