Multiple hazards and risk perceptions over time: the availability heuristic in Italy and Sweden under COVID-19

<p>The severe impact of global crises, such as COVID-19 and climate change, is plausibly reshaping the way in which people perceive risks. In this paper, we examine and compare how global crises and local disasters influence public perceptions of multiple hazards in Italy and Sweden. To this e...

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Autores principales: G. Di Baldassarre, E. Mondino, M. Rusca, E. Del Giudice, J. Mård, E. Ridolfi, A. Scolobig, E. Raffetti
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Publicado: Copernicus Publications 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/824fbaaf9ee5422d84b88c738dc27fe9
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:824fbaaf9ee5422d84b88c738dc27fe92021-11-12T06:04:15ZMultiple hazards and risk perceptions over time: the availability heuristic in Italy and Sweden under COVID-1910.5194/nhess-21-3439-20211561-86331684-9981https://doaj.org/article/824fbaaf9ee5422d84b88c738dc27fe92021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/3439/2021/nhess-21-3439-2021.pdfhttps://doaj.org/toc/1561-8633https://doaj.org/toc/1684-9981<p>The severe impact of global crises, such as COVID-19 and climate change, is plausibly reshaping the way in which people perceive risks. In this paper, we examine and compare how global crises and local disasters influence public perceptions of multiple hazards in Italy and Sweden. To this end, we integrate information about the occurrence of hazardous events with the results of two nationwide surveys. These included more than 4000 participants and were conducted in two different phases of the COVID-19 pandemic corresponding to low (August 2020) and high (November 2020) levels of infection rates. We found that, in both countries, people are more worried about risks related to experienced events. This is in line with the cognitive process known as the availability heuristic: individuals assess the risk associated with a given hazard based on how easily it comes to their mind. Epidemics, for example, are perceived as less likely and more impactful in Italy compared to Sweden. This outcome can be explained by cross-country differences in the impact of, as well as governmental responses to, COVID-19. Notwithstanding the ongoing pandemic, people in both Italy and Sweden are highly concerned about climate change, and they rank it as the most likely threat.</p>G. Di BaldassarreG. Di BaldassarreE. MondinoM. RuscaE. Del GiudiceJ. MårdE. RidolfiA. ScolobigA. ScolobigE. RaffettiCopernicus PublicationsarticleEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066Geography. Anthropology. RecreationGEnvironmental sciencesGE1-350GeologyQE1-996.5ENNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol 21, Pp 3439-3447 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Geography. Anthropology. Recreation
G
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Geology
QE1-996.5
spellingShingle Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Geography. Anthropology. Recreation
G
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Geology
QE1-996.5
G. Di Baldassarre
G. Di Baldassarre
E. Mondino
M. Rusca
E. Del Giudice
J. Mård
E. Ridolfi
A. Scolobig
A. Scolobig
E. Raffetti
Multiple hazards and risk perceptions over time: the availability heuristic in Italy and Sweden under COVID-19
description <p>The severe impact of global crises, such as COVID-19 and climate change, is plausibly reshaping the way in which people perceive risks. In this paper, we examine and compare how global crises and local disasters influence public perceptions of multiple hazards in Italy and Sweden. To this end, we integrate information about the occurrence of hazardous events with the results of two nationwide surveys. These included more than 4000 participants and were conducted in two different phases of the COVID-19 pandemic corresponding to low (August 2020) and high (November 2020) levels of infection rates. We found that, in both countries, people are more worried about risks related to experienced events. This is in line with the cognitive process known as the availability heuristic: individuals assess the risk associated with a given hazard based on how easily it comes to their mind. Epidemics, for example, are perceived as less likely and more impactful in Italy compared to Sweden. This outcome can be explained by cross-country differences in the impact of, as well as governmental responses to, COVID-19. Notwithstanding the ongoing pandemic, people in both Italy and Sweden are highly concerned about climate change, and they rank it as the most likely threat.</p>
format article
author G. Di Baldassarre
G. Di Baldassarre
E. Mondino
M. Rusca
E. Del Giudice
J. Mård
E. Ridolfi
A. Scolobig
A. Scolobig
E. Raffetti
author_facet G. Di Baldassarre
G. Di Baldassarre
E. Mondino
M. Rusca
E. Del Giudice
J. Mård
E. Ridolfi
A. Scolobig
A. Scolobig
E. Raffetti
author_sort G. Di Baldassarre
title Multiple hazards and risk perceptions over time: the availability heuristic in Italy and Sweden under COVID-19
title_short Multiple hazards and risk perceptions over time: the availability heuristic in Italy and Sweden under COVID-19
title_full Multiple hazards and risk perceptions over time: the availability heuristic in Italy and Sweden under COVID-19
title_fullStr Multiple hazards and risk perceptions over time: the availability heuristic in Italy and Sweden under COVID-19
title_full_unstemmed Multiple hazards and risk perceptions over time: the availability heuristic in Italy and Sweden under COVID-19
title_sort multiple hazards and risk perceptions over time: the availability heuristic in italy and sweden under covid-19
publisher Copernicus Publications
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/824fbaaf9ee5422d84b88c738dc27fe9
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