Association between winter cold spells and acute myocardial infarction in Lithuania 2000–2015

Abstract Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is a major public health problem. Cold winter weather increases the risk of AMI, but factors influencing susceptibility are poorly known. We conducted an individual-level case-crossover study of the associations between winter cold spells and the risk of AM...

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Autores principales: Vidmantas Vaičiulis, Jouni J. K. Jaakkola, Ričardas Radišauskas, Abdonas Tamošiūnas, Dalia Lukšienė, Niilo R. I. Ryti
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/82f6e4037d46415e80e08e2188ecd47c
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:82f6e4037d46415e80e08e2188ecd47c2021-12-02T15:09:15ZAssociation between winter cold spells and acute myocardial infarction in Lithuania 2000–201510.1038/s41598-021-96366-92045-2322https://doaj.org/article/82f6e4037d46415e80e08e2188ecd47c2021-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-96366-9https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is a major public health problem. Cold winter weather increases the risk of AMI, but factors influencing susceptibility are poorly known. We conducted an individual-level case-crossover study of the associations between winter cold spells and the risk of AMI, with special focus on survival at 28 days and effect modification by age and sex. All 16,071 adult cases of AMI among the residents of the city of Kaunas in Lithuania in 2000–2015 were included in the study. Cold weather was statistically defined using the 5th percentile of frequency distribution of daily mean temperatures over the winter months. According to conditional logistic regression controlling for time-varying and time-invariant confounders, each additional cold spell day during the week preceding AMI increased the risk of AMI by 5% (95% CI 1–9%). For nonfatal and fatal cases, the risk increase per each additional cold spell day was 5% (95% CI 1–9%) and 6% (95% CI − 2–13%), respectively. The effect estimate was greater for men (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.02–1.12) than for women (OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.97–1.08), but there was no evidence of effect modification by age. Evidence on factors increasing susceptibility is critical for targeted cold weather planning.Vidmantas VaičiulisJouni J. K. JaakkolaRičardas RadišauskasAbdonas TamošiūnasDalia LukšienėNiilo R. I. RytiNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Vidmantas Vaičiulis
Jouni J. K. Jaakkola
Ričardas Radišauskas
Abdonas Tamošiūnas
Dalia Lukšienė
Niilo R. I. Ryti
Association between winter cold spells and acute myocardial infarction in Lithuania 2000–2015
description Abstract Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is a major public health problem. Cold winter weather increases the risk of AMI, but factors influencing susceptibility are poorly known. We conducted an individual-level case-crossover study of the associations between winter cold spells and the risk of AMI, with special focus on survival at 28 days and effect modification by age and sex. All 16,071 adult cases of AMI among the residents of the city of Kaunas in Lithuania in 2000–2015 were included in the study. Cold weather was statistically defined using the 5th percentile of frequency distribution of daily mean temperatures over the winter months. According to conditional logistic regression controlling for time-varying and time-invariant confounders, each additional cold spell day during the week preceding AMI increased the risk of AMI by 5% (95% CI 1–9%). For nonfatal and fatal cases, the risk increase per each additional cold spell day was 5% (95% CI 1–9%) and 6% (95% CI − 2–13%), respectively. The effect estimate was greater for men (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.02–1.12) than for women (OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.97–1.08), but there was no evidence of effect modification by age. Evidence on factors increasing susceptibility is critical for targeted cold weather planning.
format article
author Vidmantas Vaičiulis
Jouni J. K. Jaakkola
Ričardas Radišauskas
Abdonas Tamošiūnas
Dalia Lukšienė
Niilo R. I. Ryti
author_facet Vidmantas Vaičiulis
Jouni J. K. Jaakkola
Ričardas Radišauskas
Abdonas Tamošiūnas
Dalia Lukšienė
Niilo R. I. Ryti
author_sort Vidmantas Vaičiulis
title Association between winter cold spells and acute myocardial infarction in Lithuania 2000–2015
title_short Association between winter cold spells and acute myocardial infarction in Lithuania 2000–2015
title_full Association between winter cold spells and acute myocardial infarction in Lithuania 2000–2015
title_fullStr Association between winter cold spells and acute myocardial infarction in Lithuania 2000–2015
title_full_unstemmed Association between winter cold spells and acute myocardial infarction in Lithuania 2000–2015
title_sort association between winter cold spells and acute myocardial infarction in lithuania 2000–2015
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/82f6e4037d46415e80e08e2188ecd47c
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