The interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis

Abstract This paper investigates the relationship between China’s fuel ethanol promotion plan and food security based on the interactions between the crude oil market, the fuel ethanol market and the grain market. Based on the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil spot price and Chinese corn pr...

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Autores principales: Zhengwei Ma, Wenjia Hou
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2019
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/8b3118eb7ddc4dd7ae95bf75326009de
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:8b3118eb7ddc4dd7ae95bf75326009de2021-12-02T10:08:15ZThe interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis10.1007/s12182-019-0339-11672-51071995-8226https://doaj.org/article/8b3118eb7ddc4dd7ae95bf75326009de2019-07-01T00:00:00Zhttp://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12182-019-0339-1https://doaj.org/toc/1672-5107https://doaj.org/toc/1995-8226Abstract This paper investigates the relationship between China’s fuel ethanol promotion plan and food security based on the interactions between the crude oil market, the fuel ethanol market and the grain market. Based on the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil spot price and Chinese corn prices from January 2008 to May 2018, this paper applies Granger causality testing and a generalized impulse response function to explore the relationship between world crude oil prices and Chinese corn prices. The results show that crude oil prices are not the Granger cause of China’s corn prices, but changes in world crude oil prices will have a long-term positive impact on Chinese corn prices. Therefore, the Chinese government should pay attention to changes in crude oil prices when promoting fuel ethanol. Considering the conduction effect between fuel ethanol and the food market, the government should also take some measures to ensure food security.Zhengwei MaWenjia HouKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.articleWTI crude oil spot priceChinese corn priceGranger causality testImpulse response analysisScienceQPetrologyQE420-499ENPetroleum Science, Vol 16, Iss 4, Pp 929-938 (2019)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic WTI crude oil spot price
Chinese corn price
Granger causality test
Impulse response analysis
Science
Q
Petrology
QE420-499
spellingShingle WTI crude oil spot price
Chinese corn price
Granger causality test
Impulse response analysis
Science
Q
Petrology
QE420-499
Zhengwei Ma
Wenjia Hou
The interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis
description Abstract This paper investigates the relationship between China’s fuel ethanol promotion plan and food security based on the interactions between the crude oil market, the fuel ethanol market and the grain market. Based on the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil spot price and Chinese corn prices from January 2008 to May 2018, this paper applies Granger causality testing and a generalized impulse response function to explore the relationship between world crude oil prices and Chinese corn prices. The results show that crude oil prices are not the Granger cause of China’s corn prices, but changes in world crude oil prices will have a long-term positive impact on Chinese corn prices. Therefore, the Chinese government should pay attention to changes in crude oil prices when promoting fuel ethanol. Considering the conduction effect between fuel ethanol and the food market, the government should also take some measures to ensure food security.
format article
author Zhengwei Ma
Wenjia Hou
author_facet Zhengwei Ma
Wenjia Hou
author_sort Zhengwei Ma
title The interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis
title_short The interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis
title_full The interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis
title_fullStr The interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis
title_full_unstemmed The interactions between Chinese local corn and WTI crude oil prices: an empirical analysis
title_sort interactions between chinese local corn and wti crude oil prices: an empirical analysis
publisher KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
publishDate 2019
url https://doaj.org/article/8b3118eb7ddc4dd7ae95bf75326009de
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