Electric Bicyclist Injury Severity during Peak Traffic Periods: A Random-Parameters Approach with Heterogeneity in Means and Variances

Accidents involving electric bicycles, a popular means of transportation in China during peak traffic periods, have increased. However, studies have seldom attempted to detect the unique crash consequences during this period. This study aims to explore the factors influencing injury severity in elec...

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Autores principales: Tong Zhu, Zishuo Zhu, Jie Zhang, Chenxuan Yang
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/89455cce4840484ebcb7b1f416affaf2
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:89455cce4840484ebcb7b1f416affaf22021-11-11T16:17:27ZElectric Bicyclist Injury Severity during Peak Traffic Periods: A Random-Parameters Approach with Heterogeneity in Means and Variances10.3390/ijerph1821111311660-46011661-7827https://doaj.org/article/89455cce4840484ebcb7b1f416affaf22021-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/18/21/11131https://doaj.org/toc/1661-7827https://doaj.org/toc/1660-4601Accidents involving electric bicycles, a popular means of transportation in China during peak traffic periods, have increased. However, studies have seldom attempted to detect the unique crash consequences during this period. This study aims to explore the factors influencing injury severity in electric bicyclists during peak traffic periods and provide recommendations to help devise specific management strategies. The random-parameters logit or mixed logit model is used to identify the relationship between different factors and injury severity. The injury severity is divided into four categories. The analysis uses automobile and electric bicycle crash data of Xi’an, China, between 2014 and 2019. During the peak traffic periods, the impact of low visibility significantly varies with factors such as areas with traffic control or without streetlights. Furthermore, compared with traveling in a straight line, three different turnings before the crash reduce the likelihood of severe injuries. Roadside protection trees are the most crucial measure guaranteeing riders’ safety during peak traffic periods. This study reveals the direction, magnitude, and randomness of factors that contribute to electric bicycle crashes. The results can help safety authorities devise targeted transportation safety management and planning strategies for peak traffic periods.Tong ZhuZishuo ZhuJie ZhangChenxuan YangMDPI AGarticlemixed logit modelheterogeneity in means and variancesinjury severityelectric bicycle crashesvisibilityMedicineRENInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Vol 18, Iss 11131, p 11131 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic mixed logit model
heterogeneity in means and variances
injury severity
electric bicycle crashes
visibility
Medicine
R
spellingShingle mixed logit model
heterogeneity in means and variances
injury severity
electric bicycle crashes
visibility
Medicine
R
Tong Zhu
Zishuo Zhu
Jie Zhang
Chenxuan Yang
Electric Bicyclist Injury Severity during Peak Traffic Periods: A Random-Parameters Approach with Heterogeneity in Means and Variances
description Accidents involving electric bicycles, a popular means of transportation in China during peak traffic periods, have increased. However, studies have seldom attempted to detect the unique crash consequences during this period. This study aims to explore the factors influencing injury severity in electric bicyclists during peak traffic periods and provide recommendations to help devise specific management strategies. The random-parameters logit or mixed logit model is used to identify the relationship between different factors and injury severity. The injury severity is divided into four categories. The analysis uses automobile and electric bicycle crash data of Xi’an, China, between 2014 and 2019. During the peak traffic periods, the impact of low visibility significantly varies with factors such as areas with traffic control or without streetlights. Furthermore, compared with traveling in a straight line, three different turnings before the crash reduce the likelihood of severe injuries. Roadside protection trees are the most crucial measure guaranteeing riders’ safety during peak traffic periods. This study reveals the direction, magnitude, and randomness of factors that contribute to electric bicycle crashes. The results can help safety authorities devise targeted transportation safety management and planning strategies for peak traffic periods.
format article
author Tong Zhu
Zishuo Zhu
Jie Zhang
Chenxuan Yang
author_facet Tong Zhu
Zishuo Zhu
Jie Zhang
Chenxuan Yang
author_sort Tong Zhu
title Electric Bicyclist Injury Severity during Peak Traffic Periods: A Random-Parameters Approach with Heterogeneity in Means and Variances
title_short Electric Bicyclist Injury Severity during Peak Traffic Periods: A Random-Parameters Approach with Heterogeneity in Means and Variances
title_full Electric Bicyclist Injury Severity during Peak Traffic Periods: A Random-Parameters Approach with Heterogeneity in Means and Variances
title_fullStr Electric Bicyclist Injury Severity during Peak Traffic Periods: A Random-Parameters Approach with Heterogeneity in Means and Variances
title_full_unstemmed Electric Bicyclist Injury Severity during Peak Traffic Periods: A Random-Parameters Approach with Heterogeneity in Means and Variances
title_sort electric bicyclist injury severity during peak traffic periods: a random-parameters approach with heterogeneity in means and variances
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/89455cce4840484ebcb7b1f416affaf2
work_keys_str_mv AT tongzhu electricbicyclistinjuryseverityduringpeaktrafficperiodsarandomparametersapproachwithheterogeneityinmeansandvariances
AT zishuozhu electricbicyclistinjuryseverityduringpeaktrafficperiodsarandomparametersapproachwithheterogeneityinmeansandvariances
AT jiezhang electricbicyclistinjuryseverityduringpeaktrafficperiodsarandomparametersapproachwithheterogeneityinmeansandvariances
AT chenxuanyang electricbicyclistinjuryseverityduringpeaktrafficperiodsarandomparametersapproachwithheterogeneityinmeansandvariances
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