Uncertainties in land use data may have substantial effects on environmental planning recommendations: A plea for careful consideration.

A key challenge of environmental planning is to craft recommendations for future sustainable spatial development amid ubiquitous uncertainties. This paper aims to explore how different data uncertainties, usually unknown to the planner, may influence environmental planning recommendations. We apply...

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Autores principales:	Felix Neuendorf, Julia Thiele, Christian Albert, Christina von Haaren
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/7c506a75f452436a9906d155bf3b3d04
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:7c506a75f452436a9906d155bf3b3d042021-12-02T20:16:09ZUncertainties in land use data may have substantial effects on environmental planning recommendations: A plea for careful consideration.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0260302https://doaj.org/article/7c506a75f452436a9906d155bf3b3d042021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260302https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203A key challenge of environmental planning is to craft recommendations for future sustainable spatial development amid ubiquitous uncertainties. This paper aims to explore how different data uncertainties, usually unknown to the planner, may influence environmental planning recommendations. We apply a case study-based approach, in which we provide three illustrative examples of how data with different kinds and levels of uncertainty affect environmental assessments and, by that, the decision-support provided by environmental planning. The cases stem from different spatial levels in Germany and consider 'Regional soil-based climate change mitigation' in the region of Hannover, 'State-wide habitat conservation siting' in the federal state of Saxony-Anhalt, and 'National renewable energy planning'. Based on the three examples, we discuss implications for planning practice and derive recommendations for further research. The three cases studies illustrate the substantial effects of data uncertainty on environmental assessments and planning recommendations derived from those results. We identify four problem constellations of dealing with data uncertainty in environmental planning that relate to the severeness of uncertainty impacts, the responsibility of the decision-maker, and the kinds of impacts that wrong decisions may have. We close with recommendations for further research, among others to develop robust and pragmatic methods for identifying the uncertainty levels in environmental data and assessment results.Felix NeuendorfJulia ThieleChristian AlbertChristina von HaarenPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 11, p e0260302 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Felix Neuendorf Julia Thiele Christian Albert Christina von Haaren Uncertainties in land use data may have substantial effects on environmental planning recommendations: A plea for careful consideration.
description	A key challenge of environmental planning is to craft recommendations for future sustainable spatial development amid ubiquitous uncertainties. This paper aims to explore how different data uncertainties, usually unknown to the planner, may influence environmental planning recommendations. We apply a case study-based approach, in which we provide three illustrative examples of how data with different kinds and levels of uncertainty affect environmental assessments and, by that, the decision-support provided by environmental planning. The cases stem from different spatial levels in Germany and consider 'Regional soil-based climate change mitigation' in the region of Hannover, 'State-wide habitat conservation siting' in the federal state of Saxony-Anhalt, and 'National renewable energy planning'. Based on the three examples, we discuss implications for planning practice and derive recommendations for further research. The three cases studies illustrate the substantial effects of data uncertainty on environmental assessments and planning recommendations derived from those results. We identify four problem constellations of dealing with data uncertainty in environmental planning that relate to the severeness of uncertainty impacts, the responsibility of the decision-maker, and the kinds of impacts that wrong decisions may have. We close with recommendations for further research, among others to develop robust and pragmatic methods for identifying the uncertainty levels in environmental data and assessment results.
format	article
author	Felix Neuendorf Julia Thiele Christian Albert Christina von Haaren
author_facet	Felix Neuendorf Julia Thiele Christian Albert Christina von Haaren
author_sort	Felix Neuendorf
title	Uncertainties in land use data may have substantial effects on environmental planning recommendations: A plea for careful consideration.
title_short	Uncertainties in land use data may have substantial effects on environmental planning recommendations: A plea for careful consideration.
title_full	Uncertainties in land use data may have substantial effects on environmental planning recommendations: A plea for careful consideration.
title_fullStr	Uncertainties in land use data may have substantial effects on environmental planning recommendations: A plea for careful consideration.
title_full_unstemmed	Uncertainties in land use data may have substantial effects on environmental planning recommendations: A plea for careful consideration.
title_sort	uncertainties in land use data may have substantial effects on environmental planning recommendations: a plea for careful consideration.
publisher	Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/7c506a75f452436a9906d155bf3b3d04
work_keys_str_mv	AT felixneuendorf uncertaintiesinlandusedatamayhavesubstantialeffectsonenvironmentalplanningrecommendationsapleaforcarefulconsideration AT juliathiele uncertaintiesinlandusedatamayhavesubstantialeffectsonenvironmentalplanningrecommendationsapleaforcarefulconsideration AT christianalbert uncertaintiesinlandusedatamayhavesubstantialeffectsonenvironmentalplanningrecommendationsapleaforcarefulconsideration AT christinavonhaaren uncertaintiesinlandusedatamayhavesubstantialeffectsonenvironmentalplanningrecommendationsapleaforcarefulconsideration
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Uncertainties in land use data may have substantial effects on environmental planning recommendations: A plea for careful consideration.

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