Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to study the impact of climate change and other factors on rice production in South Korea

This study aims to explore the impact of climate change, technology, and agricultural policy on rice production in South Korea. In the presence of a long-run relationship among variables, the results show that an increase in CO2 emissions increases rice production by 0.15%. The mean temperature rais...

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Autores principales:	Muhammad Nasrullah, Muhammad Rizwanullah, Xiuyuan Yu, Hyeonsoo Jo, Muhammad Tayyab Sohail, Lizhi Liang
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	IWA Publishing 2021
Materias:	adf ardl climatic factors cointegration pp technical factors Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/866945bd9356433db0f1a8d718bf1168
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:866945bd9356433db0f1a8d718bf11682021-11-05T19:07:15ZAutoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to study the impact of climate change and other factors on rice production in South Korea2040-22442408-935410.2166/wcc.2021.030https://doaj.org/article/866945bd9356433db0f1a8d718bf11682021-09-01T00:00:00Zhttp://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/12/6/2256https://doaj.org/toc/2040-2244https://doaj.org/toc/2408-9354This study aims to explore the impact of climate change, technology, and agricultural policy on rice production in South Korea. In the presence of a long-run relationship among variables, the results show that an increase in CO2 emissions increases rice production by 0.15%. The mean temperature raises rice production by 1.16%. The rainfall has an adverse impact on rice production which shows improper irrigation systems and weather forecasting reports. Similarly, for technical factors, the area under rice and fertilizer used in the study has a direct effect on rice production. The study suggests that the Korean government needs to implement new policies and acquire advanced technology for weather forecasting. The concerned authorities need to inform rice growers about future weather and climate changes. We recommend that Korea needs to provide virgin arable undivided land to deserving rice growers based on ownership and/or lease for future food security. Finally, the study recommends that legislators should recommend policies for sustainable food security with the introduction of new agricultural technologies and subsidies, along with the provision of new varieties of seeds that can absorb the adverse shock of climate change and ensure a suitable amount of food. HIGHLIGHTS Carbon dioxide emission improves the process of photosynthesis due to which rice production increases in Korea.; Rice production increases 1.16% with an increase in mean temperature in the long-run.; Adverse shock of rainfall on rice production shows the improper irrigation system and weather forecasting reports.; Cultivated area under rice has a noteworthy direct effect on rice production both in the short- and long-run.;Muhammad NasrullahMuhammad RizwanullahXiuyuan YuHyeonsoo JoMuhammad Tayyab SohailLizhi LiangIWA Publishingarticleadfardlclimatic factorscointegrationpptechnical factorsEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENJournal of Water and Climate Change, Vol 12, Iss 6, Pp 2256-2270 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	adf ardl climatic factors cointegration pp technical factors Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350
spellingShingle	adf ardl climatic factors cointegration pp technical factors Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Muhammad Nasrullah Muhammad Rizwanullah Xiuyuan Yu Hyeonsoo Jo Muhammad Tayyab Sohail Lizhi Liang Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to study the impact of climate change and other factors on rice production in South Korea
description	This study aims to explore the impact of climate change, technology, and agricultural policy on rice production in South Korea. In the presence of a long-run relationship among variables, the results show that an increase in CO2 emissions increases rice production by 0.15%. The mean temperature raises rice production by 1.16%. The rainfall has an adverse impact on rice production which shows improper irrigation systems and weather forecasting reports. Similarly, for technical factors, the area under rice and fertilizer used in the study has a direct effect on rice production. The study suggests that the Korean government needs to implement new policies and acquire advanced technology for weather forecasting. The concerned authorities need to inform rice growers about future weather and climate changes. We recommend that Korea needs to provide virgin arable undivided land to deserving rice growers based on ownership and/or lease for future food security. Finally, the study recommends that legislators should recommend policies for sustainable food security with the introduction of new agricultural technologies and subsidies, along with the provision of new varieties of seeds that can absorb the adverse shock of climate change and ensure a suitable amount of food. HIGHLIGHTS Carbon dioxide emission improves the process of photosynthesis due to which rice production increases in Korea.; Rice production increases 1.16% with an increase in mean temperature in the long-run.; Adverse shock of rainfall on rice production shows the improper irrigation system and weather forecasting reports.; Cultivated area under rice has a noteworthy direct effect on rice production both in the short- and long-run.;
format	article
author	Muhammad Nasrullah Muhammad Rizwanullah Xiuyuan Yu Hyeonsoo Jo Muhammad Tayyab Sohail Lizhi Liang
author_facet	Muhammad Nasrullah Muhammad Rizwanullah Xiuyuan Yu Hyeonsoo Jo Muhammad Tayyab Sohail Lizhi Liang
author_sort	Muhammad Nasrullah
title	Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to study the impact of climate change and other factors on rice production in South Korea
title_short	Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to study the impact of climate change and other factors on rice production in South Korea
title_full	Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to study the impact of climate change and other factors on rice production in South Korea
title_fullStr	Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to study the impact of climate change and other factors on rice production in South Korea
title_full_unstemmed	Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to study the impact of climate change and other factors on rice production in South Korea
title_sort	autoregressive distributed lag (ardl) approach to study the impact of climate change and other factors on rice production in south korea
publisher	IWA Publishing
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/866945bd9356433db0f1a8d718bf1168
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Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to study the impact of climate change and other factors on rice production in South Korea

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