Microclimatic temperatures increase the potential for vector-borne disease transmission in the Scandinavian climate

Abstract We quantified the difference between the meteorological temperature recorded by the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) weather stations and the actual microclimatic temperatures at two or three different heights at six potential insect habitats. We then compared the impact of the hourly...

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Autores principales:	Najmul Haider, Carsten Kirkeby, Birgit Kristensen, Lene Jung Kjær, Jens Havskov Sørensen, Rene Bødker
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2017
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/87343f311bf6406988aa69b2dd2295b4
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:87343f311bf6406988aa69b2dd2295b42021-12-02T12:31:54ZMicroclimatic temperatures increase the potential for vector-borne disease transmission in the Scandinavian climate10.1038/s41598-017-08514-92045-2322https://doaj.org/article/87343f311bf6406988aa69b2dd2295b42017-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-08514-9https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract We quantified the difference between the meteorological temperature recorded by the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) weather stations and the actual microclimatic temperatures at two or three different heights at six potential insect habitats. We then compared the impact of the hourly temperature on the extrinsic incubation period (EIP) of six pathogens. Finally, we developed a regression model, enabling us to predict the microclimatic temperatures of different habitats based on five standard meteorological parameters readily available from any meteorological institution. Microclimatic habitats were on average 3.5–5 °C warmer than the DMI recorded temperatures during midday and 1–3 °C cooler at midnight. The estimated EIP for five of the six microclimatic habitats was shorter than the estimates based on DMI temperatures for all pathogens studied. The microclimatic temperatures also predicted a longer season for virus development compared to DMI temperatures. Based on DMI data of hourly temperature, solar radiation, wind speed, rain and humidity, we were able to predict the microclimatic temperature of different habitats with an R2 of 0.87–0.96. Using only meteorological temperatures for vector-borne disease transmission models may substantially underestimate both the daily potential for virus development and the duration of the potential transmission season.Najmul HaiderCarsten KirkebyBirgit KristensenLene Jung KjærJens Havskov SørensenRene BødkerNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2017)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Najmul Haider Carsten Kirkeby Birgit Kristensen Lene Jung Kjær Jens Havskov Sørensen Rene Bødker Microclimatic temperatures increase the potential for vector-borne disease transmission in the Scandinavian climate
description	Abstract We quantified the difference between the meteorological temperature recorded by the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) weather stations and the actual microclimatic temperatures at two or three different heights at six potential insect habitats. We then compared the impact of the hourly temperature on the extrinsic incubation period (EIP) of six pathogens. Finally, we developed a regression model, enabling us to predict the microclimatic temperatures of different habitats based on five standard meteorological parameters readily available from any meteorological institution. Microclimatic habitats were on average 3.5–5 °C warmer than the DMI recorded temperatures during midday and 1–3 °C cooler at midnight. The estimated EIP for five of the six microclimatic habitats was shorter than the estimates based on DMI temperatures for all pathogens studied. The microclimatic temperatures also predicted a longer season for virus development compared to DMI temperatures. Based on DMI data of hourly temperature, solar radiation, wind speed, rain and humidity, we were able to predict the microclimatic temperature of different habitats with an R2 of 0.87–0.96. Using only meteorological temperatures for vector-borne disease transmission models may substantially underestimate both the daily potential for virus development and the duration of the potential transmission season.
format	article
author	Najmul Haider Carsten Kirkeby Birgit Kristensen Lene Jung Kjær Jens Havskov Sørensen Rene Bødker
author_facet	Najmul Haider Carsten Kirkeby Birgit Kristensen Lene Jung Kjær Jens Havskov Sørensen Rene Bødker
author_sort	Najmul Haider
title	Microclimatic temperatures increase the potential for vector-borne disease transmission in the Scandinavian climate
title_short	Microclimatic temperatures increase the potential for vector-borne disease transmission in the Scandinavian climate
title_full	Microclimatic temperatures increase the potential for vector-borne disease transmission in the Scandinavian climate
title_fullStr	Microclimatic temperatures increase the potential for vector-borne disease transmission in the Scandinavian climate
title_full_unstemmed	Microclimatic temperatures increase the potential for vector-borne disease transmission in the Scandinavian climate
title_sort	microclimatic temperatures increase the potential for vector-borne disease transmission in the scandinavian climate
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2017
url	https://doaj.org/article/87343f311bf6406988aa69b2dd2295b4
work_keys_str_mv	AT najmulhaider microclimatictemperaturesincreasethepotentialforvectorbornediseasetransmissioninthescandinavianclimate AT carstenkirkeby microclimatictemperaturesincreasethepotentialforvectorbornediseasetransmissioninthescandinavianclimate AT birgitkristensen microclimatictemperaturesincreasethepotentialforvectorbornediseasetransmissioninthescandinavianclimate AT lenejungkjær microclimatictemperaturesincreasethepotentialforvectorbornediseasetransmissioninthescandinavianclimate AT jenshavskovsørensen microclimatictemperaturesincreasethepotentialforvectorbornediseasetransmissioninthescandinavianclimate AT renebødker microclimatictemperaturesincreasethepotentialforvectorbornediseasetransmissioninthescandinavianclimate
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Microclimatic temperatures increase the potential for vector-borne disease transmission in the Scandinavian climate

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