Similarities and differences between the evolutions of the average wheat productions in Romania, South-West Oltenia and Dolj. ARMA models

The evolutions of crop productions are influenced by a series of both deterministic and stochastic factors, so the data series of these evolutions are variable with significant random components. Starting from this consideration, the paper comparatively analyzes the evolutions of the average annu...

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Autor principal: Marian Zaharia
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Publicado: THOT Publishing House 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/84429dee109e4ef59470aa7cba2fddde
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:84429dee109e4ef59470aa7cba2fddde2021-11-15T14:52:37ZSimilarities and differences between the evolutions of the average wheat productions in Romania, South-West Oltenia and Dolj. ARMA models10.33727/JRISS.2021.2.19:175-1842668-0416https://doaj.org/article/84429dee109e4ef59470aa7cba2fddde2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttp://jriss.4ader.ro/pdf/2021-02/19_Ec.pdfhttps://doaj.org/toc/2668-0416The evolutions of crop productions are influenced by a series of both deterministic and stochastic factors, so the data series of these evolutions are variable with significant random components. Starting from this consideration, the paper comparatively analyzes the evolutions of the average annual wheat production per hectare at the level of Romania and the South-West Oltenia development region, as well as at the level of Dolj county, component of this region. The main objective is to identify and analyze trend components, based on regression models, as well as random components, based on autoregressive and moving average (ARMA) models in order to identify similarities and differences between the evolutions of average wheat production per hectare in the last two decades. . The conclusion is that, although the evolution trends are similar, the random components highlight differences between the evolutions registered in Romania and in the South-West Oltenia region, which highlights the significant impact of specific random factorsMarian ZahariaTHOT Publishing Housearticlecrop productionwheatregressionarmaTechnologyTEngineering (General). Civil engineering (General)TA1-2040ENJournal of Research and Innovation for Sustainable Society, Vol 3, Iss 2, Pp 175-184 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic crop production
wheat
regression
arma
Technology
T
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
spellingShingle crop production
wheat
regression
arma
Technology
T
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
Marian Zaharia
Similarities and differences between the evolutions of the average wheat productions in Romania, South-West Oltenia and Dolj. ARMA models
description The evolutions of crop productions are influenced by a series of both deterministic and stochastic factors, so the data series of these evolutions are variable with significant random components. Starting from this consideration, the paper comparatively analyzes the evolutions of the average annual wheat production per hectare at the level of Romania and the South-West Oltenia development region, as well as at the level of Dolj county, component of this region. The main objective is to identify and analyze trend components, based on regression models, as well as random components, based on autoregressive and moving average (ARMA) models in order to identify similarities and differences between the evolutions of average wheat production per hectare in the last two decades. . The conclusion is that, although the evolution trends are similar, the random components highlight differences between the evolutions registered in Romania and in the South-West Oltenia region, which highlights the significant impact of specific random factors
format article
author Marian Zaharia
author_facet Marian Zaharia
author_sort Marian Zaharia
title Similarities and differences between the evolutions of the average wheat productions in Romania, South-West Oltenia and Dolj. ARMA models
title_short Similarities and differences between the evolutions of the average wheat productions in Romania, South-West Oltenia and Dolj. ARMA models
title_full Similarities and differences between the evolutions of the average wheat productions in Romania, South-West Oltenia and Dolj. ARMA models
title_fullStr Similarities and differences between the evolutions of the average wheat productions in Romania, South-West Oltenia and Dolj. ARMA models
title_full_unstemmed Similarities and differences between the evolutions of the average wheat productions in Romania, South-West Oltenia and Dolj. ARMA models
title_sort similarities and differences between the evolutions of the average wheat productions in romania, south-west oltenia and dolj. arma models
publisher THOT Publishing House
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/84429dee109e4ef59470aa7cba2fddde
work_keys_str_mv AT marianzaharia similaritiesanddifferencesbetweentheevolutionsoftheaveragewheatproductionsinromaniasouthwestolteniaanddoljarmamodels
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