Employment hysteresis in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic
In this paper, we test the validity of the employment hysteresis hypothesis. For this purpose, we use daily employment data at the national and state levels in the United States from January 8, 2020, to May 30, 2020. We apply the modified version of the Kapetanios-Shin unit root test, along with fin...
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Taylor & Francis Group
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:8beb876f1be1472c89a70e38b383a4342021-11-26T11:19:47ZEmployment hysteresis in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic1331-677X1848-966410.1080/1331677X.2021.1875253https://doaj.org/article/8beb876f1be1472c89a70e38b383a4342021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2021.1875253https://doaj.org/toc/1331-677Xhttps://doaj.org/toc/1848-9664In this paper, we test the validity of the employment hysteresis hypothesis. For this purpose, we use daily employment data at the national and state levels in the United States from January 8, 2020, to May 30, 2020. We apply the modified version of the Kapetanios-Shin unit root test, along with finite-sample critical values. We find that the employment hysteresis hypothesis is valid in the United States during the COVID-19 era. The validity of the findings does not change when data at the national and state levels are used. The evidence is also valid when the employment levels for all firms and small firms are considered. The results are also robust to employment levels for workers at different income levels and employment in five different sectors.Xinyi ZhangGiray GozgorZhou LuJinhua ZhangTaylor & Francis Grouparticleemployment hysteresis hypothesiscovid-19 pandemicunited statesnonlinear unit root testshalf-lifeEconomic growth, development, planningHD72-88Regional economics. Space in economicsHT388ENEkonomska Istraživanja, Vol 34, Iss 1, Pp 3343-3354 (2021) |
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employment hysteresis hypothesis covid-19 pandemic united states nonlinear unit root tests half-life Economic growth, development, planning HD72-88 Regional economics. Space in economics HT388 |
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employment hysteresis hypothesis covid-19 pandemic united states nonlinear unit root tests half-life Economic growth, development, planning HD72-88 Regional economics. Space in economics HT388 Xinyi Zhang Giray Gozgor Zhou Lu Jinhua Zhang Employment hysteresis in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic |
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In this paper, we test the validity of the employment hysteresis hypothesis. For this purpose, we use daily employment data at the national and state levels in the United States from January 8, 2020, to May 30, 2020. We apply the modified version of the Kapetanios-Shin unit root test, along with finite-sample critical values. We find that the employment hysteresis hypothesis is valid in the United States during the COVID-19 era. The validity of the findings does not change when data at the national and state levels are used. The evidence is also valid when the employment levels for all firms and small firms are considered. The results are also robust to employment levels for workers at different income levels and employment in five different sectors. |
format |
article |
author |
Xinyi Zhang Giray Gozgor Zhou Lu Jinhua Zhang |
author_facet |
Xinyi Zhang Giray Gozgor Zhou Lu Jinhua Zhang |
author_sort |
Xinyi Zhang |
title |
Employment hysteresis in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic |
title_short |
Employment hysteresis in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic |
title_full |
Employment hysteresis in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic |
title_fullStr |
Employment hysteresis in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic |
title_full_unstemmed |
Employment hysteresis in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic |
title_sort |
employment hysteresis in the united states during the covid-19 pandemic |
publisher |
Taylor & Francis Group |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/8beb876f1be1472c89a70e38b383a434 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT xinyizhang employmenthysteresisintheunitedstatesduringthecovid19pandemic AT giraygozgor employmenthysteresisintheunitedstatesduringthecovid19pandemic AT zhoulu employmenthysteresisintheunitedstatesduringthecovid19pandemic AT jinhuazhang employmenthysteresisintheunitedstatesduringthecovid19pandemic |
_version_ |
1718409546732404736 |