Mastering the Body and Tail Shape of a Distribution

The normal distribution and its perturbation have left an immense mark on the statistical literature. Several generalized forms exist to model different skewness, kurtosis, and body shapes. Although they provide better fitting capabilities, these generalizations do not have parameters and formulae w...

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Autores principales: Matthias Wagener, Andriette Bekker, Mohammad Arashi
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/865efc2b129541849239253dccb326c9
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:865efc2b129541849239253dccb326c92021-11-11T18:13:40ZMastering the Body and Tail Shape of a Distribution10.3390/math92126482227-7390https://doaj.org/article/865efc2b129541849239253dccb326c92021-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/21/2648https://doaj.org/toc/2227-7390The normal distribution and its perturbation have left an immense mark on the statistical literature. Several generalized forms exist to model different skewness, kurtosis, and body shapes. Although they provide better fitting capabilities, these generalizations do not have parameters and formulae with a clear meaning to the practitioner on how the distribution is being modeled. We propose a neat integration approach generalization which intuitively gives direct control of the body and tail shape, the body-tail generalized normal (BTGN). The BTGN provides the basis for a flexible distribution, emphasizing parameter interpretation, estimation properties, and tractability. Basic statistical measures are derived, such as the density function, cumulative density function, moments, moment generating function. Regarding estimation, the equations for maximum likelihood estimation and maximum product spacing estimation are provided. Finally, real-life situations data, such as log-returns, time series, and finite mixture modeling, are modeled using the BTGN. Our results show that it is possible to have more desirable traits in a flexible distribution while still providing a superior fit to industry-standard distributions, such as the generalized hyperbolic, generalized normal, tail-inflated normal, and t distributions.Matthias WagenerAndriette BekkerMohammad ArashiMDPI AGarticlebody-tailfinite mixtureautoregressivenormalgeneralizedkurtosisMathematicsQA1-939ENMathematics, Vol 9, Iss 2648, p 2648 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic body-tail
finite mixture
autoregressive
normal
generalized
kurtosis
Mathematics
QA1-939
spellingShingle body-tail
finite mixture
autoregressive
normal
generalized
kurtosis
Mathematics
QA1-939
Matthias Wagener
Andriette Bekker
Mohammad Arashi
Mastering the Body and Tail Shape of a Distribution
description The normal distribution and its perturbation have left an immense mark on the statistical literature. Several generalized forms exist to model different skewness, kurtosis, and body shapes. Although they provide better fitting capabilities, these generalizations do not have parameters and formulae with a clear meaning to the practitioner on how the distribution is being modeled. We propose a neat integration approach generalization which intuitively gives direct control of the body and tail shape, the body-tail generalized normal (BTGN). The BTGN provides the basis for a flexible distribution, emphasizing parameter interpretation, estimation properties, and tractability. Basic statistical measures are derived, such as the density function, cumulative density function, moments, moment generating function. Regarding estimation, the equations for maximum likelihood estimation and maximum product spacing estimation are provided. Finally, real-life situations data, such as log-returns, time series, and finite mixture modeling, are modeled using the BTGN. Our results show that it is possible to have more desirable traits in a flexible distribution while still providing a superior fit to industry-standard distributions, such as the generalized hyperbolic, generalized normal, tail-inflated normal, and t distributions.
format article
author Matthias Wagener
Andriette Bekker
Mohammad Arashi
author_facet Matthias Wagener
Andriette Bekker
Mohammad Arashi
author_sort Matthias Wagener
title Mastering the Body and Tail Shape of a Distribution
title_short Mastering the Body and Tail Shape of a Distribution
title_full Mastering the Body and Tail Shape of a Distribution
title_fullStr Mastering the Body and Tail Shape of a Distribution
title_full_unstemmed Mastering the Body and Tail Shape of a Distribution
title_sort mastering the body and tail shape of a distribution
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/865efc2b129541849239253dccb326c9
work_keys_str_mv AT matthiaswagener masteringthebodyandtailshapeofadistribution
AT andriettebekker masteringthebodyandtailshapeofadistribution
AT mohammadarashi masteringthebodyandtailshapeofadistribution
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