Counteracting structural errors in ensemble forecast of influenza outbreaks

Inaccuracy of influenza forecasts based on dynamical models is partly due to nonlinear error growth. Here the authors address the error structure of a compartmental influenza model, and develop a new improved forecast approach combining dynamical error correction and statistical filtering techniques...

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Autores principales: Sen Pei, Jeffrey Shaman
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2017
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/7e6f7fcc30c3475fa6769a280c10206d
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