Evaluating and prioritizing the risks of BOT projects using structural equations and integrated model of fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS

The private sector has an important role on the development of cities, and governments are encouraging this sector to implement civilian projects. The BOT approach is one of the ways that increases private sector participation in government infrastructure development. Today, paying attention to the...

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Autores principales: Seyed Morteza Hatefi, Hassan Mohseni
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Publicado: Iranian Society of Structrual Engineering (ISSE) 2019
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:85d30da0257241dc82d8a0f33a0a71362021-11-08T15:51:46ZEvaluating and prioritizing the risks of BOT projects using structural equations and integrated model of fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS2476-39772538-261610.22065/jsce.2018.112728.1419https://doaj.org/article/85d30da0257241dc82d8a0f33a0a71362019-12-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.jsce.ir/article_63029_ef8c53eae092e283d9c239036729f444.pdfhttps://doaj.org/toc/2476-3977https://doaj.org/toc/2538-2616The private sector has an important role on the development of cities, and governments are encouraging this sector to implement civilian projects. The BOT approach is one of the ways that increases private sector participation in government infrastructure development. Today, paying attention to the financing of urban projects and new financing approaches, including the BOT approach, is necessity in most of the major cities, especially in Tehran. But it is necessary to use the BOT method to address and understand all the dimensions and issues behind the implementation of this method. In many cases, failure to complete the projects in due time is due to the lack of proper management of the project, which results from a lack of understanding of the risks involved in these projects. Therefore, assessment and prioritization of risks in BOT projects, especially when the number of risk factors increases, is considered as an important part of the complex risk management process. In this paper, the method of structural equations and integrated model of fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS are used to evaluate and prioritize the risks in Tehran Municipality's development projects that are implemented in the form of BOT contract method. Structural equations are used to measure the validity of identified risks. The fuzzy AHP method is used to determine the weight of the risk assessment criteria and the fuzzy TOPSIS method is utilized to evaluate and prioritize the risks of BOT projects. The results indicate that the risk of commodity price fluctuations, the risk of rising inflation, the risk of exchange rate fluctuations, and the risk of non-application of techniques and project management knowledge are the most important risks in BOT projects.Seyed Morteza HatefiHassan MohseniIranian Society of Structrual Engineering (ISSE)articlerisk managementrisk assessmentbot contractsfuzzy ahpfuzzy topsisBridge engineeringTG1-470Building constructionTH1-9745FAJournal of Structural and Construction Engineering, Vol 6, Iss 4, Pp 111-130 (2019)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language FA
topic risk management
risk assessment
bot contracts
fuzzy ahp
fuzzy topsis
Bridge engineering
TG1-470
Building construction
TH1-9745
spellingShingle risk management
risk assessment
bot contracts
fuzzy ahp
fuzzy topsis
Bridge engineering
TG1-470
Building construction
TH1-9745
Seyed Morteza Hatefi
Hassan Mohseni
Evaluating and prioritizing the risks of BOT projects using structural equations and integrated model of fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS
description The private sector has an important role on the development of cities, and governments are encouraging this sector to implement civilian projects. The BOT approach is one of the ways that increases private sector participation in government infrastructure development. Today, paying attention to the financing of urban projects and new financing approaches, including the BOT approach, is necessity in most of the major cities, especially in Tehran. But it is necessary to use the BOT method to address and understand all the dimensions and issues behind the implementation of this method. In many cases, failure to complete the projects in due time is due to the lack of proper management of the project, which results from a lack of understanding of the risks involved in these projects. Therefore, assessment and prioritization of risks in BOT projects, especially when the number of risk factors increases, is considered as an important part of the complex risk management process. In this paper, the method of structural equations and integrated model of fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS are used to evaluate and prioritize the risks in Tehran Municipality's development projects that are implemented in the form of BOT contract method. Structural equations are used to measure the validity of identified risks. The fuzzy AHP method is used to determine the weight of the risk assessment criteria and the fuzzy TOPSIS method is utilized to evaluate and prioritize the risks of BOT projects. The results indicate that the risk of commodity price fluctuations, the risk of rising inflation, the risk of exchange rate fluctuations, and the risk of non-application of techniques and project management knowledge are the most important risks in BOT projects.
format article
author Seyed Morteza Hatefi
Hassan Mohseni
author_facet Seyed Morteza Hatefi
Hassan Mohseni
author_sort Seyed Morteza Hatefi
title Evaluating and prioritizing the risks of BOT projects using structural equations and integrated model of fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS
title_short Evaluating and prioritizing the risks of BOT projects using structural equations and integrated model of fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS
title_full Evaluating and prioritizing the risks of BOT projects using structural equations and integrated model of fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS
title_fullStr Evaluating and prioritizing the risks of BOT projects using structural equations and integrated model of fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS
title_full_unstemmed Evaluating and prioritizing the risks of BOT projects using structural equations and integrated model of fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS
title_sort evaluating and prioritizing the risks of bot projects using structural equations and integrated model of fuzzy ahp and fuzzy topsis
publisher Iranian Society of Structrual Engineering (ISSE)
publishDate 2019
url https://doaj.org/article/85d30da0257241dc82d8a0f33a0a7136
work_keys_str_mv AT seyedmortezahatefi evaluatingandprioritizingtherisksofbotprojectsusingstructuralequationsandintegratedmodeloffuzzyahpandfuzzytopsis
AT hassanmohseni evaluatingandprioritizingtherisksofbotprojectsusingstructuralequationsandintegratedmodeloffuzzyahpandfuzzytopsis
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