A comparison study of Zika virus outbreaks in French Polynesia, Colombia and the State of Bahia in Brazil

Zika virus (ZIKV) disease outbreaks occurred in French Polynesia in 2013–2014 and in Brazil and Colombia in 2015–2016, respectively. Using our recently developed ZIKV disease model, we simulated the reported ZIKV infection cases from French Polynesia, Colombia and the State of Bahia of Brazil. Moreo...

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Autores principales:	Daihai He, Daozhou Gao, Yijun Lou, Shi Zhao, Shigui Ruan
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2017
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/7e50b919dbe147c090bdc0189fe872aa
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:7e50b919dbe147c090bdc0189fe872aa2021-12-02T12:32:27ZA comparison study of Zika virus outbreaks in French Polynesia, Colombia and the State of Bahia in Brazil10.1038/s41598-017-00253-12045-2322https://doaj.org/article/7e50b919dbe147c090bdc0189fe872aa2017-03-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-00253-1https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Zika virus (ZIKV) disease outbreaks occurred in French Polynesia in 2013–2014 and in Brazil and Colombia in 2015–2016, respectively. Using our recently developed ZIKV disease model, we simulated the reported ZIKV infection cases from French Polynesia, Colombia and the State of Bahia of Brazil. Moreover, we estimated that the infection attack rates were 78.0% (95% confidence interval (CI): 63.5–86.3%) in French Polynesia which closely matches a previous serological study; 20.8% (95% CI: 1.1–50.0%) in Colombia which suggests that the attack rate was most likely less than 50%; and 32.4% (95% CI: 2.5–94.2%) in the State of Bahia in Brazil which suggests that the attack rate is unidentifiable with monthly data in Bahia. Furthermore, we found that the association of precipitation and ZIKV outbreak was more evident in Colombia than the other two places. These results are helpful for us to understand the possible evolution, to control the on-going outbreaks, to prevent the potential geographic spread, and to study the ecological and epidemiological characteristics of ZIKV.Daihai HeDaozhou GaoYijun LouShi ZhaoShigui RuanNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-6 (2017)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Daihai He Daozhou Gao Yijun Lou Shi Zhao Shigui Ruan A comparison study of Zika virus outbreaks in French Polynesia, Colombia and the State of Bahia in Brazil
description	Zika virus (ZIKV) disease outbreaks occurred in French Polynesia in 2013–2014 and in Brazil and Colombia in 2015–2016, respectively. Using our recently developed ZIKV disease model, we simulated the reported ZIKV infection cases from French Polynesia, Colombia and the State of Bahia of Brazil. Moreover, we estimated that the infection attack rates were 78.0% (95% confidence interval (CI): 63.5–86.3%) in French Polynesia which closely matches a previous serological study; 20.8% (95% CI: 1.1–50.0%) in Colombia which suggests that the attack rate was most likely less than 50%; and 32.4% (95% CI: 2.5–94.2%) in the State of Bahia in Brazil which suggests that the attack rate is unidentifiable with monthly data in Bahia. Furthermore, we found that the association of precipitation and ZIKV outbreak was more evident in Colombia than the other two places. These results are helpful for us to understand the possible evolution, to control the on-going outbreaks, to prevent the potential geographic spread, and to study the ecological and epidemiological characteristics of ZIKV.
format	article
author	Daihai He Daozhou Gao Yijun Lou Shi Zhao Shigui Ruan
author_facet	Daihai He Daozhou Gao Yijun Lou Shi Zhao Shigui Ruan
author_sort	Daihai He
title	A comparison study of Zika virus outbreaks in French Polynesia, Colombia and the State of Bahia in Brazil
title_short	A comparison study of Zika virus outbreaks in French Polynesia, Colombia and the State of Bahia in Brazil
title_full	A comparison study of Zika virus outbreaks in French Polynesia, Colombia and the State of Bahia in Brazil
title_fullStr	A comparison study of Zika virus outbreaks in French Polynesia, Colombia and the State of Bahia in Brazil
title_full_unstemmed	A comparison study of Zika virus outbreaks in French Polynesia, Colombia and the State of Bahia in Brazil
title_sort	comparison study of zika virus outbreaks in french polynesia, colombia and the state of bahia in brazil
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2017
url	https://doaj.org/article/7e50b919dbe147c090bdc0189fe872aa
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A comparison study of Zika virus outbreaks in French Polynesia, Colombia and the State of Bahia in Brazil

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