Predicting the Habitat Suitability of <i>Melaleuca cajuputi</i> Based on the MaxEnt Species Distribution Model

Gelam tree or <i>Melaleuca cajuputi (M. cajuputi</i>) is an important species for the local economy as well as coastal ecosystem protection in Terengganu, Malaysia. This study aimed at producing a current habitat suitability map and predicting future potential habitat distribution for &l...

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Autores principales: Nor Zafirah Ab Lah, Zulkifli Yusop, Mazlan Hashim, Jamilah Mohd Salim, Shinya Numata
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Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:874152c39a8847cca279863295974cb12021-11-25T17:37:24ZPredicting the Habitat Suitability of <i>Melaleuca cajuputi</i> Based on the MaxEnt Species Distribution Model10.3390/f121114491999-4907https://doaj.org/article/874152c39a8847cca279863295974cb12021-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/12/11/1449https://doaj.org/toc/1999-4907Gelam tree or <i>Melaleuca cajuputi (M. cajuputi</i>) is an important species for the local economy as well as coastal ecosystem protection in Terengganu, Malaysia. This study aimed at producing a current habitat suitability map and predicting future potential habitat distribution for <i>M. cajuputi</i> in Terengganu based on Species distribution modeling (SDM) using the Maximum Entropy principle. Our modeling results show that for the current potential distribution of <i>M. cajuputi</i> species, only 10.82% (1346.5 km<sup>2</sup>) of Terengganu area is suitable habitat, which 0.96% of the areas are under high, 2.44% moderate and 7.42% poor habitat suitability. The model prediction for future projection shows that the habitat suitability for <i>M. cajuputi</i> would decrease significantly in the year 2050 under RCP 4.5 where the largest contraction from suitable to unsuitable habitat area is about 442.1 km<sup>2</sup> and under RCP 2.6 is the highest expansion from unsuitable to suitable habitat area (267.5 km<sup>2</sup>). From the future habitat suitability projection, we found that the habitat suitability in Marang would degrade significantly under all climate scenarios, while in Setiu the habitat suitability for <i>M. cajuputi</i> remains stable throughout the climate change scenarios. The modeling prediction shows a significant influence on the soil properties, temperature, and precipitation during monsoon months. These results could benefit conservationist and policymakers for decision making. The present model could also give a perception into potential habitat suitability of <i>M. cajuputi</i> in the future and to improve our understanding of the species’ response under the changing climate.Nor Zafirah Ab LahZulkifli YusopMazlan HashimJamilah Mohd SalimShinya NumataMDPI AGarticle<i>Melaleuca cajuputi</i>Maxentspecies distributionhabitat suitabilityclimate changesoil propertiesPlant ecologyQK900-989ENForests, Vol 12, Iss 1449, p 1449 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic <i>Melaleuca cajuputi</i>
Maxent
species distribution
habitat suitability
climate change
soil properties
Plant ecology
QK900-989
spellingShingle <i>Melaleuca cajuputi</i>
Maxent
species distribution
habitat suitability
climate change
soil properties
Plant ecology
QK900-989
Nor Zafirah Ab Lah
Zulkifli Yusop
Mazlan Hashim
Jamilah Mohd Salim
Shinya Numata
Predicting the Habitat Suitability of <i>Melaleuca cajuputi</i> Based on the MaxEnt Species Distribution Model
description Gelam tree or <i>Melaleuca cajuputi (M. cajuputi</i>) is an important species for the local economy as well as coastal ecosystem protection in Terengganu, Malaysia. This study aimed at producing a current habitat suitability map and predicting future potential habitat distribution for <i>M. cajuputi</i> in Terengganu based on Species distribution modeling (SDM) using the Maximum Entropy principle. Our modeling results show that for the current potential distribution of <i>M. cajuputi</i> species, only 10.82% (1346.5 km<sup>2</sup>) of Terengganu area is suitable habitat, which 0.96% of the areas are under high, 2.44% moderate and 7.42% poor habitat suitability. The model prediction for future projection shows that the habitat suitability for <i>M. cajuputi</i> would decrease significantly in the year 2050 under RCP 4.5 where the largest contraction from suitable to unsuitable habitat area is about 442.1 km<sup>2</sup> and under RCP 2.6 is the highest expansion from unsuitable to suitable habitat area (267.5 km<sup>2</sup>). From the future habitat suitability projection, we found that the habitat suitability in Marang would degrade significantly under all climate scenarios, while in Setiu the habitat suitability for <i>M. cajuputi</i> remains stable throughout the climate change scenarios. The modeling prediction shows a significant influence on the soil properties, temperature, and precipitation during monsoon months. These results could benefit conservationist and policymakers for decision making. The present model could also give a perception into potential habitat suitability of <i>M. cajuputi</i> in the future and to improve our understanding of the species’ response under the changing climate.
format article
author Nor Zafirah Ab Lah
Zulkifli Yusop
Mazlan Hashim
Jamilah Mohd Salim
Shinya Numata
author_facet Nor Zafirah Ab Lah
Zulkifli Yusop
Mazlan Hashim
Jamilah Mohd Salim
Shinya Numata
author_sort Nor Zafirah Ab Lah
title Predicting the Habitat Suitability of <i>Melaleuca cajuputi</i> Based on the MaxEnt Species Distribution Model
title_short Predicting the Habitat Suitability of <i>Melaleuca cajuputi</i> Based on the MaxEnt Species Distribution Model
title_full Predicting the Habitat Suitability of <i>Melaleuca cajuputi</i> Based on the MaxEnt Species Distribution Model
title_fullStr Predicting the Habitat Suitability of <i>Melaleuca cajuputi</i> Based on the MaxEnt Species Distribution Model
title_full_unstemmed Predicting the Habitat Suitability of <i>Melaleuca cajuputi</i> Based on the MaxEnt Species Distribution Model
title_sort predicting the habitat suitability of <i>melaleuca cajuputi</i> based on the maxent species distribution model
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/874152c39a8847cca279863295974cb1
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