On the treatment of airline travelers in mathematical models.

The global spread of infectious diseases is facilitated by the ability of infected humans to travel thousands of miles in short time spans, rapidly transporting pathogens to distant locations. Mathematical models of the actual and potential spread of specific pathogens can assist public health plann...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Michael A Johansson, Neysarí Arana-Vizcarrondo, Brad J Biggerstaff, J Erin Staples, Nancy Gallagher, Nina Marano
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2011
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/8264dc7f81e1414a8dad1e7c95b8132f
Etiquetas:	Agregar Etiqueta Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!

id	oai:doaj.org-article:8264dc7f81e1414a8dad1e7c95b8132f
record_format	dspace
spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:8264dc7f81e1414a8dad1e7c95b8132f2021-11-18T06:49:32ZOn the treatment of airline travelers in mathematical models.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0022151https://doaj.org/article/8264dc7f81e1414a8dad1e7c95b8132f2011-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/21799782/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203The global spread of infectious diseases is facilitated by the ability of infected humans to travel thousands of miles in short time spans, rapidly transporting pathogens to distant locations. Mathematical models of the actual and potential spread of specific pathogens can assist public health planning in the case of such an event. Models should generally be parsimonious, but must consider all potentially important components of the system to the greatest extent possible. We demonstrate and discuss important assumptions relative to the parameterization and structural treatment of airline travel in mathematical models. Among other findings, we show that the most common structural treatment of travelers leads to underestimation of the speed of spread and that connecting travel is critical to a realistic spread pattern. Models involving travelers can be improved significantly by relatively simple structural changes but also may require further attention to details of parameterization.Michael A JohanssonNeysarí Arana-VizcarrondoBrad J BiggerstaffJ Erin StaplesNancy GallagherNina MaranoPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 6, Iss 7, p e22151 (2011)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Michael A Johansson Neysarí Arana-Vizcarrondo Brad J Biggerstaff J Erin Staples Nancy Gallagher Nina Marano On the treatment of airline travelers in mathematical models.
description	The global spread of infectious diseases is facilitated by the ability of infected humans to travel thousands of miles in short time spans, rapidly transporting pathogens to distant locations. Mathematical models of the actual and potential spread of specific pathogens can assist public health planning in the case of such an event. Models should generally be parsimonious, but must consider all potentially important components of the system to the greatest extent possible. We demonstrate and discuss important assumptions relative to the parameterization and structural treatment of airline travel in mathematical models. Among other findings, we show that the most common structural treatment of travelers leads to underestimation of the speed of spread and that connecting travel is critical to a realistic spread pattern. Models involving travelers can be improved significantly by relatively simple structural changes but also may require further attention to details of parameterization.
format	article
author	Michael A Johansson Neysarí Arana-Vizcarrondo Brad J Biggerstaff J Erin Staples Nancy Gallagher Nina Marano
author_facet	Michael A Johansson Neysarí Arana-Vizcarrondo Brad J Biggerstaff J Erin Staples Nancy Gallagher Nina Marano
author_sort	Michael A Johansson
title	On the treatment of airline travelers in mathematical models.
title_short	On the treatment of airline travelers in mathematical models.
title_full	On the treatment of airline travelers in mathematical models.
title_fullStr	On the treatment of airline travelers in mathematical models.
title_full_unstemmed	On the treatment of airline travelers in mathematical models.
title_sort	on the treatment of airline travelers in mathematical models.
publisher	Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate	2011
url	https://doaj.org/article/8264dc7f81e1414a8dad1e7c95b8132f
work_keys_str_mv	AT michaelajohansson onthetreatmentofairlinetravelersinmathematicalmodels AT neysariaranavizcarrondo onthetreatmentofairlinetravelersinmathematicalmodels AT bradjbiggerstaff onthetreatmentofairlinetravelersinmathematicalmodels AT jerinstaples onthetreatmentofairlinetravelersinmathematicalmodels AT nancygallagher onthetreatmentofairlinetravelersinmathematicalmodels AT ninamarano onthetreatmentofairlinetravelersinmathematicalmodels
_version_	1718424361590849536

On the treatment of airline travelers in mathematical models.

Ejemplares similares