Short-term prediction of wind power density using convolutional LSTM network

Efficient extraction of renewable energy from wind depends on the reliable estimation of wind characteristics and optimization of wind farm installation and operation conditions. There exists uncertainty in the prediction of wind energy tapping potential based on the variability in wind behavior. Th...

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Autores principales: Gupta Deepak, Kumar Vikas, Ayus Ishan, Vasudevan M., Natarajan N.
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: University of Belgrade - Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Belgrade 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/84fcd3961924415e96e1f4239c7721c1
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:84fcd3961924415e96e1f4239c7721c12021-12-05T21:01:45ZShort-term prediction of wind power density using convolutional LSTM network1451-20922406-128X10.5937/fme2103653Ghttps://doaj.org/article/84fcd3961924415e96e1f4239c7721c12021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/1451-2092/2021/1451-20922103653G.pdfhttps://doaj.org/toc/1451-2092https://doaj.org/toc/2406-128XEfficient extraction of renewable energy from wind depends on the reliable estimation of wind characteristics and optimization of wind farm installation and operation conditions. There exists uncertainty in the prediction of wind energy tapping potential based on the variability in wind behavior. Thus the estimation of wind power density based on empirical models demand subsequent data processing to ensure accuracy and reliability in energy computations. Present study analyses the reliability of the ANN-based machine learning approach in predicting wind power density for five stations (Chennai, Coimbatore, Madurai, Salem, and Tirunelveli) in the state of Tamil Nadu, India using five different non-linear models. The selected models such as Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Dense Neural Network (DNN), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) Network, and linear regression are employed for comparing the data for a period from Jan 1980 to May 2018. Based on the results, it was found that the performance of (1->Conv1D|2->LSTM|1-dense) is better than the other models in estimating wind power density with minimum error values (based on mean absolute error and root mean squared error).Gupta DeepakKumar VikasAyus IshanVasudevan M.Natarajan N.University of Belgrade - Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Belgradearticlewind powerbidirectional lstmcnn lstmlinear regressionEngineering (General). Civil engineering (General)TA1-2040Mechanics of engineering. Applied mechanicsTA349-359ENFME Transactions, Vol 49, Iss 3, Pp 653-663 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic wind power
bidirectional lstm
cnn lstm
linear regression
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
Mechanics of engineering. Applied mechanics
TA349-359
spellingShingle wind power
bidirectional lstm
cnn lstm
linear regression
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
Mechanics of engineering. Applied mechanics
TA349-359
Gupta Deepak
Kumar Vikas
Ayus Ishan
Vasudevan M.
Natarajan N.
Short-term prediction of wind power density using convolutional LSTM network
description Efficient extraction of renewable energy from wind depends on the reliable estimation of wind characteristics and optimization of wind farm installation and operation conditions. There exists uncertainty in the prediction of wind energy tapping potential based on the variability in wind behavior. Thus the estimation of wind power density based on empirical models demand subsequent data processing to ensure accuracy and reliability in energy computations. Present study analyses the reliability of the ANN-based machine learning approach in predicting wind power density for five stations (Chennai, Coimbatore, Madurai, Salem, and Tirunelveli) in the state of Tamil Nadu, India using five different non-linear models. The selected models such as Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Dense Neural Network (DNN), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) Network, and linear regression are employed for comparing the data for a period from Jan 1980 to May 2018. Based on the results, it was found that the performance of (1->Conv1D|2->LSTM|1-dense) is better than the other models in estimating wind power density with minimum error values (based on mean absolute error and root mean squared error).
format article
author Gupta Deepak
Kumar Vikas
Ayus Ishan
Vasudevan M.
Natarajan N.
author_facet Gupta Deepak
Kumar Vikas
Ayus Ishan
Vasudevan M.
Natarajan N.
author_sort Gupta Deepak
title Short-term prediction of wind power density using convolutional LSTM network
title_short Short-term prediction of wind power density using convolutional LSTM network
title_full Short-term prediction of wind power density using convolutional LSTM network
title_fullStr Short-term prediction of wind power density using convolutional LSTM network
title_full_unstemmed Short-term prediction of wind power density using convolutional LSTM network
title_sort short-term prediction of wind power density using convolutional lstm network
publisher University of Belgrade - Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Belgrade
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/84fcd3961924415e96e1f4239c7721c1
work_keys_str_mv AT guptadeepak shorttermpredictionofwindpowerdensityusingconvolutionallstmnetwork
AT kumarvikas shorttermpredictionofwindpowerdensityusingconvolutionallstmnetwork
AT ayusishan shorttermpredictionofwindpowerdensityusingconvolutionallstmnetwork
AT vasudevanm shorttermpredictionofwindpowerdensityusingconvolutionallstmnetwork
AT natarajann shorttermpredictionofwindpowerdensityusingconvolutionallstmnetwork
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