Using spatial and temporal modeling to visualize the effects of U.S. state issued stay at home orders on COVID-19
Abstract Coronavirus disease 2019 dominated and augmented many aspects of life beginning in early 2020. Related research and data generation developed alongside its spread. We developed a Bayesian spatio-temporal Poisson disease mapping model for estimating real-time characteristics of the coronavir...
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Nature Portfolio
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:845ae2b8e32c447e850ef6fca873ad412021-12-02T16:14:56ZUsing spatial and temporal modeling to visualize the effects of U.S. state issued stay at home orders on COVID-1910.1038/s41598-021-93433-z2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/845ae2b8e32c447e850ef6fca873ad412021-07-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-93433-zhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Coronavirus disease 2019 dominated and augmented many aspects of life beginning in early 2020. Related research and data generation developed alongside its spread. We developed a Bayesian spatio-temporal Poisson disease mapping model for estimating real-time characteristics of the coronavirus disease in the United States. We also created several dashboards for visualization of the statistical model for fellow researchers and simpler spatial and temporal representations of the disease for consumption by analysts and data scientists in the policymaking community in our region. Findings suggest that the risk of confirmed cases is higher for health regions under partial stay at home orders and lower in health regions under full stay at home orders, when compared to before stay at home orders were declared. These results confirm the benefit of state-issued stay at home orders as well as suggest compliance to the directives towards the older population for adhering to social distancing guidelines.Rachel CarrollChristopher R. PrenticeNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-7 (2021) |
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Medicine R Science Q Rachel Carroll Christopher R. Prentice Using spatial and temporal modeling to visualize the effects of U.S. state issued stay at home orders on COVID-19 |
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Abstract Coronavirus disease 2019 dominated and augmented many aspects of life beginning in early 2020. Related research and data generation developed alongside its spread. We developed a Bayesian spatio-temporal Poisson disease mapping model for estimating real-time characteristics of the coronavirus disease in the United States. We also created several dashboards for visualization of the statistical model for fellow researchers and simpler spatial and temporal representations of the disease for consumption by analysts and data scientists in the policymaking community in our region. Findings suggest that the risk of confirmed cases is higher for health regions under partial stay at home orders and lower in health regions under full stay at home orders, when compared to before stay at home orders were declared. These results confirm the benefit of state-issued stay at home orders as well as suggest compliance to the directives towards the older population for adhering to social distancing guidelines. |
format |
article |
author |
Rachel Carroll Christopher R. Prentice |
author_facet |
Rachel Carroll Christopher R. Prentice |
author_sort |
Rachel Carroll |
title |
Using spatial and temporal modeling to visualize the effects of U.S. state issued stay at home orders on COVID-19 |
title_short |
Using spatial and temporal modeling to visualize the effects of U.S. state issued stay at home orders on COVID-19 |
title_full |
Using spatial and temporal modeling to visualize the effects of U.S. state issued stay at home orders on COVID-19 |
title_fullStr |
Using spatial and temporal modeling to visualize the effects of U.S. state issued stay at home orders on COVID-19 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Using spatial and temporal modeling to visualize the effects of U.S. state issued stay at home orders on COVID-19 |
title_sort |
using spatial and temporal modeling to visualize the effects of u.s. state issued stay at home orders on covid-19 |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/845ae2b8e32c447e850ef6fca873ad41 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT rachelcarroll usingspatialandtemporalmodelingtovisualizetheeffectsofusstateissuedstayathomeordersoncovid19 AT christopherrprentice usingspatialandtemporalmodelingtovisualizetheeffectsofusstateissuedstayathomeordersoncovid19 |
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