Variable immunodeficiency score upfront analytical link (VISUAL), a proposal for combined prognostic score at diagnosis of common variable immunodeficiency

Abstract The broad and heterogeneous clinical spectrum that characterizes common variable immunodeficiency (CVID) is associated with quite different disease course and prognosis, highlighting the need to develop tools that predict complications. We developed a multianalyte VISUAL score (variable imm...

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Autores principales: Kissy Guevara-Hoyer, Adolfo Jiménez-Huete, Julia Vasconcelos, Esmeralda Neves, Silvia Sánchez-Ramón
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:8684fb03aa9f4ca09a71bf510fd959492021-12-02T15:02:51ZVariable immunodeficiency score upfront analytical link (VISUAL), a proposal for combined prognostic score at diagnosis of common variable immunodeficiency10.1038/s41598-021-91791-22045-2322https://doaj.org/article/8684fb03aa9f4ca09a71bf510fd959492021-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-91791-2https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract The broad and heterogeneous clinical spectrum that characterizes common variable immunodeficiency (CVID) is associated with quite different disease course and prognosis, highlighting the need to develop tools that predict complications. We developed a multianalyte VISUAL score (variable immunodeficiency score upfront analytical link) aimed to predict severity using individual CVID patient data at baseline of a cohort of 50 CVID patients from two different centers in Portugal and Spain. We retrospectively applied VISUAL to the CVID clinical severity scores proposed by Ameratunga and Grimbacher after 15 years follow-up of our cohort. VISUAL score at CVID diagnosis showed adequate performance for predicting infectious and non-infectious severe complications (Cluster B). Compared to switched memory B lymphocyte phenotype alone, VISUAL provided a more accurate identification of clinically meaningful outcome, with significantly higher sensitivity (85% vs 55%, p = 0.01), and negative predictive value (77% vs 58%) and AUC of the ROC curves (0.72 vs 0.64), with optimal cut-off level of 10. For every increase of 1 point in the VISUAL scale, the odds of being in the higher risk category (Cluster B) increased in 1.3 (p = 0.005) for Ameratunga’s severity score and 1.26 (p = 0.004) for Grimbacher’s severity score. At diagnosis of CVID, VISUAL score ≥ 10 showed 8.94-fold higher odds of severe prognosis than below this threshold. Kaplan–Meier estimates for the VISUAL ≥ 10 points showed significantly earlier progression to Cluster B than those with VISUAL < 10 (p = 0.0002). This prognostic laboratory score might allow close monitoring and more aggressive treatment in patients with scores ≥ 10 on a personalized basis approach. Further studies are needed to prospectively validate VISUAL score.Kissy Guevara-HoyerAdolfo Jiménez-HueteJulia VasconcelosEsmeralda NevesSilvia Sánchez-RamónNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Kissy Guevara-Hoyer
Adolfo Jiménez-Huete
Julia Vasconcelos
Esmeralda Neves
Silvia Sánchez-Ramón
Variable immunodeficiency score upfront analytical link (VISUAL), a proposal for combined prognostic score at diagnosis of common variable immunodeficiency
description Abstract The broad and heterogeneous clinical spectrum that characterizes common variable immunodeficiency (CVID) is associated with quite different disease course and prognosis, highlighting the need to develop tools that predict complications. We developed a multianalyte VISUAL score (variable immunodeficiency score upfront analytical link) aimed to predict severity using individual CVID patient data at baseline of a cohort of 50 CVID patients from two different centers in Portugal and Spain. We retrospectively applied VISUAL to the CVID clinical severity scores proposed by Ameratunga and Grimbacher after 15 years follow-up of our cohort. VISUAL score at CVID diagnosis showed adequate performance for predicting infectious and non-infectious severe complications (Cluster B). Compared to switched memory B lymphocyte phenotype alone, VISUAL provided a more accurate identification of clinically meaningful outcome, with significantly higher sensitivity (85% vs 55%, p = 0.01), and negative predictive value (77% vs 58%) and AUC of the ROC curves (0.72 vs 0.64), with optimal cut-off level of 10. For every increase of 1 point in the VISUAL scale, the odds of being in the higher risk category (Cluster B) increased in 1.3 (p = 0.005) for Ameratunga’s severity score and 1.26 (p = 0.004) for Grimbacher’s severity score. At diagnosis of CVID, VISUAL score ≥ 10 showed 8.94-fold higher odds of severe prognosis than below this threshold. Kaplan–Meier estimates for the VISUAL ≥ 10 points showed significantly earlier progression to Cluster B than those with VISUAL < 10 (p = 0.0002). This prognostic laboratory score might allow close monitoring and more aggressive treatment in patients with scores ≥ 10 on a personalized basis approach. Further studies are needed to prospectively validate VISUAL score.
format article
author Kissy Guevara-Hoyer
Adolfo Jiménez-Huete
Julia Vasconcelos
Esmeralda Neves
Silvia Sánchez-Ramón
author_facet Kissy Guevara-Hoyer
Adolfo Jiménez-Huete
Julia Vasconcelos
Esmeralda Neves
Silvia Sánchez-Ramón
author_sort Kissy Guevara-Hoyer
title Variable immunodeficiency score upfront analytical link (VISUAL), a proposal for combined prognostic score at diagnosis of common variable immunodeficiency
title_short Variable immunodeficiency score upfront analytical link (VISUAL), a proposal for combined prognostic score at diagnosis of common variable immunodeficiency
title_full Variable immunodeficiency score upfront analytical link (VISUAL), a proposal for combined prognostic score at diagnosis of common variable immunodeficiency
title_fullStr Variable immunodeficiency score upfront analytical link (VISUAL), a proposal for combined prognostic score at diagnosis of common variable immunodeficiency
title_full_unstemmed Variable immunodeficiency score upfront analytical link (VISUAL), a proposal for combined prognostic score at diagnosis of common variable immunodeficiency
title_sort variable immunodeficiency score upfront analytical link (visual), a proposal for combined prognostic score at diagnosis of common variable immunodeficiency
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/8684fb03aa9f4ca09a71bf510fd95949
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