Potential geographical distribution of Anopheles gambiae worldwide under climate change

Background: Anopheles gambiae (An. gambiae) is considered the most effective malaria vector worldwide and is widely distributed in Africa. The purpose of this study is to determine the potential impact of climate change on An. gambiae and predict the present and future potential suitable habitat glo...

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Autores principales:	Chao Li, Yuan Gao, Zhe Zhao, Delong Ma, Ruobing Zhou, Jun Wang, Qinfeng Zhang, Qiyong Liu
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2021
Materias:	Anopheles gambiae Potential distribution Future climate scenarios Biology (General) QH301-705.5
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/79f9c9221edc4dc79736d94a3b7196ea
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:79f9c9221edc4dc79736d94a3b7196ea2021-11-04T04:37:44ZPotential geographical distribution of Anopheles gambiae worldwide under climate change2588-933810.1016/j.jobb.2021.08.004https://doaj.org/article/79f9c9221edc4dc79736d94a3b7196ea2021-12-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2588933821000315https://doaj.org/toc/2588-9338Background: Anopheles gambiae (An. gambiae) is considered the most effective malaria vector worldwide and is widely distributed in Africa. The purpose of this study is to determine the potential impact of climate change on An. gambiae and predict the present and future potential suitable habitat globally. Methods: In this study, environmental variables, global occurrence data of An. gambiae, and the maximum entropy model (MaxEnt) were used to evaluate the contribution of environmental factors and predict the habitat suitability of An. gambiae under the current and future scenarios. Results: Among all environmental variables, isothermality (Bio3, 34.5%) contributed the most to An. gambiae distribution. Under current climate conditions, the potential suitable areas for An. gambiae are mainly located near the equator (approximately 30°N-30°S), with a total area of 16.58 million km2, including central and northern South America, a fraction of areas near the equator of North America, central and southern Africa, some tropical regions of southern Asia, and small areas of Oceania. The areas of potential suitable habitats would be reduced to varying degrees in future climate scenarios. Conclusions: Potential suitable habitats for An. gambiae may not be limited to Africa. Necessary surveillance and preventive measures should be undertaken in high-risk regions, including those outside Africa, to monitor and control the spread of An. gambiae.Chao LiYuan GaoZhe ZhaoDelong MaRuobing ZhouJun WangQinfeng ZhangQiyong LiuKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.articleAnopheles gambiaePotential distributionFuture climate scenariosBiology (General)QH301-705.5ENJournal of Biosafety and Biosecurity, Vol 3, Iss 2, Pp 125-130 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Anopheles gambiae Potential distribution Future climate scenarios Biology (General) QH301-705.5
spellingShingle	Anopheles gambiae Potential distribution Future climate scenarios Biology (General) QH301-705.5 Chao Li Yuan Gao Zhe Zhao Delong Ma Ruobing Zhou Jun Wang Qinfeng Zhang Qiyong Liu Potential geographical distribution of Anopheles gambiae worldwide under climate change
description	Background: Anopheles gambiae (An. gambiae) is considered the most effective malaria vector worldwide and is widely distributed in Africa. The purpose of this study is to determine the potential impact of climate change on An. gambiae and predict the present and future potential suitable habitat globally. Methods: In this study, environmental variables, global occurrence data of An. gambiae, and the maximum entropy model (MaxEnt) were used to evaluate the contribution of environmental factors and predict the habitat suitability of An. gambiae under the current and future scenarios. Results: Among all environmental variables, isothermality (Bio3, 34.5%) contributed the most to An. gambiae distribution. Under current climate conditions, the potential suitable areas for An. gambiae are mainly located near the equator (approximately 30°N-30°S), with a total area of 16.58 million km2, including central and northern South America, a fraction of areas near the equator of North America, central and southern Africa, some tropical regions of southern Asia, and small areas of Oceania. The areas of potential suitable habitats would be reduced to varying degrees in future climate scenarios. Conclusions: Potential suitable habitats for An. gambiae may not be limited to Africa. Necessary surveillance and preventive measures should be undertaken in high-risk regions, including those outside Africa, to monitor and control the spread of An. gambiae.
format	article
author	Chao Li Yuan Gao Zhe Zhao Delong Ma Ruobing Zhou Jun Wang Qinfeng Zhang Qiyong Liu
author_facet	Chao Li Yuan Gao Zhe Zhao Delong Ma Ruobing Zhou Jun Wang Qinfeng Zhang Qiyong Liu
author_sort	Chao Li
title	Potential geographical distribution of Anopheles gambiae worldwide under climate change
title_short	Potential geographical distribution of Anopheles gambiae worldwide under climate change
title_full	Potential geographical distribution of Anopheles gambiae worldwide under climate change
title_fullStr	Potential geographical distribution of Anopheles gambiae worldwide under climate change
title_full_unstemmed	Potential geographical distribution of Anopheles gambiae worldwide under climate change
title_sort	potential geographical distribution of anopheles gambiae worldwide under climate change
publisher	KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/79f9c9221edc4dc79736d94a3b7196ea
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Potential geographical distribution of Anopheles gambiae worldwide under climate change

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