EVALUATION OF THE FINANCIAL POSITION OF THE ENTERPRISE AND DETERMINATION OF THE OPTIMAL MODEL OF THE PROBABILITY OF BANKRUPTCY

The article deals with the financial analysis of the companies in bankruptcy proceedings. Using the principle of invariance of factors in predicting the functions of financial analysis, it was possible to assess the parameters and structure of the optimal model of the probability of bankruptcy and t...

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Autor principal:	A. V. Babanov
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	RU
Publicado:	Real Economics Publishing House 2015
Materias:	crisis management probability of bankruptcy management model problems of forecasting financial situation of enterprise financial analysis Risk in industry. Risk management HD61
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/8224f36014fe41419cc6ff9b184d2829
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:8224f36014fe41419cc6ff9b184d28292021-11-19T10:41:58ZEVALUATION OF THE FINANCIAL POSITION OF THE ENTERPRISE AND DETERMINATION OF THE OPTIMAL MODEL OF THE PROBABILITY OF BANKRUPTCY2618-947X2618-998410.17747/2078-8886-2015-5-76-80https://doaj.org/article/8224f36014fe41419cc6ff9b184d28292015-12-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.jsdrm.ru/jour/article/view/508https://doaj.org/toc/2618-947Xhttps://doaj.org/toc/2618-9984The article deals with the financial analysis of the companies in bankruptcy proceedings. Using the principle of invariance of factors in predicting the functions of financial analysis, it was possible to assess the parameters and structure of the optimal model of the probability of bankruptcy and to establish criteria for the financial situation of the company. All possible models and methods of probability of bankruptcy to anticipate the onset of bankruptcy with a certain degree of probability, but in predicting bankruptcy of domestic producers must be borne in mind that the weights used in the prior art methods require adjustments for regional and sectoral conditions of functioning of economic entities, and the existing trend does not reflect the full information on the dynamics and structure of equity and debt, working capital and liquidity. Thus, it is considered appropriate to use the theory of econometrics, which ensures the independence of the numerical results of the analysis and forecast of the series shift along the time axis. It needs to estimate parameters and structures of the optimal model of the probability of bankruptcy and to establish criteria for the financial position of the company on the principle of invariance in the bankruptcy proceedings. The study serves the basis for a proactive approach to the identification of the optimal model terms of probability of bankruptcy of enterprises and the financial situation of enterprises.A. V. BabanovReal Economics Publishing House articlecrisis managementprobability of bankruptcymanagement modelproblems of forecastingfinancial situation of enterprisefinancial analysisRisk in industry. Risk managementHD61RU Strategičeskie Rešeniâ i Risk-Menedžment, Vol 0, Iss 5, Pp 76-80 (2015)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	RU
topic	crisis management probability of bankruptcy management model problems of forecasting financial situation of enterprise financial analysis Risk in industry. Risk management HD61
spellingShingle	crisis management probability of bankruptcy management model problems of forecasting financial situation of enterprise financial analysis Risk in industry. Risk management HD61 A. V. Babanov EVALUATION OF THE FINANCIAL POSITION OF THE ENTERPRISE AND DETERMINATION OF THE OPTIMAL MODEL OF THE PROBABILITY OF BANKRUPTCY
description	The article deals with the financial analysis of the companies in bankruptcy proceedings. Using the principle of invariance of factors in predicting the functions of financial analysis, it was possible to assess the parameters and structure of the optimal model of the probability of bankruptcy and to establish criteria for the financial situation of the company. All possible models and methods of probability of bankruptcy to anticipate the onset of bankruptcy with a certain degree of probability, but in predicting bankruptcy of domestic producers must be borne in mind that the weights used in the prior art methods require adjustments for regional and sectoral conditions of functioning of economic entities, and the existing trend does not reflect the full information on the dynamics and structure of equity and debt, working capital and liquidity. Thus, it is considered appropriate to use the theory of econometrics, which ensures the independence of the numerical results of the analysis and forecast of the series shift along the time axis. It needs to estimate parameters and structures of the optimal model of the probability of bankruptcy and to establish criteria for the financial position of the company on the principle of invariance in the bankruptcy proceedings. The study serves the basis for a proactive approach to the identification of the optimal model terms of probability of bankruptcy of enterprises and the financial situation of enterprises.
format	article
author	A. V. Babanov
author_facet	A. V. Babanov
author_sort	A. V. Babanov
title	EVALUATION OF THE FINANCIAL POSITION OF THE ENTERPRISE AND DETERMINATION OF THE OPTIMAL MODEL OF THE PROBABILITY OF BANKRUPTCY
title_short	EVALUATION OF THE FINANCIAL POSITION OF THE ENTERPRISE AND DETERMINATION OF THE OPTIMAL MODEL OF THE PROBABILITY OF BANKRUPTCY
title_full	EVALUATION OF THE FINANCIAL POSITION OF THE ENTERPRISE AND DETERMINATION OF THE OPTIMAL MODEL OF THE PROBABILITY OF BANKRUPTCY
title_fullStr	EVALUATION OF THE FINANCIAL POSITION OF THE ENTERPRISE AND DETERMINATION OF THE OPTIMAL MODEL OF THE PROBABILITY OF BANKRUPTCY
title_full_unstemmed	EVALUATION OF THE FINANCIAL POSITION OF THE ENTERPRISE AND DETERMINATION OF THE OPTIMAL MODEL OF THE PROBABILITY OF BANKRUPTCY
title_sort	evaluation of the financial position of the enterprise and determination of the optimal model of the probability of bankruptcy
publisher	Real Economics Publishing House
publishDate	2015
url	https://doaj.org/article/8224f36014fe41419cc6ff9b184d2829
work_keys_str_mv	AT avbabanov evaluationofthefinancialpositionoftheenterpriseanddeterminationoftheoptimalmodeloftheprobabilityofbankruptcy
_version_	1718420203574919168

EVALUATION OF THE FINANCIAL POSITION OF THE ENTERPRISE AND DETERMINATION OF THE OPTIMAL MODEL OF THE PROBABILITY OF BANKRUPTCY

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