METHODOLOGY OF FORECASTING THE INTEREST RATE OF THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK IN SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK

The article deals with the issue of forecasting the dynamics of the interest rate of the European Central Bank as a central bank whose activity aims at supporting price stability and whose interest rate is an indicator showing the direction of monetary and credit policy. The author designed methodol...

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Autor principal: Anastasiya V. Skuratova
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Lenguaje:RU
Publicado: Plekhanov Russian University of Economics 2017
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/8069890455114f21a5ca4d65f3069dfb
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:8069890455114f21a5ca4d65f3069dfb2021-11-15T05:20:43ZMETHODOLOGY OF FORECASTING THE INTEREST RATE OF THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK IN SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK2413-28292587-925110.21686/2413-2829-2016-1-35-44https://doaj.org/article/8069890455114f21a5ca4d65f3069dfb2017-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://vest.rea.ru/jour/article/view/117https://doaj.org/toc/2413-2829https://doaj.org/toc/2587-9251The article deals with the issue of forecasting the dynamics of the interest rate of the European Central Bank as a central bank whose activity aims at supporting price stability and whose interest rate is an indicator showing the direction of monetary and credit policy. The author designed methodology, which allows business entities to use a simplified Tailor rule to forecast the dynamics of the interest rate of the European Central Bank in the short-term outlook (up to one year). The algorithm of forecasting was proposed, sources of initial data were provided, the comparison between the actual interest rate and the interest rate calculated by Tailor rater was made.Anastasiya V. SkuratovaPlekhanov Russian University of Economicsarticlemonetary and credit policyprice stabilityforecasting of the interest ratetailor ruleEconomics as a scienceHB71-74RUВестник Российского экономического университета имени Г. В. Плеханова, Vol 0, Iss 1, Pp 35-44 (2017)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language RU
topic monetary and credit policy
price stability
forecasting of the interest rate
tailor rule
Economics as a science
HB71-74
spellingShingle monetary and credit policy
price stability
forecasting of the interest rate
tailor rule
Economics as a science
HB71-74
Anastasiya V. Skuratova
METHODOLOGY OF FORECASTING THE INTEREST RATE OF THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK IN SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK
description The article deals with the issue of forecasting the dynamics of the interest rate of the European Central Bank as a central bank whose activity aims at supporting price stability and whose interest rate is an indicator showing the direction of monetary and credit policy. The author designed methodology, which allows business entities to use a simplified Tailor rule to forecast the dynamics of the interest rate of the European Central Bank in the short-term outlook (up to one year). The algorithm of forecasting was proposed, sources of initial data were provided, the comparison between the actual interest rate and the interest rate calculated by Tailor rater was made.
format article
author Anastasiya V. Skuratova
author_facet Anastasiya V. Skuratova
author_sort Anastasiya V. Skuratova
title METHODOLOGY OF FORECASTING THE INTEREST RATE OF THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK IN SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK
title_short METHODOLOGY OF FORECASTING THE INTEREST RATE OF THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK IN SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK
title_full METHODOLOGY OF FORECASTING THE INTEREST RATE OF THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK IN SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK
title_fullStr METHODOLOGY OF FORECASTING THE INTEREST RATE OF THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK IN SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK
title_full_unstemmed METHODOLOGY OF FORECASTING THE INTEREST RATE OF THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK IN SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK
title_sort methodology of forecasting the interest rate of the european central bank in short-term outlook
publisher Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
publishDate 2017
url https://doaj.org/article/8069890455114f21a5ca4d65f3069dfb
work_keys_str_mv AT anastasiyavskuratova methodologyofforecastingtheinterestrateoftheeuropeancentralbankinshorttermoutlook
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