Power Plant Energy Predictions Based on Thermal Factors Using Ridge and Support Vector Regressor Algorithms

This work aims to model the combined cycle power plant (CCPP) using different algorithms. The algorithms used are Ridge, Linear regressor (LR), and upport vector regressor (SVR). The CCPP energy output data collected as a factor of thermal input variables, mainly exhaust vacuum, ambient temperature,...

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Autores principales: Asif Afzal, Saad Alshahrani, Abdulrahman Alrobaian, Abdulrajak Buradi, Sher Afghan Khan
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:8a495f4163774560aab862a28fd4c4942021-11-11T16:00:45ZPower Plant Energy Predictions Based on Thermal Factors Using Ridge and Support Vector Regressor Algorithms10.3390/en142172541996-1073https://doaj.org/article/8a495f4163774560aab862a28fd4c4942021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/21/7254https://doaj.org/toc/1996-1073This work aims to model the combined cycle power plant (CCPP) using different algorithms. The algorithms used are Ridge, Linear regressor (LR), and upport vector regressor (SVR). The CCPP energy output data collected as a factor of thermal input variables, mainly exhaust vacuum, ambient temperature, relative humidity, and ambient pressure. Initially, the Ridge algorithm-based modeling is performed in detail, and then SVR-based LR, named as SVR (LR), SVR-based radial basis function—SVR (RBF), and SVR-based polynomial regression—SVR (Poly.) algorithms, are applied. Mean absolute error (MAE), R-squared (R<sup>2</sup>), median absolute error (MeAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and mean Poisson deviance (MPD) are assessed after their training and testing of each algorithm. From the modeling of energy output data, it is seen that SVR (RBF) is the most suitable in providing very close predictions compared to other algorithms. SVR (RBF) training R<sup>2</sup> obtained is 0.98 while all others were 0.9–0.92. The testing predictions made by SVR (RBF), Ridge, and RidgeCV are nearly the same, i.e., R<sup>2</sup> is 0.92. It is concluded that these algorithms are suitable for predicting sensitive output energy data of a CCPP depending on thermal input variables.Asif AfzalSaad AlshahraniAbdulrahman AlrobaianAbdulrajak BuradiSher Afghan KhanMDPI AGarticleCCPPmodelingridgeSVRlinear regressionR-squaredTechnologyTENEnergies, Vol 14, Iss 7254, p 7254 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic CCPP
modeling
ridge
SVR
linear regression
R-squared
Technology
T
spellingShingle CCPP
modeling
ridge
SVR
linear regression
R-squared
Technology
T
Asif Afzal
Saad Alshahrani
Abdulrahman Alrobaian
Abdulrajak Buradi
Sher Afghan Khan
Power Plant Energy Predictions Based on Thermal Factors Using Ridge and Support Vector Regressor Algorithms
description This work aims to model the combined cycle power plant (CCPP) using different algorithms. The algorithms used are Ridge, Linear regressor (LR), and upport vector regressor (SVR). The CCPP energy output data collected as a factor of thermal input variables, mainly exhaust vacuum, ambient temperature, relative humidity, and ambient pressure. Initially, the Ridge algorithm-based modeling is performed in detail, and then SVR-based LR, named as SVR (LR), SVR-based radial basis function—SVR (RBF), and SVR-based polynomial regression—SVR (Poly.) algorithms, are applied. Mean absolute error (MAE), R-squared (R<sup>2</sup>), median absolute error (MeAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and mean Poisson deviance (MPD) are assessed after their training and testing of each algorithm. From the modeling of energy output data, it is seen that SVR (RBF) is the most suitable in providing very close predictions compared to other algorithms. SVR (RBF) training R<sup>2</sup> obtained is 0.98 while all others were 0.9–0.92. The testing predictions made by SVR (RBF), Ridge, and RidgeCV are nearly the same, i.e., R<sup>2</sup> is 0.92. It is concluded that these algorithms are suitable for predicting sensitive output energy data of a CCPP depending on thermal input variables.
format article
author Asif Afzal
Saad Alshahrani
Abdulrahman Alrobaian
Abdulrajak Buradi
Sher Afghan Khan
author_facet Asif Afzal
Saad Alshahrani
Abdulrahman Alrobaian
Abdulrajak Buradi
Sher Afghan Khan
author_sort Asif Afzal
title Power Plant Energy Predictions Based on Thermal Factors Using Ridge and Support Vector Regressor Algorithms
title_short Power Plant Energy Predictions Based on Thermal Factors Using Ridge and Support Vector Regressor Algorithms
title_full Power Plant Energy Predictions Based on Thermal Factors Using Ridge and Support Vector Regressor Algorithms
title_fullStr Power Plant Energy Predictions Based on Thermal Factors Using Ridge and Support Vector Regressor Algorithms
title_full_unstemmed Power Plant Energy Predictions Based on Thermal Factors Using Ridge and Support Vector Regressor Algorithms
title_sort power plant energy predictions based on thermal factors using ridge and support vector regressor algorithms
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/8a495f4163774560aab862a28fd4c494
work_keys_str_mv AT asifafzal powerplantenergypredictionsbasedonthermalfactorsusingridgeandsupportvectorregressoralgorithms
AT saadalshahrani powerplantenergypredictionsbasedonthermalfactorsusingridgeandsupportvectorregressoralgorithms
AT abdulrahmanalrobaian powerplantenergypredictionsbasedonthermalfactorsusingridgeandsupportvectorregressoralgorithms
AT abdulrajakburadi powerplantenergypredictionsbasedonthermalfactorsusingridgeandsupportvectorregressoralgorithms
AT sherafghankhan powerplantenergypredictionsbasedonthermalfactorsusingridgeandsupportvectorregressoralgorithms
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