The interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis
Abstract This paper investigates the relationship between China’s fuel ethanol promotion plan and food security based on the interactions between the crude oil market, the fuel ethanol market and the grain market. Based on the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil spot price and Chinese corn pr...
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KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
2019
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oai:doaj.org-article:8b3118eb7ddc4dd7ae95bf75326009de2021-12-02T10:08:15ZThe interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis10.1007/s12182-019-0339-11672-51071995-8226https://doaj.org/article/8b3118eb7ddc4dd7ae95bf75326009de2019-07-01T00:00:00Zhttp://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12182-019-0339-1https://doaj.org/toc/1672-5107https://doaj.org/toc/1995-8226Abstract This paper investigates the relationship between China’s fuel ethanol promotion plan and food security based on the interactions between the crude oil market, the fuel ethanol market and the grain market. Based on the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil spot price and Chinese corn prices from January 2008 to May 2018, this paper applies Granger causality testing and a generalized impulse response function to explore the relationship between world crude oil prices and Chinese corn prices. The results show that crude oil prices are not the Granger cause of China’s corn prices, but changes in world crude oil prices will have a long-term positive impact on Chinese corn prices. Therefore, the Chinese government should pay attention to changes in crude oil prices when promoting fuel ethanol. Considering the conduction effect between fuel ethanol and the food market, the government should also take some measures to ensure food security.Zhengwei MaWenjia HouKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.articleWTI crude oil spot priceChinese corn priceGranger causality testImpulse response analysisScienceQPetrologyQE420-499ENPetroleum Science, Vol 16, Iss 4, Pp 929-938 (2019) |
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WTI crude oil spot price Chinese corn price Granger causality test Impulse response analysis Science Q Petrology QE420-499 |
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WTI crude oil spot price Chinese corn price Granger causality test Impulse response analysis Science Q Petrology QE420-499 Zhengwei Ma Wenjia Hou The interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis |
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Abstract This paper investigates the relationship between China’s fuel ethanol promotion plan and food security based on the interactions between the crude oil market, the fuel ethanol market and the grain market. Based on the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil spot price and Chinese corn prices from January 2008 to May 2018, this paper applies Granger causality testing and a generalized impulse response function to explore the relationship between world crude oil prices and Chinese corn prices. The results show that crude oil prices are not the Granger cause of China’s corn prices, but changes in world crude oil prices will have a long-term positive impact on Chinese corn prices. Therefore, the Chinese government should pay attention to changes in crude oil prices when promoting fuel ethanol. Considering the conduction effect between fuel ethanol and the food market, the government should also take some measures to ensure food security. |
format |
article |
author |
Zhengwei Ma Wenjia Hou |
author_facet |
Zhengwei Ma Wenjia Hou |
author_sort |
Zhengwei Ma |
title |
The interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis |
title_short |
The interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis |
title_full |
The interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis |
title_fullStr |
The interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis |
title_full_unstemmed |
The interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis |
title_sort |
interactions between chinese local corn and wti crude oil prices: an empirical analysis |
publisher |
KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/8b3118eb7ddc4dd7ae95bf75326009de |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT zhengweima theinteractionsbetweenchineselocalcornandwticrudeoilpricesanempiricalanalysis AT wenjiahou theinteractionsbetweenchineselocalcornandwticrudeoilpricesanempiricalanalysis AT zhengweima interactionsbetweenchineselocalcornandwticrudeoilpricesanempiricalanalysis AT wenjiahou interactionsbetweenchineselocalcornandwticrudeoilpricesanempiricalanalysis |
_version_ |
1718397644502466560 |